looks good, i bought this when it was rm1 back then in march which i think was too low and sold it at 2.4. but i was on the glove waves these past month no time to analyze this counter.
HOW CAN BE TOO LATE WHEN LCT IPO IS AROUND RM 6.60 LEH ?
MUST PAKAI OTAK THINK MAH...!!
Posted by AxeCapital2077 > Oct 17, 2020 11:38 AM | Report Abuse
looks good, i bought this when it was rm1 back then in march which i think was too low and sold it at 2.4. but i was on the glove waves these past month no time to analyze this counter.
Posted by AxeCapital2077 > Oct 17, 2020 11:39 AM | Report Abuse
but sadly i think im too late to the game already, congrats to everyone who has been holding ,i think it can push up 3++
last 2 years show release on 31oct ...this year that date is a Saturday..maybe 30thFriday? Thursday is a public hols... agak2 8.5 to 9 trading days until results
...as analysed and discussed above..
..hopefully its a strong, formidable and convincing result
Hopefully around the range of 400m~500m, choivo did a quite detailed analysis on it and if that happens price fly for sure. Been collecting more after it broke the 2.42 Res.
Thanks guys. Based on the amount i'm holding, i obviously have alot of skin in game and think the odds are in my/our favor. But obviously, we need to do our own thinking, evaluation of expected value and risk management.
Target price is dynamic and different for everyone.
Choivo Capital comments above are very fair and gentleman. We need to assess own financial position and risk appetite and decision should be us to make solely. Reading all his reports, feel are objective and balanced based on data available.
"In an early October call discussing a joint venture with Sasol, LyondellBasell Chief Executive Officer Bhavesh Patel said the oil-to-gas feedstock advantage is unlikely to go back to what it was in the heyday of 2014, when Brent crude-oil prices per barrel were about 40 to 50 times the price of Henry Hub natural gas per million British thermal units. The oil-to-gas price ratio is likely to hover around the 20s mark “very consistently,” according to Mr. Patel. Even when the absolute price of production is still cheaper for U.S. and Middle East-produced petrochemicals, one has to also take into account transportation costs to the importing countries, which can cost as much as 3-4 cents per pound between U.S. and Asia, according to Morgan Stanley.
This narrowing has already made a dent in U.S. producers’ income. Houston-based Westlake Chemical said its net income declined by $104 million in its second quarter compared with a year earlier partly because of the drop in oil prices. The new pricing dynamics could be one reason to take a look at Asian petrochemical companies, which have seen low valuations in recent years. According to Morgan Stanley estimates, Lotte Chemical, Sinopec Shanghai and Mitsui Chemicals all trade below 10 times expected 2021 earnings. LyondellBasell, Dow and Westlake all trade above that—with Westlake at 35 times."
Left to be seen whether it can hit 3.50 I do not expect Q3 PBT to exceed 400 mil. Conservatively I will put it at 240 to 280 mil translating to an EPS of around 12 sen which is very good for a share costing 2.60 with strong dividend payout . PBT for Q3 exceeding 300 mil would be a bonus and a catalyst for further uptrend
With lower naptha costs where LCT took 2 recent cargo shipments in Oct (@USD 390+), firm PP prices but rather stable butadine prices & high plant utlization rate (90% or more) and assuming no adverse performance from US associate arising from recent hurricanes, bottomline of RM300 is quite achievable for Q3 running into RM400 million in Q4. With div policy of 40% and DRS (potentially building cash inventory to more than RM4 billion), share price potentially could reach RM5 by December.
From what i heard, plastic resin buyers in malaysia is having trouble buying stock from Lotte now. because all the stock is going to china, who are offering premium.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
stockraider
31,556 posts
Posted by stockraider > 2020-10-17 11:19 | Report Abuse
MUST HOLD ON TO LCTITAN LOH....!!
SURE GO UP ONE LOH!
MY SIFU TOLD ME CAN REBOUND TO RM 4.00 TO RM 6.00 MAH..!!