(吉隆坡14日讯)过去几个交易日全球遭遇小股灾,大马股市10月份首8个交易日市值蒸发666亿令吉,以目前中央存票活跃户头数目粗略计算,这期间每名投资者平均损失4万6250令吉。
虽然,10月初至今马股大幅挫跌,但这跌幅仍小於欧美股市。市场人士认为,马股短期料步入熊市,不过长期基本面则仍完好。
进 入10月份,全球投资者彷彿大梦初醒,道琼斯工商指数由10月1日至10月13日一路下跌,跌幅高达4.24%;欧洲经济数据远逊预期,同期德国DAX指 数跌幅达6.99%。大马股市跌幅较轻,但也失血不少,吉隆坡综合指数同期下跌了49.11点或2.66%,周一(13日)报1797.20点,跌穿了 1800点心理水平。
在这期间,大马全股项指数(EMAS)下跌了474.42点或3.7%,全场市值蒸发了666亿令吉。以国內中央存票系统户口(CDS)中的144万个活跃户头计算,平均每名投资者损失约4万6250令吉。
基 金经理张子敏接受《东方財经》询问时指出,国內股市和经济的基本面並没有太大问题,这次大调整相信只是投资者的恐慌心理作祟。他指出,美股今年屡创新高, 投资者心理难免会担心股市泡沫的形成。因此当市场出现风吹草动,將会引起连锁反应。他认为埃博拉疫情、欧盟区经济数据差强人意、担心美联储(FED)升息 等都是股市下跌的催化剂之一,但不是主要原因。
他强调,儘管短期內全球股市已进入熊市,但美国目前经济状况良好,与08/09年金融风暴时失业率高企的情况相差甚远。若经济疲弱,美联储也不会急於升息,对股市带来缓衝。
本地基金將重返市场
至於大马股市,他表示,上周的马股净卖家是本地基金,相信是隨大市走向,减持手上持股量。他相信股市回稳后,本地基金將重拾信心,重新进入股市。上周外资成为马股净买家,是个良好讯號。
他建议中长期投资者可以趁低吸纳基本面良好的股票,但短期马股走势依然得看美股的脸色。另外,昨日大部份投行研究分析员只是小幅下调或维持综指年终预测值,普遍相信综指能在年底站稳1900点以上。
技 术分析方面,兴业投行技术分析员廖志豪指出,在跌破了200天移动平均线(200MA)后,综指已进入短期熊市,並发出了中长期熊市的讯號。1800点是 个关键的心理水平,但短期內反弹的可能性不强。美股方面,若道琼斯工商指数无法向上突破200天移动平均线,將会触发另一轮卖压,进一步下探16000 点。
马股今天卖压明显较上周减少,综指在低开后逐渐回升,一度重新站上1800点,但临尾却急跌3.30点,全天下跌0.82点或0.05%,报1796.38点。
Created by Tan KW | Nov 26, 2024
Created by Tan KW | Nov 26, 2024
Created by Tan KW | Nov 26, 2024
Foreign funds dump the market as KLSE was claimed one of the highest valuation among countries in the region.
2014-10-16 17:09
all artificially prop up to make klci looks good. now foreign fund exiting in a big way. heavy selling almost everyday.
Posted by Up_down > Oct 16, 2014 05:09 PM | Report Abuse
Foreign funds dump the market as KLSE was claimed one of the highest valuation among countries in the region.
2014-10-16 17:10
The market will be volatile in near future as the market has triggered selling pressure to foreign funds. Their machine will continue pop up exit alert to protect capital.
2014-10-16 17:17
laughdieme77
real support is 1600 for klci in midterm.
in short term, u have 1770 as a support. today closing broken by foreign fund panic selling.
then u have 1700 support. after that back to pre-budget day support
1600.
that is the real support level. so, we have "potential downside" of 170pts from here.
of course it wont drop straight line down, it will have a lot of weak support and weak rebound in btw. but the conclusion. 1600 by next year is highly possible.
2014-10-16 17:04