calvintan, i have no intention to make fun of your name. but wow, you don't even recognise my claim on the RM110bil as 12 years capital commitment instead of your claim as debt.
Since you car salesman, if you rent a car from a rental company, do you care about the depreciation? You pay the rent (Operating lease) and deprecation is not your problem already.
the question, where do they book the plane? answer lie on Operating Lease accounting practice and AACL.
Stock market is not 100% and prediction is on a time frame. Icon 8888 is super in term of prediction, analysis, skill and probility of correct is much higher. Also he is quite a gentlemen n kind hearted.
Mr Calvin, instead of putting down your counter argument on the points you mentioned in your main articles, you threw me articles on others things such as about their investment in associates. Some are with counter arguments already given by Airasia themselves.
lol. now i ask you one direct question about being car salesman, how you consider depreciation (also tell you about your question on the current assets) when renting, you avoid again.
if you rent a car from a rental company, do you care about the depreciation? You pay the rent (Operating lease) and deprecation is not your problem already.
Calvin answers:
AAX rent or lease those 29 AirBus A330 300 planes?
Do you know how much to lease/rent a car than to own it outright?
Try renting a car from ORIX rent a car? Avis rent a car. Budget Rent A Car or Pacific Rent A Car?
Renting is far more expensive than owning overall.
Now no joke. Rent Rm1.3 Billion A330 00 to ferry low priced passengers.
Might as well rent Ferari to ferry people in grab or uber taxi for small fares?
there are pro and cons in using operating lease. You can read below link and see the benefits AAX get from it. It is a standard in airlines business. I would not say, operating lease cause the business model to be unsustainable.
In business, there are different strategy employed by companies. It boils down to Build, Borrow, Buy. This is to add-on why I say, I won't say leasing cause the business model to be unsustainable. You can read the book if you want, same name as the strategy name.
To begin with... are u an accountant by profession?
Even if you are.. the accounting practice for aviation industry is totally different from the REST. So please dont spread numbers accross pages if you aint sure abt the whole process. To be able to even calculate, u must have exp in the aviation industry :) And the same goes to oil and gas industry.. very complicated stuffs. Note: i am an acctg graduate :)
Posted by staind86 > Nov 23, 2016 11:11 PM | Report Abuse
In business, there are different strategy employed by companies. It boils down to Build, Borrow, Buy. This is to add-on why I say, I won't say leasing cause the business model to be unsustainable. You can read the book if you want, same name as the strategy name.
2) NON-CANCELLABLE OPERATING LEASES This means that AAX has borrowed monies to buy those Airbus A330 300 from some Banking Institution.
The ownership rights now belong to the Banking Entity while the borrower is AAX. And the loan has been released to seller. The purchaser(AAX) will only have full ownership of the 29 planes until all the outstanding leases(loans) have been fully paid up.
Under these contracts there is no way AAX need not pay for the cost of the planes. As of now the payment (postponed) because AAX in financial distress?
Question is? If the Financial Institution that gave loans for these 29 AirBus A330 000 repossess these planes.
How much will they be worth?
After auctioning off the 29 repo arcrafts will they sue for the outstanding balance?
Who will suffer?
One more question?
What happened to Transmile 4 rotting planes in Subang Airports? Who bought them? At what price?
There is bound to be Depreciation for any car, plane, train or ship.
For Hubline the rusty ships are now worth nothing.
Calvin, u have done a good job for axx and airasia. The Conman And syndicate blog is very interesting too. Some people are paid to write the blog to attract people to buy. Puncak is one of the example. "Rzl is a very capable person" <--I am sure this guy didnt know Rzl personally at all. Hahahahaha
If u have a car loan and u already settle it.. The car now is still debt? LOL... This clown keep shouting AA and AAX got huge debt but never think of some of the planes already settle the loan?
Looking through all the comments Calvin sees some are for Calvin. That's good! For the rest who oppose? You are quite kind with your words. Last time in Ifca Forum people there reacted far worse than here.
So Calvin thinks the madness of the crowd has lessen. At least now there is hope.
comet2232
Look at the present reality.
All 29 Airbus A330 300 are in operation right now. These planes are flying right now. So the operation cost? The depreciation cost? The purchase cost? The financing cost?
Don't tell me they are all in the future?
It is plainly stared under no.32a as
Aircraft purchase.
Question now is.
AAX has off balance sheet costs not mentioned clearly.
What is the actual depreciation cost?
And profit of only Rm11 million cannot cover depreciation cost.
As depreciation increases year after year the real value of these 29 aircrafts will lose more and more value.
One day AAX will also go the way of hubline.
Hubline has high Nta but why it is only traded at only half sen?
The answer is this.
Hubline's Nta is based on past value of newly bought ships. Now that hubline ships are rotting away there is only scrap value left.
Same fate will before these 29 A330 300 planes. They are depreciate in value. If earnings cannot cover depreciation the future is bleak and cloudy.
Posted by John Lu > Nov 24, 2016 08:26 AM | Report Abuse X
I heard Calvin is selling his house to average down his cost due to DRB big drop...btw, he got house? Maybe the house make by paper...LOL...i can burn 10 house for you Calvin...LOL
Same fate will befall these 29 A330 300 planes. They all depreciate in value. If earnings cannot cover depreciation cost the future is bleak and cloudy.
Posted by John Lu > Nov 24, 2016 08:26 AM | Report Abuse X
I heard Calvin is selling his house to average down his cost due to DRB big drop...btw, he got house? Maybe the house make by paper...LOL...i can burn 10 house for you Calvin...LOL
Those 30 aircraft in operation are accounted under Non-Current Asset (whereby depreciation is charged annually) AND under operating lease (where by operating lease expense is charged). All of the 30 aircraft (be it depreciation or operating lease expense) are accounted for in the financial statements.
By the way, "NON-CANCELLABLE OPERATING LEASES " means when the planes are delivered and put into operation, you will also see "operating lease expense" instead of "Depreciation". AND you wont see it listed under "Property, Plant and Equipment" also. So please in future, dont raise the same issue again.
I suggest you read the 2015 annual report carefully where it states clearly that the capital commitments are the purchase of those airbus over next 12 years.
The most important and expensive parts of an aircraft are the engines and airframe. They are depreciated over 25-30years. AAX depreciates them over 25 years.
Please read up on all other airlines' annual report on their depreciation policy too for comparison.
Like many ppl have said, they are in depreciation and operating lease expense already.
Mr Calvin, yesterday in your reply to me you threw me the word off balance sheet. I thought you understand already,but no. You did not.
In layman term, you just consider AAX lease the plane from a lessor. As lessee, they pay the operating lease. So, they are not putting the plane as their asset and liabilities. So, you don't see depreciation. Or even easier to understand, operating lease is the depreciation. The operating lease is the revenue for the lessor. In the lessor book, the will put the plane as their asset and liabilities,thus they depreciate it there.
This, it is off balance sheet. I read in annual report, AACL has started to take over the plane. Thus, I think in future, all planes will be part there. And by the way, AACL is making profits too.
TheContrarian, AAX is charged ~ RM1 bil/annum. However, they also sublease and earn income ~RM300mil/annum. So, it is ~RM700mil/annum. I think this is partly because they still own some aircrafts or maybe some other accounting term like leaseback (I am not sure)
What triggered me was Mr Calvin was saying, the company has revenue of 1bil/qtr and net profit of RM11mil/qtr and sitting on debt of RM110bil. He obviously thought the RM110bil is quarterly unrecorded debt instead of a sum of 12 years.
I am thinking, if AACL sold to third parties, these asset and liabilities will be parked under the new company instead of currently recorded somewhere in some company's balance sheet.
Then, AAX just continue business like usual. They may have to foregone the RM300mil income, but they will record gain from asset sales and slash off the liabilities (because I think they still own some planes). correct me if I am wrong.
These 29 aircraft were purchased/leased in prior years. Using list price given by Calvin, each were USD256.4M
Before Jun 2015 (AAX already has 26 aircraft by then), exchange rate USD-MYR were less than 3.8.
Rough estimation of cost = 29 x 256.4 x 3.8 = 28255 Rough depreciation = 28255 x 90% / 25 years = 1017M **A *90% is to calculate [cost - residual value] / 25yrs -->Please read AAX Annual Report for useful life and residual value
Looking at latest quater: Depreciation = 27985k OperatingLease = 222240k Total = 250225k for 3Q Rough estimation for a year = 250225k x 4 = 1000M **B
So the numbers (**A and **B) are very close. The depreciation/operating lease expense for all 29 aircraft are all accounted for in the Profit/Loss account.
This is just a rough estimation assuming no discount to list price. In reality, you would obviously obtained discount for volume purchase. Hence, had they decided to own them (as compared to leasing them) they would be paying much lower than 1b per year.
I just checked with Airlines depreciation for aircraft
It is about 7.5% per year depreciation cost
So AAX 29 AirBus A330 300 if valued at Rm28 BILLION
The depreciation cost would be Rm2.1 Billion per year.
So will AAX's profit be able to cover yearly depreciation of Rm2.1 Billion?
This quarter of Rm11 million profit is grossly inadequate.
So be careful now.
A Stock like Transmile (without instrinsic value) can be held up by syndicates and hopeful sorchai for an indefinite period of time. But if the fundamental is no good it will surely end badly one day.
Mr Calvin, comet2232 already pointed out to you the the value is depreciated over 25 years for major part like engine and airframe. Secondly, there is 10% residual value.
Bacalah annual report if wanna comment like a research house.
from comet's calculations should aax still have some profits to declare, this also means that they already accounted for the expenses for the depreciation/lease.
isnt this good? aiyo
TF n kama runs a tight ship and are lowering their debts.
Operating lease is common for new airlines. This is because, the cost of capital will be too high if they want to buy the plane. The fact that they are covering the operating lease and still make money is enough to tell you they are able to cover expenses.
If you want to argue on depreciation, there is something else to argue about. I am not going to tell you. hahaha.
Wanna argue, must be hit the nerve. you hitting wrong place, bro.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
AndyLow
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Posted by AndyLow > 2016-11-23 22:32 | Report Abuse
dun answer means u are really fake lo....sorry