The transaction of Eco Macalister land by Eco World (ECW MK, NR) is a good benchmark for land valuations on Penang Island.
The 1.1-acre land in Georgetown will be injected into Eco World at MYR1,002 psf.
Therefore, raise our land value assumption for STP2 to MYR400 psf from MYR360 psf. Our new assumption is still conservative – at a 60% discount to the latest transacted price.
The acquisition of a 9.9% stake could also have an important implication for the STP2 project, as the Penang State Government may now draw greater comfort given the higher shareholding held by the MD.
The endorsement by the state government could be accelerated, considering also that the two byelections in Bukit Gelugor and Teluk Intan have just concluded recently
The 9.9% stake, acquired at a 22% premium to the closing price on 28 May by Dato’ Terry Tham, should indicate his greater commitment to the company over the longer term.
More importantly, this signals the minimum price that he is willing to pay for the company (as buying 110m shares from the open market, although at a lower price, will require the declaration of shareholding interest), and MYR2.90 plus a premium will be the price that he and other shareholders would accept if there is a future takeover offer.
After meeting up with Mr Eric Chan, E&O’s deputy MD, we now view the 9.9% stake acquisition by Dato’ Terry Tham from Sime Darby in a positive light.
The reason why the market has been fuelled by speculation and scepticism over the transaction is because Sime Darby previously acquired a collective stake of almost 30% in E&O at MYR2.30/share from Dato’ Terry Tham, GK Goh and Tan Sri Wan Azmi Wan Hamzah in Aug. 2011.
With this latest transaction, Dato’ Terry Tham’s shareholding in the company will increase to 15.07%, similar to the level before he sold his partial stake to the conglomerate three years ago. Sime Darby remains the top largest shareholder with almost a 22% stake in E&O.
Endorsement for STP2 may come soon In our view, given Dato’ Terry Tham’s higher shareholding in the company, the Penang State Government would now draw greater reassurance given the full commitment of E&O’s management team. As such, the State Government’s endorsement for STP2’s masterplan could be accelerated, since the two by-elections in Bukit Gelugor, Penang, and Teluk Intan, Perak, have just concluded recently.
E&O received the conditional approval letter from the Department of Environment (DOE) on 11 April for the detailed environment impact assessment (DEIA) study and conceptual masterplan relating to the proposed reclamation of STP2.
Currently, the company is awaiting an endorsement of the masterplan from the Penang State Government.
Upon obtaining the commencement of work notice, it should be able to kick-start reclamation works. According to the plan, the final green light is expected to be granted by June/July. We view this as the next share price catalyst.
Eco Macalister land valuation sets new pricing benchmark
We raise our land value assumption for STP2 to MYR400 psf from MYR360 psf.
In end-2013, Eco World Holdings SB acquired 1.1 acres of land in Penang’s Georgetown (at the corner of Jalan Macalister and Jalan Anson) at MYR1,252 psf.
The land is now in the process of being injected into Eco World Development (ECW MK, NR) at MYR1,002 psf based on the appointed valuer’s appraisal.
We understand that Eco World intends to set up its own sales office and subsequently develop a high-rise project on the site, named Eco Macalister. These two prices, despite a 20% discrepancy that is largely attributed to the valuations given for the heritage building erected on the land, are high enough to set a new benchmark in Penang island, and should lift land prices in the northern Penang island area.
Therefore, given the prime seafront location of STP2, our revised land price assumption of MYR400 psf is reasonable and still conservative – at a 60% discount – to take into account the typical premium ascribed to smaller land parcels. Further upside is possible in a longer run, as the reclamation works progress along.
Valuation Based on an unchanged 25% discount to RNAV, we raise our FV to MYR3.52 (from MYR3.12), as our RNAV/share is lifted to MYR4.70, after we revise up our land value assumption for STP2. To summarise, the greater alignment of management’s interest resulting from the 9.9% stake acquisition by Dato’ Terry Tham, the imminent endorsement of STP2’s masterplan by the Penang state government, and rising land values in Penang island are the key re-rating catalysts for E&O. Maintain BUY.
2,80 above will the new support if can close like 2.85 today then tomorrow we shall a rise again for the first TP 2.90 ...important is evening show .any news ?
He said E&O is in Active stocks today juz now. It might be go higher price ( could be exceed Rm2.90 ) today second round 2:30 pm (3 June 2014) Vol 117,912,000 is consider high. Buy vol 26000 compared to 6900 sell vol. Advice to buy mother better.
E&O (EAST MK, BUY, FV: MYR3.52) Further Catalysts For Share Price Company Update
We maintain our BUY rating with a higher FV of MYR3.52 on E&O. The three re-rating catalysts driving our FV upgrade are: (i) greater management’s commitment after the recent 9.9% shares acquisition at MYR2.90/share; (ii) acceleration of the Penang State Government’s endorsement for STP2’s masterplan; and (iii) transacted price for the Eco Macalister land bumps up our RNAV with our new land value assumption of MYR400 psf for STP2. .
My markers tell me TP 2.89 and it touched 2.86 today. As close as it may seem, it will still be a gamble to predict whether it can move like it did today but nevertheless the support is at 2.52. Need 1 more day or two to confirm stability
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Equityengineer
1,674 posts
Posted by Equityengineer > 2014-06-03 09:32 | Report Abuse
Today will be a new high close ...