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[转帖] 10月全球小股灾 马股蒸发666亿

Tan KW
Publish date: Thu, 16 Oct 2014, 04:29 PM
Tan KW
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20140204HKH Aa03

(吉隆坡14日讯)过去几个交易日全球遭遇小股灾,大马股市10月份首8个交易日市值蒸发666亿令吉,以目前中央存票活跃户头数目粗略计算,这期间每名投资者平均损失4万6250令吉。

虽然,10月初至今马股大幅挫跌,但这跌幅仍小於欧美股市。市场人士认为,马股短期料步入熊市,不过长期基本面则仍完好。

进 入10月份,全球投资者彷彿大梦初醒,道琼斯工商指数由10月1日至10月13日一路下跌,跌幅高达4.24%;欧洲经济数据远逊预期,同期德国DAX指 数跌幅达6.99%。大马股市跌幅较轻,但也失血不少,吉隆坡综合指数同期下跌了49.11点或2.66%,周一(13日)报1797.20点,跌穿了 1800点心理水平。

在这期间,大马全股项指数(EMAS)下跌了474.42点或3.7%,全场市值蒸发了666亿令吉。以国內中央存票系统户口(CDS)中的144万个活跃户头计算,平均每名投资者损失约4万6250令吉。

基 金经理张子敏接受《东方財经》询问时指出,国內股市和经济的基本面並没有太大问题,这次大调整相信只是投资者的恐慌心理作祟。他指出,美股今年屡创新高, 投资者心理难免会担心股市泡沫的形成。因此当市场出现风吹草动,將会引起连锁反应。他认为埃博拉疫情、欧盟区经济数据差强人意、担心美联储(FED)升息 等都是股市下跌的催化剂之一,但不是主要原因。

他强调,儘管短期內全球股市已进入熊市,但美国目前经济状况良好,与08/09年金融风暴时失业率高企的情况相差甚远。若经济疲弱,美联储也不会急於升息,对股市带来缓衝。

本地基金將重返市场

至於大马股市,他表示,上周的马股净卖家是本地基金,相信是隨大市走向,减持手上持股量。他相信股市回稳后,本地基金將重拾信心,重新进入股市。上周外资成为马股净买家,是个良好讯號。

他建议中长期投资者可以趁低吸纳基本面良好的股票,但短期马股走势依然得看美股的脸色。另外,昨日大部份投行研究分析员只是小幅下调或维持综指年终预测值,普遍相信综指能在年底站稳1900点以上。

技 术分析方面,兴业投行技术分析员廖志豪指出,在跌破了200天移动平均线(200MA)后,综指已进入短期熊市,並发出了中长期熊市的讯號。1800点是 个关键的心理水平,但短期內反弹的可能性不强。美股方面,若道琼斯工商指数无法向上突破200天移动平均线,將会触发另一轮卖压,进一步下探16000 点。

马股今天卖压明显较上周减少,综指在低开后逐渐回升,一度重新站上1800点,但临尾却急跌3.30点,全天下跌0.82点或0.05%,报1796.38点。

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 5 of 5 comments

laughdieme77

real support is 1600 for klci in midterm.

in short term, u have 1770 as a support. today closing broken by foreign fund panic selling.
then u have 1700 support. after that back to pre-budget day support
1600.

that is the real support level. so, we have "potential downside" of 170pts from here.

of course it wont drop straight line down, it will have a lot of weak support and weak rebound in btw. but the conclusion. 1600 by next year is highly possible.

2014-10-16 17:04

Up_down

Foreign funds dump the market as KLSE was claimed one of the highest valuation among countries in the region.

2014-10-16 17:09

laughdieme77

all artificially prop up to make klci looks good. now foreign fund exiting in a big way. heavy selling almost everyday.



Posted by Up_down > Oct 16, 2014 05:09 PM | Report Abuse

Foreign funds dump the market as KLSE was claimed one of the highest valuation among countries in the region.

2014-10-16 17:10

Up_down

The market will be volatile in near future as the market has triggered selling pressure to foreign funds. Their machine will continue pop up exit alert to protect capital.

2014-10-16 17:17

NikoRosberg

KLSE better than US? KLSE is doing much worse than US this year

2014-10-18 11:58

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