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2014-03-07 18:57 | Report Abuse
It's a good sign when you see something like a bra in the making.
2014-03-07 18:48 | Report Abuse
People won't care much where is the plantation area and debt now. What they really care is CPO price movement. If CPO price is heading north, all plantation counters would follow suite.
2014-03-07 18:41 | Report Abuse
Fabrication of chart is almost completing. Be prepared to take off.
2014-03-07 18:10 | Report Abuse
Harlen's executive chairman is an 88 year old man. At such age, how he got ability to manage the business operation of the company. Operation has not returned to black even though the FFB production in final quarter was 34% higher than 3rd quarter 2013. It is better for him to step down. If I am not mistaken, he is still drawing 1.45 million salary and the total Directors remuneration about 4 million each year.
Harlen disposed its 2,410 hectares of plantation land in Sabah in year 2013. Their FFB production would be lower this year.
2014-03-07 16:53 | Report Abuse
INNO's management team are more competent than Pinepac. Pinepac does not whole own the plantation business in Indonesia. Its operation keep making loss. Some more, I can't see their FFB growth for the past 2 years even though their young tree entering maturity stage. Don't really know how they take care the palm oil tree.
2014-03-07 16:31 | Report Abuse
Plantation fever will continue so long as no raining in next 2 weeks. Of course, if no rain for more than 3 months, all palm oil trees would be dying.
2014-03-07 16:23 | Report Abuse
I treat an investment as my own personal business. I prefer to evaluate the business performance at least 6 months ahead. Plantation business is much easier to do projection. It depends mostly on CPO price movement.
2014-03-07 16:14 | Report Abuse
Recent performance of its plantation division:
Turnover:
31 Dec 13 - 10,322,000
30 Sep 13 - 8,465,000
30 Jun 13 - 6,290,000
31 Mar 13 - 4,441,000
Profit / (Loss) before tax:
31 Dec 13 - 3,085,000
30 Sep 13 - 3,038,000
30 Jun 13 - ( 132,000 )
31 Mar 13 - ( 1,562,000 )
EPS:
31 Dec 13 - 1.25 cents
31 Sep 13 - 1.41 cents
30 Jun 13 - ( 0.13 cents )
30 Mar 13 - ( 0.89 cents )
2014-03-07 16:06 | Report Abuse
By looking at current PER, it would scare you off from investing in plantation counters. Current share prices are not truly reflected the potential of windfall profit to be generated from dry weather. The prices would be seen even higher by the time you notice the PER drops to reasonable level in future.
2014-03-07 15:56 | Report Abuse
Great write up. Hefty FFB production growth is started from this year onward to achieve at least 20% CAGR for the next 4 years.
2014-03-07 13:27 | Report Abuse
Clapping for his brilliant results by outperforming majority of fund managers.
2014-03-07 12:19 | Report Abuse
Great. This is an unpolished gem.
2014-03-07 11:37 | Report Abuse
It is time to strike back after being suppressed long period.
2014-03-07 11:10 | Report Abuse
Kulim's share price had been trending downward for the past few quarters due to its lackluster financial performance. It's considered as a laggard since many plantation counters have reflected positively in share price when CPO price raised sharply recently.
2014-03-06 22:46 | Report Abuse
SMI has substantial interests in Asiapac. If Asiapac up, SMI would follow suit. It is still run by the 70 year old uncle of Ma Sau Cheong. Quite enjoying life by sitting on the board and drawing million salary each year.
2014-03-06 18:47 | Report Abuse
I normally don't like a company to exercise a right issue requesting money from minority. I would ask myself where the substantial shareholders get the big chunk of money to subscribe the share.
2014-03-06 18:35 | Report Abuse
This Asiapac will attract big goreng kaki. It's not an illiquid penny which you have to wait long time until some big players notice. It on the right track given the consolidation supported at 20 cents level.
2014-03-06 18:09 | Report Abuse
I am a small fly so have to sitting tight watching the game.
2014-03-06 18:01 | Report Abuse
Stockpiles in Malaysia continue dropping. http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-news/278908-palm-reserves-in-malaysia-dropping-to-five-month-low-on-output.html
2014-03-06 17:51 | Report Abuse
It must be included in P/L through sharing of Associate profit/loss.
2014-03-06 17:44 | Report Abuse
Ivory would need more cash to finance its projects. They may call for another round of right issue. It is very unlikely to go for private placement since the amount of money raised may not justify for such exercise.
2014-03-06 17:14 | Report Abuse
Patient is the way to earn big money from a good fundamental company. I don't think my opportunity cost is high by investing in Asiapac.
2014-03-06 16:48 | Report Abuse
New Britain Palm Oil (NBPO)
FFB production of NBPO is expected to be higher in year 2014 given majority ( 55% ) of its planted area entering prime stage of harvesting. Young mature area ( 3 to 7 years ), representing 26%, would yield higher FFB as partial of the areas are almost entering prime stage.
Total Planted: 78,343 hectare
Mature area: 66,746 hectare
Immature area: 11,597 hectare
Palm oil age profile (Year 2012):
Mature - PNG - > 18 12,968
Mature - PNG - 13 to 17 14,599
Mature - PNG - 8 to 12 21,786
Mature - PNG - 3 to 7 17,393
Immature 11,597
2014-03-06 15:52 | Report Abuse
Be patient. It takes a bit time for big players to fabricate technical graph looking bullish.
2014-03-06 15:34 | Report Abuse
CWallUK. Kulim-wc is a very good bet for earning more profit during CPO price bull run.
2014-03-05 12:49 | Report Abuse
The cat is patiently waiting the before making a surprise strike so just let those small mouse playing around at 20 cents. The big cat is aiming for bigger mice.
2014-03-05 10:45 | Report Abuse
It's time to come back to strike for those low value or unnoticed plantation companies. I exited plantation industry 2 years ago. My plantation portfolio consists of INNO, SWKPLNT, KULIM & GLBHD. What about you?
2014-03-05 10:26 | Report Abuse
I have dump 70% of my capital in plantation companies. No mercy. I must whack early to strike for big gain.
2014-03-05 10:06 | Report Abuse
Dry weather causes tree stress and FFB production s expected to fall steeply. Potential of El Nino. CPO price traded above RM 2,800. Good time to whack plantation companies in full force.
2014-03-04 19:42 | Report Abuse
I am sure it would happen soon. Solid fundamental plus itself a penny share. It will attract a lot of attention from goreng kaki once taking off. After consolidating at 20 cents, this is the springboard for its to surge higher.
2014-03-04 15:48 | Report Abuse
Tommylim. It's Investlah.com forum.
2014-03-04 13:24 | Report Abuse
Just missed out the NTA. Thanks. The above factors are actually enough for me to continue sitting there waiting for the next wave.
2014-03-04 13:17 | Report Abuse
Tommylim. Appreciate if you could post the pictures for latest construction progress of Imago Mall in Investlah under Asiapac thread. Thanks.
2014-03-04 12:55 | Report Abuse
I would sell immediately if its fundamental change. Why I need to worry much for Asiapac?
What hold me back from selling:
1. Huge unbilled sales 508 million
2. Reasonable profit margin
3. Imago Mall will start contributing in near future
4. Potential take over target
5. PER: 5.4 times
2014-03-03 23:18 | Report Abuse
With huge inventory, It can't even make money during the cocoa prices flying. Be prepared to tapao when the prices of cocoa depressing.
2014-03-03 22:52 | Report Abuse
INNO, SWKPLNT, KULIM, GLBHD. Bullish CPO. Plantation theme in year 2014.
2014-03-03 22:45 | Report Abuse
I have diverted my attention to plantation counters.
2014-03-03 22:39 | Report Abuse
It's a good fundamental company generating stable profit and paying decent dividend every year.
2014-03-03 19:14 | Report Abuse
This stock is almost on the way to Holland soon.
Inventory value RM 508 million as at 30 June 2013. Let say the average price was RM 6,900/mt ( US 2300/ton). There was 73,000mt of cocoa in its warehouse. They supposed to make at least RM 73 million (73,000 x RM 1,000) from the average cocoa price increased to US 2700/mt for the past 6 months if they really trade cocoa.
It inventory hit a record high 850 million or almost 94,000 mt of cocoa as at 31 Dec 13. Amazing!
2014-03-03 16:03 | Report Abuse
This is the basic information for digestion before investing in a plantation company. It shows the past lacklustre performance and future potential given higher FFB production.
2014-03-03 14:41 | Report Abuse
Update:
Plantation division
Turnover:
31 Dec 13 - 10,322,000
30 Sep 13 - 8,465,000
30 Jun 13 - 6,290,000
31 Mar 13 - 4,441,000
Profit / (Loss) before tax:
31 Dec 13 - 3,085,000
30 Sep 13 - 3,038,000
30 Jun 13 - ( 132,000 )
31 Mar 13 - ( 1,562,000 )
EPS:
31 Dec 13 - 1.25 cents
31 Sep 13 - 1.41 cents
30 Jun 13 - ( 0.13 cents )
30 Mar 13 - ( 0.89 cents )
2014-03-03 14:26 | Report Abuse
Kulim facts:
PER: 56 times (adjusted )
EPS: 6.1 cents (adjusted)
NTA: 2.92
Gearing: 0.3
Dividend yield: NIL
Special Dividend: 90 cents (Year 2012)
FFB year 2013: 879,000MT
FFB year 2012: 716,000MT
FFB year 2011: 637,000MT
FFB year 2010: 551,000MT
Mature area (2012): 101,916 hectares
Immature area (2012): 22,018 hectares
EPS
Qtr 30-12-13 - (0.61) cents
Qtr 30-9-13 - 1.3 Cents
Qtr 30-6-13 - 5.24 Cents
Qtr 31-3-13 - 0.17 Cents (adjusted)
2014-03-03 13:38 | Report Abuse
Sarawak Plantation facts:
Current price: 2.60
Lowest price in 24 months: 2.45
P/E: 18.32 times
EPS: 14.20 cents
NTA: 2.08
Gearing: NIL
Dividend yield: 3.08%
Dividend: 8 cents / share
FFB year 2013: 334,804MT
FFB year 2012: 303,118MT
Mature area (2012): 24,709 hectares
Immature area (2012): 3,218 hectares
Estimate Planted area (2013): 1,500 hectares ( 21.8 million )
EPS
Qtr 30-12-13 - 5.4 cents
Qtr 30-9-13 - 5.65 Cents
Qtr 30-6-13 - 0.48 Cents
Qtr 31-3-13 - 2.67 Cents
Qtr 31-12-12 -(2.49) Cents
Qtr 31-9-12 - 7.25 Cents
Qtr 30-6-12 - 5.78 Cents
Qtr 31-3-12 - 5.95 Cents
Turnover
Qtr 30-12-13 - 113m
Qtr 30-9-13 - 104m
Qtr 30-6-13 - 71m
Qtr 31-3-13 - 74m
Qtr 31-12-12 - 91m
Qtr 31-9-12 - 120m
Qtr 30-6-12 - 118m
Qtr 31-3-12 - 102m
Profit before tax:
Qtr 30-12-13 - 16m
Qtr 30-9-13 - 20m
Qtr 30-6-13 - 2m
Qtr 30-3-13 - 6m
Qtr 31-12-12 - ( 3m )
Qtr 31-9-12 - 26m
Qtr 30-6-12 - 21m
Qtr 31-3-12 - 23m
2014-03-02 12:47 | Report Abuse
Capital Management as at 31 Dec 13:
Loan & Borrowing - > 306,751,000
Trade & Other Payable -> 105,681,000
Cash & Cash Equivalent -> ( - 29,817,000 )
Net Debt 382,615,000
Shareholder's Equity -> 378,564,000
Capital & Net Debt -> 761,179,000
Gearing Ratio 50%
2014-03-02 09:50 | Report Abuse
Rule number 1, never touch China counters. Rule number 2, never forget rule number 1.
2014-03-01 19:35 | Report Abuse
Icon888. This is the only property counter on my hand now. You would discover more after reading this thread.
2014-03-01 18:54 | Report Abuse
Tommylim. Thanks for your update.
2014-03-01 18:53 | Report Abuse
My tolerance is lower than you. Many property company will not be doing well this year. It's rather high risk to invest in property counters. I invest in Asiapac because of its high unbilled sales and Imago Mall.
Stock: [ASIAPAC]: ASIAN PAC HOLDINGS BHD
2014-03-07 19:06 | Report Abuse
Your dream come true soon cause it is ready to wear for showing to public. Everything just nice.