Damien88 sifu. Just wondering if you know how is the other subsidiaries of OMH doing? Is their plant in China affected by the shutdown there....? A bit confusing since this OMH group is quite diversified.
OMH up 4% on good volume. Yest up 15% Price surge supported by sky rocketing alloy prices, hitting all time high of US$4,125/ton. Up 300% from Low of US$1,000 during COVID. OMH cost is only US$1,000/ton. Huge huge margin!!!
Based on USD200 million profit, EPS is around 108 cents? If based on PE10, price should be around RM10.80!!!
Usually manufacturers use around PE30.
Damien88 With the current ferroalloy prices at all time high, and continue to move higher ie up another 40% MnSi (manganese silicon) and 80% FeSi (Ferrosilicon) in 1 month from Sep 2021, we can expect profit for OMH to surge to record high US$200-300m based on current spot price. OMH forward PE is now record Low 2-3x based on RM3!!!
if you sell for small profits. you are actually putting yourself on risky position, why not just sit back and enjoy the ride to big dividend, and possible bonus issue or split.
big money are made in waiting and holding, the momentum is ongoing.
i think, i will need to get back to work, to make sure i had more bonus to invest, oil price increase...more work.... >.<......time to delete trade app ( no need to trade anymore this year) and just hold and wait to reap the fruit
incase any limit up, i come bck and cheer with all
PMetal PE is 74x. OMH forward PE is only 3x!!! Based on current spot ferroalloy price, OMH price would be US$200-300m Imagine OMH PE of 20x only, this stock would be RM 20. Now it’s still only RM3.7. It can be 5-7 bagger
Cmsb controlled 25% in OMH Sarawak plant that processed ferrosilicon..with OMH share price moving up due to theferrosilicon price,Cmsb should also benefit from this commodity price increased
At FeSi price of US$4,125/ton, GPM is US$3,000/ton, OMH current production (75%) is 118k ton pa. Total annual FeSi GPM would be US$350m at 75% production capacity. At 100% capacity (ie 160k ton pa), GPM would be US$480m
At current MnSi price of US$2,500/ton, GPM for MnSi is US$1,500/ton, OMH current production (75%) of MnSi is 250k ton pa. Total GPM for MnSi would be US$375m at 75% capacity. At 100% capacity (ie 330k ton pa), GPM would be US$500m
UOBKH REGIONAL MORNING NOTES Tuesday , 28 September 2021
For OMH, if FeSi price remains at its current high of about US$3,000/mt in 2022, this could result in 32% upside to our target price of RM4.01 to RM5.30.
almost hit TP1 4.01 from UOBKH may be before Qr out, should be able to hit/ exceed
TP2 5.30...should depend on Qr result/ dividend news/bonus issue/ result of Bryah drilling
do note the ATH OMH from current direct conversion is ~ MYR 8.00 (Aus 2.64) in june 2008
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
moremoneyy
24 posts
Posted by moremoneyy > 2021-10-04 13:15 | Report Abuse
U are right Damien, likely would have another reaction after market reopens after lunch