Memorandum of agreement finalized. On 23 January 2025, Country Annexe Sdn Bhd, a wholly owned subsidiary of MRCB, entered into a Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) with Ipoh Sentral Sdn Bhd (ISSB) to jointly undertake the development of the Ipoh Sentral Transit-Oriented Development (TOD). The project will carry a GDV of RM6.26b, marking a transformative milestone for Ipoh's urban landscape. The project is planned over 20 years, with construction expected to commence in FY25.
TOD expertise. The Ipoh Sentral project, a TOD initiative, involves developing approximately 67 acres of land adjacent to the iconic Ipoh KTM station, rebranded as Ipoh Sentral. It is designed to create a modern, vibrant mixed-use hub that includes affordable housing, a hotel, commercial spaces, green areas, and educational institutions. The TOD will act as a gateway to the central region of Peninsular Malaysia, connecting Ipoh with key cities like Kuala Lumpur and Penang. MRCB's experience in TOD projects is well established, with notable developments such as Penang Sentral (GDV: RM2.9b) and KL Sentral in 2001, Malaysia's largest transit hub. Its current order book includes ongoing projects such as PJ Sentral, Kwasa Sentral, the redevelopment of KL Sentral (expected to bring in >RM1.0b in revenue), and the long-term Bukit Jalil Sentral contract. Thus, as the master developer, MRCB will oversee all phases of the project, leveraging its extensive track record and backing from a major shareholder making them a frontrunner for TOD projects.
Strategic focus shift. On December 19, 2024, MRCB exited the Berjaya-led consortium bidding for the multi-billion-ringgit Kuala Lumpur- Singapore High-Speed Rail (HSR) project to pursue other strategic opportunities. This decision could be tied to the success of securing the Ipoh Sentral tender, which aligns closely with MRCB's expertise in TODs.
Strategic vision and economic impact. The project is aligned with the Ipoh SMART City 2030 Initiative, reflecting a commitment to sustainable urban development and tourism promotion. The development fosters economic growth by attracting investments, businesses, and tourism to Perak while enhancing connectivity by seamlessly linking multiple transit modes, including trains and buses, to improve mobility and reduce dependency on private vehicles. Phase 1 of the project will prioritize community-focused developments, including a central plaza for art and culture, cycling paths, green parks, and upgraded public facilities, laying the foundation for subsequent phases which are set to include laying the foundation for subsequent phases which are set to include residential units, offices, public spaces, commercial/retail, transport terminal, pedestrian-friendly plazas and expanded green areas.
Complementary development in Ipoh. MRCB's existing Ipoh Raya Integrated Park, launched in 2022, strategically complements the Ipoh Sentral project. Both developments aim to revitalize Ipoh and create sustainable growth for the region: • Integrated ecosystem: The Ipoh Raya Integrated Park's logistics and industrial infrastructure can support the economic activities generated by Ipoh Sentral, enhancing accessibility for businesses and residents alike. • Economic synergy: The park's six-phased plan, including logistics hubs, agro-based industrial hubs, and worker accommodations, aligns with Ipoh Sentral's role in creating a mixed-use urban hub, amplifying economic opportunities for the region.
Earnings estimates and TP. This MOA is not expected to materially impact MRCB's net assets or earnings for FY24/25.
Earnings recognition from the Ipoh Sentral TOD is anticipated to begin in FY26, given the phased development timeline starting in FY25. As such, we are maintaining our earnings estimates going forward. We are also maintaining our TP at RM0.67 as we peg a +1SD historical-forward P/B ratio of 0.64x to the group's estimated FY25F BVPS of RM1.04.
Maintain BUY. We expect MRCB's performance to be bolstered by its recent success in securing the Ipoh Sentral project, which leverages its proven expertise in TODs. This, along with its complementary Ipoh Raya Integrated Park, positions MRCB to play a pivotal role in transforming Ipoh into a key economic hub. The group's strong track record in high-value TODs such as KL Sentral, Penang Sentral, and the long-term Bukit-Jalil Sentral, combined with its strategic focus shift from the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore HSR project to projects with immediate value, enhances confidence in its growth prospects. With a robust pipeline of ongoing projects and with our TP remaining unchanged at RM0.67, we maintain our recommendation of BUY.
Source: MIDF Research - 24 Jan 2025