Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 00:06 | Report Abuse

Correctloh....that does not mean the chinese party is going to share the lion pie with jaks mah....!!

Maybe the chinese party may leave some crumbs with jaks & keep the lion helping for themselves loh...!!

Posted by qqq3 > Jul 18, 2019 11:58 PM | Report Abuse

raid....no one can do infrastruture and power plants like the Chinese..

Posted by (S=QR) Philip > 2019-07-19 07:51 | Report Abuse

For that you just need to look at YINSON performance. 4 billion company to 8 billion company easily.

For my QL returns( 1 billion dollar company to 11 billion dollar company in 10 years), this year I have received far more dividends than my initial investment in 2009. As the growth story had not ended yet (thus confidence to hold at 50 pe), I don't find any reason to jump in and out of stocks, as I look to the business, not the change in share price. If the business is doing good, I will receive share price increase and dividends increase naturally.

For me safety of capital is also a huge huge requirement. Even in volatile bursa my shares in ql has never had a big drop that made me unable to sleep at night.

Also kc Chong math is inaccurate on INSAS performance. As someone who also does not have a crystal ball and unable to know exactly when to buy a stock, all I can do is try to understand the business and add more every quarter. As this is a more natural progression of investors ( rather than the guy who can buy and forget for 10 years), my record of INSAS would then become far less exemplary ( for the period of 17 July 2009 to 17 July 2019). In other words, lumpy.

If you could not predict the trading profits from IPO and m&a in 2013, how could you have know how the business will perform 10 years from now?

Answer: do you think a company with new management (Wong gian kui) and whose stellar investments are in startups like tribecar, numoni, dome and sengenics, will they be able grow the business in the future?

Thank you


>>>>>>>>>

P/S: Please tell Philip will he expect QL to give him 100% return within a year. Only qqq3 claims to achieve so by hoodwinked greater fool buying into his story and buy the share from his hand.
18/07/2019 1:10 PM

Posted by kcchongnz > 2019-07-19 10:36 | Report Abuse

Posted by (S=QR) Philip > Jul 19, 2019 7:51 AM | Report Abuse

Also kc Chong math is inaccurate on INSAS performance. As someone who also does not have a crystal ball and unable to know exactly when to buy a stock, all I can do is try to understand the business and add more every quarter. As this is a more natural progression of investors ( rather than the guy who can buy and forget for 10 years), my record of INSAS would then become far less exemplary ( for the period of 17 July 2009 to 17 July 2019). In other words, lumpy.

Math is math. Although math is very useful in investing, but math is not investing, and investing is also not math.

Which part of the math I put forward is inaccurate? I would like to correct it in my post if it is grossly inaccurate.

Posted by qqq3 > 2019-07-19 10:37 | Report Abuse

by stockraider > Jul 19, 2019 12:06 AM | Report Abuse

Maybe the chinese party may leave some crumbs with jaks & keep the lion helping for themselves loh...!!

=============

make enough sell and enjoy.............


at 80 sen, good bet.....

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 10:49 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by qqq3 > 2019-07-19 10:53 | Report Abuse

https://www.forbes.com/sites/garymishuris/2019/07/17/how-i-spotted-a-fraud-before-it-was-too-late/

$ 70 to $ 4....and $ 4 to $ 40.............

That is also how Jaaks will make me money................

Posted by Lukey_Greek > 2019-07-19 11:32 | Report Abuse

No point to argue on the adventages or disadvantage of asset play vs profit growth play, since both are FA. Its just different investment strategies suit for different investors' preferences and risk appetite.

Posted by (S=QR) Philip > 2019-07-19 11:33 | Report Abuse

So how about ALL of your recent picks, sape up half cent every day, all talk bullshit. Past performance of you don't say anything no worries, yinson up from 4 billion to 7 billion any comment???

What's your pick my young friend?

Oh I forgot you have ZERO portfolio, but you talk the most.


>>>>>>>>>

Posted by stockraider > Jul 19, 2019 10:49 AM | Report Abuse

Your recent actual pick on gkent , pchem and QL not inspiring at all mah...!!

Tell Grandmother story how good is ur past performance, cannot be verify loh....!!

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 11:35 | Report Abuse

Correctloh...those who have shallow thinking are those who criticize this well proven & develop ideas of Ben Graham loh...!!

Posted by Lukey_Greek > Jul 19, 2019 11:32 AM | Report Abuse

No point to argue on the adventages or disadvantage of asset play vs profit growth play, since both are FA. Its just different investment strategies suit for different investors' preferences and risk appetite.

Posted by Lukey_Greek > 2019-07-19 11:38 | Report Abuse

Its just like Philip keeps tellilng the advantages of buying shophouses with constant rental yield & capital appreciation. But it doestn mean the ppl buying agri land with fair/ discount price is fool, especially the one with good location near to the city. Eventhough the return is uncertain, but it might be lucrative when the time comes.

The key issue here is to get the good assets.

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 11:39 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by lazycat > 2019-07-19 11:39 | Report Abuse

phillip u buy more topglove?

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 15:28 | Report Abuse

>>>

Posted by stockraider > Jul 10, 2019 5:01 PM | Report Abuse

So whenever u invest always ask yourself where is your margin safety anchored ??

Is it profit growth ??

Low PE ??

Strong Cashflow ?

Strong dividend ?

High NTA ?

Huge Hidden Reserve ??

High cash holdings ??

If the anchored u highly depended on for your initial investment falter, n no longer valid, u better run quickly & swift b4 too late loh....!!

U quickly lock in your profit & cut your losses fast loh...!!

If the sell not trigger, u hold & ride your gain loh....!!

>>>>




Just take a look at Hengyuan.

Then you will realise how dishonest, silly and shameless raider is.

Even he cannot trust himself!

Today Hengyuan is 5.10.


So long for his abilities, his margin of safety principles, his verbosity, and his big troll-ey.





Those who have listened and acted on raider's comments on DLady, Nestle, PBB, Petdag, Padini, Guinness, LPI, Aeon Credit, .... over the last 5 to 10 years, would have been harmed financially. All these stocks have been proven to be great investments with great returns. Also, it meant they were all great under-valued growth stocks with huge margin of safety, available at high reward to risk ratio at their given past prìces. All these companies have grown their intrinsic values over time.




(It is more fun to write praising another. I very much like to do that but can only do so on so few occasions here.)

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 15:28 | Report Abuse

:-)

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 17:37 | Report Abuse

Nothing to shout about loh...if u hold margin of safety stock 20 yrs u get the same result too mah...!!

But with margin of safety stock u get additional few rounds of good return mah....!!


Those who have listened and acted on raider's comments on DLady, Nestle, PBB, Petdag, Padini, Guinness, LPI, Aeon Credit, .... over the last 5 to 10 years, would have been harmed financially. All these stocks have been proven to be great investments with great returns. Also, it meant they were all great under-valued growth stocks with huge margin of safety, available at high reward to risk ratio at their given past prìces. All these companies have grown their intrinsic values over time.

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 18:24 | Report Abuse

He..he..he...!!

Then why u hang around in my favorite thread Insas leh ??

Posted by i3lurker > Jul 19, 2019 6:06 PM | Report Abuse

I try to keep an open mind in case there are some gems of wisdom by other investors but over the years, I had been programmed to never bother to read anything stockraider says nowadays

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 18:58 | Report Abuse

>>>>

stockraider Nothing to shout about loh...if u hold margin of safety stock 20 yrs u get the same result too mah...!!

But with margin of safety stock u get additional few rounds of good return mah....!!


>>>>


From my observations, many value investors (raider included) are not around to reap the gains in their deeply undervalued stocks 3 or 5 years later.


Many, including raider, are momentum traders or speculators.

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 18:59 | Report Abuse

The only true long term investors in this forum are few.

You will learn of them, since they are often the targets of unsuccessful attacks by raider and his gang.

Posted by Icon8888 > 2019-07-19 19:03 | Report Abuse

zzzz

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 19:10 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 19:18 | Report Abuse

On the Contrary Raider & gang are the victim mah...!!

Take for example our Margin of safety stock insas were attacked by people who claimed long term investors like 3iii & Philip relentlessly mah....!!

This attack is done , despite the margin of safety value investor Grandmaster sifu Ben Graham, highly recommend margin of safety as the central core of investment and to avoid overvalue stock like plaque loh.....!!


Posted by 3iii > Jul 19, 2019 6:59 PM | Report Abuse

The only true long term investors in this forum are few.

You will learn of them, since they are often the targets of unsuccessful attacks by raider and his gang.

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 19:20 | Report Abuse

patience...patience...patience loh...!

Believe margin of safety will eventually payoff mah...!!



Posted by deMusangking > Jul 19, 2019 7:19 PM | Report Abuse

past, present, future = 0.80!!!!!

real value trap!!!!!!

hahaha

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 19:24 | Report Abuse

Learn from Uncle calvin Tan he is the best I3 value investor loh...!!

Posted by deMusangking > Jul 19, 2019 7:22 PM | Report Abuse

past, present, future = 0.80 = Believe margin of safety will eventually payoff mah...!! !!!!!

still in dreamland!!!!!

better sell off, otherwise u will lose all ur panttees!!!!

hahagha

Posted by Icon8888 > 2019-07-19 19:24 | Report Abuse

3iii buffett wannabe everyday acts high class

But dinner eats grass

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 19:28 | Report Abuse

U will never eat Grass if u buy insas bcos got dividend mah....!!

Don be like musang, an animal that eat shit mah....!!

Posted by deMusangking > Jul 19, 2019 7:26 PM | Report Abuse

raider eats grass!! a real cow!!!!

haha

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 19:31 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 19:31 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 19:37 | Report Abuse

U NEED TO UNDERSTAND LOH...BEN GRAHAM TRAINING ADVICE OVERVALUE STOCKS LIKE NESTLE & QL WITH PE EXCEED 50X SHOULD BE AVOIDED AT ALL COST MAH....!!

IF THESE STOCK PRICE HAD CRASHED, AND RETREATED TO AN UNDERVALUE LEVEL, THEN RAIDER WILL SUPPORT, IT GOT MARGIN OF SAFETY LOH...!!

>>>


If only I can be convinced of raider's ability in implementing his margin of safety.

I have already listed some of my stocks which have HUGE margin of safety which raider shamelessly cannot admit his past mistakes. He asked people with these stocks to sell them because there was no margin of safety. However, over the LAST 5 TO 10 YEARS, raider was proven wrong. These stocks have grown their intrinsic values over the years.

It is obvious raider knows little about margin of safety principle. If only he is humble and honest to acdmit his stupidity and mistakes. But then we know raider, he is uncouthed.

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 19:42 | Report Abuse

MARGIN OF SAFETY NO HOLLAND...IT IS USA MAH...!!

Posted by deMusangking > Jul 19, 2019 7:41 PM | Report Abuse

raider's ability in implementing his margin of safety. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> to holland!!!!

hahaha

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 19:47 | Report Abuse

What Is Margin of Safety?

Margin of safety is a principle of investing in which an investor only purchases securities when their market price is significantly below their intrinsic value. In other words, when the market price of a security is significantly below your estimation of its intrinsic value, the difference is the margin of safety. Because investors may set a margin of safety in accordance with their own risk preferences, buying securities when this difference is present allows an investment to be made with minimal downside risk.

Example of Margin of Safety

As scholarly as Graham was, his principle was based on simple truths. He knew that a stock priced at $1 today could just as likely be valued at 50 cents or $1.50 in the future. He also recognized that the current valuation of $1 could be off, which means he would be subjecting himself to unnecessary risk. He concluded that if he could buy a stock at a discount to its intrinsic value, he would limit his losses substantially. Although there was no guarantee that the stock’s price would increase, the discount provided the margin of safety he needed to ensure that his losses would be minimal.

For example, if he were to determine that the intrinsic value of XYZ’s stock is $162, which is well below its share price of $192, he might apply a discount of 20% for a target purchase price of $130. In this example, he may feel XYZ has a fair value at $192 but he would not consider buying it above its intrinsic value of $162. In order to absolutely limit his downside risk, he sets his purchase price at $130. Using this model, he might not be able to purchase XYZ stock anytime in the foreseeable future. However, if the stock price does decline to $130 for reasons other than a collapse of XYZ’s earnings outlook, he could buy it with confidence.

INSAS IS A GOOD EXAMPLE OF MARGIN OF SAFETY INVESTMENT LOH...!!

Posted by calvintaneng > 2019-07-19 20:20 | Report Abuse

Calvin called for a buy for Gsb at 9 sen

Then Calvin called for a strong sell on Gsb after Gsb has gone up more than 100% to 22 sen

Surprise?

Sorchai musang bought Gsb at 22 sen. Now musang trapped at 22 sen

Tell you what?

Insas and TA will both go over Rm2. 00 one day.

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 20:40 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by Connie555 > 2019-07-19 22:09 | Report Abuse

This Kay See only know how to choose a particular period for that stock to prove that it is better than others.

What if those people who bought at Rm1 at 2017, until now they lose about 20% nvr even recover yet after 2 years.

I also know how to pick a particular period to talk about share

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-19 22:46 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-19 22:53 | Report Abuse

He is helping u to make monies mah....!!

If u lose monies buy at Rm 1.00, then it is time for u to buy Rm 0.795 now, to average and make more monies mah...!!

No point complain....complain & act like pondan n miss opportunity mah..!!

Posted by Connie555 > Jul 19, 2019 10:09 PM | Report Abuse

This Kay See only know how to choose a particular period for that stock to prove that it is better than others.

What if those people who bought at Rm1 at 2017, until now they lose about 20% nvr even recover yet after 2 years.

I also know how to pick a particular period to talk about share


3iii
6100 posts
Posted by 3iii > Jul 19, 2019 10:46 PM | Report Abuse

>>>

Connie555 This Kay See only know how to choose a particular period for that stock to prove that it is better than others.

>>>>


How credible was he? :-)

Posted by dragonslayer > 2019-07-19 22:57 | Report Abuse

Aiyo..halo halo..go back insas forum lah...everywhere also gaduh same thing...insas mati pucuk lah...according to Jaks promoter cik sarifah...lol...aiyoyo...kikiki

Posted by kcchongnz > 2019-07-20 06:34 | Report Abuse

Posted by Connie555 > Jul 19, 2019 10:09 PM | Report Abuse
This Kay See only know how to choose a particular period for that stock to prove that it is better than others.
What if those people who bought at Rm1 at 2017, until now they lose about 20% nvr even recover yet after 2 years.
I also know how to pick a particular period to talk about share


Well, my comparisons for short-term, mid term and long term return of investing (not speculating)in a stock in this article were by comparing the returns over a one, three and ten years period from now, not trying to choose a date to suit.

Share price of those three stocks I used have changed by more than 500% over the last few years, which one you like to use?

If you are not agreeable to my benchmarks, you may use your own periods to dispel it. Please do and show us rather than just making a random statement like that.

Or if you prefer to use the peak and trough price of each stock, I know you won't be able to get them, I will provide you wit those prices which I took time to obtain from the Bursa graphs, maximum about 6 years, for your ease of reference as below,

Company Price Peak Trough Best gain Worst loss
Insas 0.800 1.300 0.400 100% -38%
Jaks 0.795 1.800 0.400 99% -56%
Sendai 0.460 1.700 0.400 15% -73%

To help you to understand them which I am not sure you could just by looking at the table above,

If you take the peak prices of $1.30, Insas has lost 38% to-date, compared to the loss of 56% and 73% respectively for Jaks and Sendai.

If you talk about gain from the lowest price for the last 6 years, and interestingly, all stocks have the same lowest price, Insas gained 100%, the same as Jaks, but 15% for Sendai respectively.

Take your pick, or go to do some data mining to come out with your own figures.

Posted by Icon8888 > 2019-07-20 06:43 | Report Abuse

Pick stocks based on earning

assets play does not work

Ask calvintaneng how he almost went bankrupt punting assets play

Posted by Icon8888 > 2019-07-20 06:44 | Report Abuse

The sooner you realise this the less 冤枉路you travel

Posted by 77huat77 > 2019-07-20 08:09 | Report Abuse

Agree lo just like ekovest got toll asset but cannot up one

Posted by qqq3 > 2019-07-20 09:00 | Report Abuse

There is method to icon....HTpadu 60 to $ 1.20 in a few months....the key is to find what u betting on.............

so why HTpadu 60 to $ 1.20?....Insas 80 past present and future?

truth is revealed in reality....to value investors, their truth is in their imagination.

Posted by qqq3 > 2019-07-20 09:02 | Report Abuse

There is method to icon....HTpadu 60 to $ 1.20 in a few months....the key is to find what u betting on.............

so why HTpadu 60 to $ 1.20?....Insas 80 past present and future?

truth is revealed in reality....to value investors, their truth is in their imagination and in their stubbornness.

Posted by popo92 > 2019-07-20 11:24 | Report Abuse

Margin of safety based on Intrinsic value is theoretically true but this intrinsic value should not based on merely net tangible assets value. It should based on the value that can create in future... earnings....

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-20 11:31 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-20 12:30 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-20 14:20 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-20 14:22 | Report Abuse

correctloh...calvin tan also make alot of monies on pmcorp mah...!!

Posted by 3iii > Jul 20, 2019 2:20 PM | Report Abuse

>>>

Calvin Tan is not wrong, in fact he make very good profit on some shares based on this investment concept mah...!!

>>>>>

...on some shares.

Calvin is less modest. He made few hundred percentages on nu.erous shares.

The only problem is it is too difficult to believe.

For example, after about 10 years, his GSB rose to 22 sen and he suddenly appeared claiming he has now made a few hundred percents on GSB.

As I have mentioned already, the majority, if not most of the value investors failed to capture any gains in their undervalued stocks. Why? They have already sold these shares way before some of these shares show gains many years later. Patience is so so important. Also, many of their undervalued stocks stayed undervalued and are what we termed value traps.

Looks like calvin is one who hold onto his undervalued stocks forever. He must have hundreds of these and it is just fascinating and also unbelievable to see him declaring his hundred percentages gains each time one of his old recommendations have a temporary and non sustainable run.

Truly a fascinating and unbelievable story, to me at least. Raider is more credible in this respect, in resurrecting less number of his dead stocks to claim he made a killing after umpteen years of non activity.

Posted by stockraider > 2019-07-20 14:27 | Report Abuse

Recent Calvin pick on asb is another superb value strategy mah...!!

value is unlocking for this stock mah....!!

Posted by 3iii > 2019-07-20 14:42 |

Post removed.Why?

Posted by Icon8888 > 2019-07-20 14:43 | Report Abuse

zzzzz