Actually not really. Just big shark take small fish for granted (Lehman 2.0). Opensys steady income and good dividend company falling from high 0.40 to low 0.325cents (25% decline). It considered over sold level.
Based on capacity. Malaysian banks will not go bankrupt easily as Malaysian banks are less expose to US deposits is compared to Singapore (Insignificant exposed). But it will not stop some small fish who less capacity to hold the share and do a panic selling. Winner will be rewarded to people who have solid holding force to face market crash due to panic selling.
But from Year 2019 trend (continued hit record profit in past 3-4years after bonus share issued) . We could look forward that, Opensys will make additional reward to share holder on soonest or later.
Holding force power is very important but depend on ur capacity. If based on dividend payout ratio. We can expect Opensys' business and revenue to do well moment by moment. Usually companies with steady income and good dividend payments, such as Opensys. Before the good news comes out, someone may press down to collect.
Opensys earning had stayed more or less flat at about 11 mln for 4 years. since FY2019. Current dividend payout of ~53.4% gives a DY of some 3 - 4%. This could not support a significantly higher share price as earning growth is more or less stagnant. If management of OPENSYS can increase its dividend payout to about 90% of its annual earning, its share price could likely increase to ~RM0.62. Current average share price of ~RM0.36 and div payout of RM0.014 p.a. gives DY of ~ 3.9%. This is not attractive when it is compared to for example Maybank which has a DY of typically between 6.5% to 7%. If OPENSYS div payout could increase to RM0.024 p.a., OPENSYS average share price could increase to ~RM0.62 ( RM0.36*0.024/0.014 = RM0.62). OPENSYS is a net cash Company with cash position of about RM0.083 per share or about 25% of its market cap.
past weeks many chase and hurry bought at 0.37 and above.. and excited to see it break the 0.40 resistance then continue the uptrend cos company's future is bright and prospect... now people busy throwing to 0.32... but not much buyer interested at this low price ?? investor like buy high sell low ?? or scare it will drop to below 0.30 anytime?? loss confident when seeing the price keeping down...
icst1975 - thanks bro for the calculation. this is the first time I saw such calculation. Interestingly the outcome of 0.62 you got there is very similar to the value from discounted cash flow calculation. Hehe. I have seen analysts using dividend discount modeling for dividend based intrinsic value. I like your dividend based relative extrapolation.
What noticed from the Opensys price movement. Smells like a big shark dump in the morning and a Q buyback in the afternoon. Earn a day trading money. This kind situation of panic selling is a good time for such people to make money but retail investor will be suffered due to force to sell.
1st - Are we believe Opensys Steady fix income will be affected by US bank collapse - Answer = No (Unless Bank in Malaysia collapse. But chances is less due to business model in Malaysia is different from USA)
2nd - Do we believe Opensys will stop paying out dividend - Answer = No (Because Opensys is non stop paying out dividend since 9-10years ago). We do believed Opensys will continue paying out dividend if company continue making profit
3rd - Cash Inside Bank = 0.08/cents/share. NTA=19cents, Dividend Yield @0.32cents = 4.38%. If based from this kind of steady company. Most institution fund were waited for keeping the share if share price fall further. The more share price falling the more higher dividend yield which will attract more fund into company
4th - Current situation is just temporary. Gov already well prepared after Lehman Brother collapse. After 2008-2013. Almost 20-30 banker in USA collapse. But it does not affected banking system in Malaysia
i agree with 1st. 50-50 with 2nd cos i know some companies which used to pay dividend for many years suddenly stopped paying dividend. i disagree with 3rd. cash per share of 0.08sen/share is really nothing to shout about. dividend yield of 4.38% is also nothing to shout about. for example insas cash per share is rm1.13/share compared to its share price of 75.5sen! sunreit dividend is almost 6%!
Hi Speakup. Insas ald sold profitable core business (credit card). If today Insas close shop. Yes. RM1.13. But insas still listed. Long run. Cash burning liao. If not. No need issue right issue on 2021
Good sharing guys. Keep it coming as the market force from SVB bank impact is slowly digested. Positive and negative comments are good - check and balance.
it's a natural reaction for anyone who burns their hands on this counter. Big sharks is used to kick us small fish out before could goreng. Hope the person who gave this counter all the best
With its stock down 16% over the past month, it is easy to disregard OpenSys. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits
At first glance, OpenSys seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Probably as a result of this, OpenSys was able to see a decent growth of 7.4% over the last five years.
lxx9328 - good one. more payment option means more kiosks needed. Or at least more servicing/maintenance/upgrade needed for the existing kiosks out there.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is OpenSys (M) Berhad fairly valued compared to other companies
With a three-year median payout ratio of 40% (implying that the company retains 60% of its profits), it seems that OpenSys (M) Berhad is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.
OpenSys (M) Berhad has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders
First Citizen Bank inquired SVB Bank revealed that wealth firms are looking to expand their businesses through mergers and acquisitions opportunities. Solid fundamentals Companies always play an important role in expanding their business through mergers and acquisitions.
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
lxx9328
476 posts
Posted by lxx9328 > 2023-03-14 11:34 | Report Abuse
Shareholders are expected to make share buy back before end of March and to meet dead line for Year 2022 financial Year.