I agreed fully with you. This is the stock RHT fund manager will buy and hold. It has strong fundamental, super undervalued, big profits, growth story with more furnaces. And now liquidity is back
One of the criteria for fund manager is liquidity. The stock liquidity just picked up, so you can expect more fund managers to be able to buy into this stock over the next 1-2 months
Thank you to all brothers and sisters. This page is always full of information about the stock, good setup, good encouragement for people who missed pmbtech.
Cheers! We should see the result on the upcoming qr. Hopefully, we can hand-to-hand, walk all the way to the Moon.
Sold unexpectedly 3.98 today. Forgot I prekey the selling price much earlier. Wish you guys good luck for more. I will watch and enter again if price is right.
OFZ Slovakia cuts ferro-alloy output due to surging power prices Slovak ferro-alloys producer OFZ Slovakia has cut more than half of its ferro-alloy production with immediate effect due to energy prices that have surged more than six-fold recently, an industry source told Fastmarkets.
The company, which produces ferro-silicon and manganese alloys, has shut four out of its seven operating furnaces, including two ferro-silicon furnaces, a silico-manganese furnace and a smaller refining furnace. Each of the ferro-silicon furnaces was working at a rate of 1,000 tonnes per month, while the silico-manganese furnace was running at a rate of 2,000 tonnes per month. The move comes at a time of record-high energy prices across Europe, record-high ferro-silicon prices and near record-high manganese alloys prices since Fastmarkets started to assess those markets at the start of 1997. OFZ's remaining three furnaces are producing 3,000 tonnes per month of high-carbon ferro-manganese, 2,000 tonnes per month of silico-manganese and 1,000 tonnes per month of ferro-silicon. "OFZ has some stocks of the affected ferro-alloys production to supply long-term contracts to customers until the end of November," the source said. "December is a bit uncertain,...
Cut output mean,supply will be less.if supply cant meet high demand,what will happen?means price will go higher lah.if price go higher,manufacturer will profit more.
China energy crunch will have significant positive impact for OMH: - restrict supply from China - raise the cost of production of ferroalloy in China. - China will reduce power to energy intensive industries, and electricity prices to increase by 20% with no cap for ferroalloy industry - Ultimately, China will only want to produce just for domestic consumption, or even start to import such high energy intensive industries.
Impact on OMH: higher sustained ferroalloy prices which will elevate OMH profit significantly to US$300-500m in the next few years.
OMH share price will have to increase or otherwise be acquired by hostile party through offer of a much higher price than now
Aluminium uses magnesium as raw material and magnesium in turn uses ferroalloy as input material. Magnesium prices is driven record high mainly due to the prices of ferroalloy.
I can see why PMetal could be interested from business diversification perspective. From economic angle, OMH is only RM 3b, while PMetal is RM 50b in mkt cap. If acquired, PMetal profit would be more than doubled or trebled immediately. Can you imagine what the market cap for PMetal will be with is acquisition?
In 3Q18, OM Sarawak raised the sales of ferrosilicon by 37% to 61,179 tonnes from 44,766 tonnes in 2Q18 while the sales of manganese alloys rose by 6% to 57,097 tonnes from 53,782 tonnes during the same period.
OMH attributed the higher sales mainly to strong ferroalloy demand.
OM Sarawak has recently secured an additional 50MW, bringing total supply from Sarawak Energy Bhd (SEB) to 350MW to support its smelter’s high production rates. It is seeking an additional 100MW, which according to OMH, has been agreed in principle but is subject to the necessary approvals.
OM Sarawak has signed a 20-year fixed-escalation power tariff with SEB, which supplies green and renewable energy from its Bakun hydro-electric dam (2,400MW) and Murun dam (944MW) to energy-intensive industries in Samalaju Industrial Park. Another major dam in Baleh will generate 1,285MW when commissioned by 2025 to beef up supply to heavy industries in the Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy.
With hydro-power, OMH said OM Sarawak had a competitive advantage over marginal producers in China which operate on higher costs of electricity, the main cost component in smelting operations.
“OM Sarawak has a cost advantage over current marginal suppliers, even without Chinese export duty.” China is the world’s leading producer of ferrosilicon and one of the dominant producers of manganese alloys.
Most of the Europe plants already reduced their production. If the coal price keep increasing, they will shut down their operation due to high power cost.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
sims
172 posts
Posted by sims > 2021-10-07 15:50 | Report Abuse
coz i think its will hit aus 2 (based on all the info i gather), should price continue rally until end 2022.
that why i looking at ATH of OMH