Seeking advise.. This counter will probably be just within range bound until the India power generation start to provide the constant revenue stream by end of the year, then will see re-rating. As an investor, do you see it worth to hold on to it patiently till end of the year? Or just move to other counter instead and forget about the long term play. The consolation is that it still offer 3+% dividend yield.
If the other counter offer better return in the short to medium term, you may consider to shift. As an investor you have to believe in yourself and make your decision based on reasonable facts.
Does anybody know how much is the recurring earnings that is supposed to be generated from the 26% stake in the India power plant after the project is completed?
Based on CIMB recent analysis report. 18% of recurring income and net profit of RM385million is estimated for financial year 2015. The total recurring income by the time should be RM69million per year. Recurring income for year 2013 is about 15.5% and net profit is estimated to be RM217million. The current recurring income is about RM33.6million per year. The incremental recurring income per year should be around RM35million or RM0.06 per share [RM549million based on the report].
The actual recurring earning from IPP is still uncertain until the term and condition of cost pass through mechanism is approved by authorities in India.
Thanks LawrenceLim. I read somewhere the CEO/MD said that in future the recurring income will make up 60% to 70% of the company's earnings. Based on last year's EPS, I thought the EPS from the India IPP would be about 60% x 43 sen = 26 sen. Guess I was wrong.
Is there any other projects in the pipeline that will produce recurring income? I just wonder why the CEO/MD made the claim about 60% to 70% of earnings will be recurring income.
In long term, it is the company target to have 60% to 70% recurring income. The company will continue assess project that will contribute to recurring income, like the power plant plan in Myanmar etc. I am sure management will do something on the huge bank balances. It is ever ready to take up profit making project.
“We think the market will start looking for new large-cap ideas to continue to ride on the buoyant infrastructure and Iskandar Malaysia themes. With Gamuda and UEM Land Holdings Bhd have already been rerated and over-owned, interest should filter down to MMC,” said the analyst in the note.
Isn't Mudajaya a good construction company as well? It is not related to Iskandar though.
LawrenceLim, I found something interesting. Last paragraph of the article. "Mudajaya guided share of profits to the tune of RM100 million per annum from its 26 per cent stake in RKM Powergen upon full commissioning."
I couldn't the figures in CIMB report. However, the CIMB analyst calculated the Fair Value of the 26% stake based on 20 years discounted cash flows is RM494.7 mil. This is about RM0.99 per share.
If FV = RM0.99, and EPS = 0.15, then P/E = 6.6 This is very low P/E for a recurring income. Either the FV is too pessimistic, or the EPS is overly optimistic. Possibly the low P/E is to reflect the risk in the India project. After the project is completed and the powerplant starts operation then probably the P/E might adjust higher.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
fishbone
120 posts
Posted by fishbone > 2013-05-25 23:12 | Report Abuse
Paying 2.5 sen dividend in june and 3 sen in july - total 5.5 sen