Lower sales of EDC are quite normal, the banks cant forever buy terminals. There will be a time the sales of EDC drop.
The possible reason is that: (1) delay in the bank project (public bank only really kick off in Nov/Dec), how many can they really roll out in a single/2 months? (2) it is bank last quarter, the banks may have already max out the budget, if u look at the 1Q, there is a huge surge of sales, even more than what they achieve in the full year of Jun2018. So there maybe the most possible reason.
Revenue announced acquisition of 25% of Safe Net for RM 7 million. Safe Net made PAT of RM 2 million in past 6 -month period, which extrapolated to RM 4 million a year. 25% share of RM 4 million is RM 1 million. So the PE ratio of the purchase is RM 7million / RM 1 million = 7 times annual earnings. This is settled by issuance of Revenue shares which now has a PE ratio of about 32 times. so this acquisition will boost Revenue's earnings per share significantly in the future. It's an extremely good acquisition.
Just announced acquisition of Buymall , an online platform for e-commerce at estimated PE ratio of 16 and acquisition of Anypay, an digital payments player for mobile applications at estimated PE ratio of 11 using new Revenue shares at PE ratio of 32. Will boost future earnings per share and business expansions in e-commerce and e-payments.
It is interesting with the latest acquisitions that Revenue undertake. All deals are earning accretion, which is good for the company.
First deal, revenue safe nets, a 75% subsidiary of Revenue. By acquiring the remaining 25%, they will be able to consolidate all the profit. From the announcement, safenets 6 months unaudited PAT is about RM1.9mil, if safenets has been a 100% subsi, the PAT would have been higher at about RM475k. That means this company must have some key merchants/banks. They paid RM7mil consideration, means the total valuation is about RM28mil. If extrapolate the 6m unaudited PAT, the total forward PAT will be around RM3.9m, which translate to about 7.4x.
Second deal, buymall. Have a quick check on their website, they doing 代购 for taobao.com and also cover taiwan online website, so that means is a strategic investment to acquire users/transaction base. I think this investment has 2 plus points, one is that it complement to revenue existing taobao transaction, so in a way boosting the taobao transaction. Secondly, they can also process the transaction using revenue platform, hence earning transaction fee. Revenue paid RM3.315m for 51% stake, valuation about RM6.5m, with total profit guarantee of RM800k, average PAT will be about RM400k and translate to about 16.2x PE. Maybe on a high side but i think this deal give revenue the potential to open up with other online website from overseas.
Third deal, anypay. They provide bill payment and mobile top up. Whilst at first glance, nothing special, but at closer look, their mobile top up or bill payment is done via app, and not at physical store like 7-11. That means anyone can do the top up without the need to go to 7-11 or pos laju. I won’t be surprise to see this app to be in their smart device, if that really works out, literally all their merchant that use their terminal can become an outlet for top up, that will be even more point of sales than 7-11. And top up will also need to go through a payment gateway, again this will help in term of the electronic transaction income for revenue. RM4.9mil for 70%, valuation is RM7mil. 2 years profit guarantee of RM1.25mil, average PAT will be RM0.625mil, so translate to PE of about 10.6x.
The overall PE maybe higher if take into account the profit that revenue can recognised in their book for 2019. But overall, the 2nd n 3rd deals, revenue is using approximately PE 8x to acquire both of them. Looks like a good fit of the business.
It will be interesting also to see how they can leverage these acquisitions and existing business with its money lending license.
My pleasure. Im also just using their public information to run through the figure.
But i think Buymall PE should be around 13x whilst Anypay is about 9.3x, using FYE2020 profit guarantee of RM500k (RM6.5 million / RM500k = 13x) and RM750k (RM7 million / RM750k) respectively. So both PE are lower than what i mentioned earlier.
If that is the valuation, then i would think all these deals goes below or on par with revenue IPO PEx. Means they are not just simply going on a shopping spree to buy and give out high valuation.
Quiet for so long then suddenly action pack within a short 2 weeks.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
YapJH
160 posts
Posted by YapJH > 2019-03-01 21:50 | Report Abuse
Lower sales of EDC are quite normal, the banks cant forever buy terminals. There will be a time the sales of EDC drop.
The possible reason is that:
(1) delay in the bank project (public bank only really kick off in Nov/Dec), how many can they really roll out in a single/2 months?
(2) it is bank last quarter, the banks may have already max out the budget, if u look at the 1Q, there is a huge surge of sales, even more than what they achieve in the full year of Jun2018. So there maybe the most possible reason.