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[转贴] 胡立陽：最麻煩一年來了
股市投資專家暨知名作家胡立陽昨（15）日指出，2016年是投資市場近幾年來「最麻煩的一年」，滿布地雷陷阱，多保留現金是今年最重要投資策略，他預測台股猴年指數介於7,200點至8,400點間。
胡立陽強調，很多投資人不了解的是，經過美、日、歐先前輪番寬鬆，全球約有20兆美元（約新台幣672兆元）游資在資本市場四處搜尋投資機會，美國上次升息1碼將引動3兆美元逐漸抽離資本市場，也就是說資金退潮循環才正要開始。
胡立陽建議，台股受美國股市影響極大，投資人可以觀察三項指標，做為判斷行情是否反轉的依據：第一、月線出現12%以上長黑或道瓊指數單月下跌2,000點；第二、道瓊指數月線連三黑；第三、指數由最高點下跌超過20%。若這三項條件都滿足，投資人必須小心市場已經由牛市轉為熊市。
http://udn.com/news/story/7251/1503915-%E8%83%A1%E7%AB%8B%E9%99%BD%EF%BC%9A%E6%9C%80%E9%BA%BB%E7%85%A9%E4%B8%80%E5%B9%B4%E4%BE%86%E4%BA%86
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1 person likes this. Showing 15 of 15 comments
He has been predicting market crash since 2104, then 2015, and now 2018....
2016-02-18 23:29
Do not really understand what he try to say, he said 很多投資人不了解的是，經過美、日、歐先前輪番寬鬆，全球約有20兆美元（約新台幣672兆元）游資在資本市場四處搜尋投資機會, but also said 美國上次升息1碼將引動3兆美元逐漸抽離資本市場，也就是說資金退潮循環才正要開始. if 游資在資本市場四處搜尋投資機會 then why want to 逐漸抽離資本市場?? even if 游資抽離資本市場, they still need to invest the capital or just keep under the pillow?.
2016-02-19 09:08
Posted by Earth > Feb 19, 2016 11:10 PM | Report Abuse
.....
不听老人言， 吃亏在眼前。 祝君好运！
He has been predicting market crash for years...he will be right eventually...dont know when only...just like our local Stock God TTB (since 2012 i think)
2016-02-20 07:22
When he is right eventually, some jokers will just worship him like God and selective forget his wrongs...
2016-02-20 07:28
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Ride The Bull Short The Bear
CS Tan
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
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Asia version Mark Faber.
talk rubbish all the time.
2016-02-18 21:12