Russian roulette. A draconian solution to a deadlock, a Russian roulette provision requires one of the two deadlocked parties to serve a notice on the other party, and the serving party will name an all-cash price at which it values a half interest in the business. The party receiving the notice then has the option to either buy the other party out, or sell out to the other party, at that price.
https://www.lrt3.com.my/overall-linewide-progress/ The progress is 51%++ now. By the time offer is made (4 months sometimes in September), the progress will be around 60%++, the foundation and structure the most difficult part would have completed. The remaining works will be mostly rails, system and M&E works which are easier for GK. With the RM500mil sukuk, if the offer is low price, GK can buy the half share to complete the remaining works. If the offer is good, GK can sell and we get special dividend!
Don't forget its shares in the Company and Prasarana is a bad paymaster many many months behind in payments that will go to the company and thus whoever gets ownership.
Oldwiseman in answer to your questions, the Systems includes all the software and the control systems for the operation and control of the trains. The software on the trains was supplied by GK and installation into the trains was done in China and Malaysia supervised by GK. Systems also included; all electrical supply and installations, control room systems and all associated software and hardware (in LRT-2s case even the Control center building was built and supplied by GK). All software, checkpoints and interfacing for the safe running of the trains. It also included lightening protection systems, station hardware and interface (such as station monitors lighting and speaker systems). In LRT-2s case GK supplied and installed all main equipment for maintaining and testing systems and the trains including the special in floor jacks which lift the whole train. In Lrt-2s case GK also supplied and built the tracks and switchgear. Basically everything other than the basic civil and structural. And no, Trains are not Systems. When I say supplied and built I mean it was included in GKs PDP contract as such GKs works.
@gettingreal Are you in the rail/rolling stock industry? As per my understanding, Gk's is more like a project manager, they hire specialist sub-cons for all their rail works. None of those works are done in-house. They basically sub out those jobs. So, whoever takes over and just hire those specialists again like CRCC, Bombadier, Siemens and etc. Yeah?
No I'm not a rail or rolling stock person. All the info is available on line. You are right to a degree GK works with its many foreign and local contractors, but its GKs roll to do all the planning and design work then contract the many contractors to provide an homogenous design and installation. GK has to integrate all the works, supervise the on time deliveries, installations, integrations. To do all this they have a team of on staff specialist engineers hired from all over the world. GK had over 120 full time staff of its own and engaged many many contractors. Like all big contractors (Civil and structural included) they work with an large number of specialist sub cons. At the end of the day its GK that has to deliver on time and on budget. Its a huge and very complex task. One screw up, by one small contractor and the whole project cannot work. You can imagine if your turn key building a house, their are many sub cons. If the windows guy fails to deliver on time and to the right speciation, the contract fails. In the house case easy, just get another windows guy from down the road. But in LRT there are maybe only two or three contractors in the world, and each with their own designs and specs, one may be in France one in Germany and one in Canada, and its near impossible to get their different designs to integrate instead after design close. Not as easy and putting a brown window in by Joe instead of a grey one by Harry. As I said looks easy, just hire subbies you say... but not so easy. Prasarana contracts GK to do all this and to contract with the many suppliers. Its GKs responsibility to ensure design, integration and delivery on time and on budget, a complete system that's safe and works reliably.
maybe arbitration and breach intentional to delay the activation of deadlock? balance of works more manageable and extra RM500mil sukuk ready to take over.
@stockraider The thing is biggest mistake a person can make is buying because of Philip or selling because stockraider says so. I hope everyone here does their due diligence.
stockraider is here too. Trying way too hard to prove Uncle Phillip is wrong. Lolololol! Look what he did at SERBADK, KPOWER, SCIB. Barking days and nights like a fool dog. Oi old wily stockraider. You’re no match to Uncle Phillip level loh! He’s more successful and being respected genuinely by others, unlike you. You must have a lot of haters la I wonder.
Guys, did GKent management reached a breaking point of desperation and resorted to Gloves? It's like the bubble-tea and cafe rush where everyone hoped for an easy way forward.
Quick poll, do you foresee 5 years down the road to read the news headlines "GKent seeking to sell its glove manufacturing assets as competition pummeled the ASP of gloves to below profitable level"?
With endemic becoming the norm, affecting construction heavily, and water metering to a certain extent, I am starting to think gloves venture is a good hedge. Two key things I will observe is the cost and selling price aka. profit margin. Mah sing should be a good case study in time to come. To be competitive, you need economies of scale which why they r going ham on 12bil pieces. Seriously, you need to go big and fast asap in order to suffer the next oversupply downturn. (When it comes).
If u see clearly, the construction biz itself without lrt3 contribution is loss making for the two months. It means their construction book is very depleted already.
They never secure any new contracts after PH won GE. The glove factory is probably the only new construction project. We'll have to wait until end of the year to see if they have any new incoming projects from state or fed.
without lrt projects its revenue stream is depleted to the core. i guess i will sell out since my cost basis 0.74, good luck everyone i will go buy crypto since now drop like a dog
@danny They didnt secure any project since 2016, after LRT3 by the way. But to be fair, their hands were full until 2019. During PH time, basically all contractors suffered due to lesser gov projects rollout. For year 2020? We all know what happened lah. Probably after GE15, only will the projects be given out if not new gov will come n kacau again.
So, the glove factory project is indeed timely for their construction biz, whether you like their glove venture or not, haha. Regarding LRT3 deadlock, here's the pros and cons if they sell:
Pros: -They can get assured payment now when the future of construction industry is seem to be challenging due to lack of worker, material cost, gov instability, political risk n etc. -They can focus on their water metering, hospital/WTP construction tender and glove biz which is a lot already.
Cons: -They will miss out on a chance to prove their rail construction ability and a good project reference when completed, this track record might affect their chances of future rail project participations.
I prefer them to sell if the price is reasonable because less risk is always better.
From what I've read, Gkent is a cash rich company, unfortunately, they failed to secure a new project in the last few years. This is the reason why they start to venture into a new business - gloves.
It has already drop below its intrinsic value. Just park some money here and hope for some catalyst. If lady luck is on our side and they somehow got a few more gov projects, then maybe can fly. Hopefully MRT3, which is very unlikely but it is surprises like these that pushed a stock price higher. Everybody knew Gamuda is going to get MRT3... so if they really do get it, it wont go up much. GKent on the other hand... hmmm...
then again, maybe they never even bid for MRT3. Oh well.... time will tell.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Cockroach Paul Lee
688 posts
Posted by Cockroach Paul Lee > 2021-05-24 23:57 | Report Abuse
Wowowow... gkent vs mrcb .... round 1 , fight !
Buy tickets,follow . Haha