future earnings growth is much more visible with Mycron...it targets local market with protection via import duty on CRC + recent closure of Megasteel which leads to earlier removal on HRC duty.
The HRC imported will has huge potential contribution to it Steel Tube Segment & its pure CRC segments too...
Good say, probability, the following may be worth to take a look:
In Note A11 of Quarterly report 31/3/2016, the following are stated: In February 2016, the dominant domestic HRC supplier abruptly halted production and supply reportedly due to unpaid electric bills and stiff foreign competition. The Group’s Steel Tube operation was affected by unfulfilled delivery orders of 2,500 tonnes of HRC
In Note B1 of Quarterly report 30/6/2016, the following are stated: the Steel Tube subsidiary’s sales volume is down 14% but the average unit selling price is up 3%. The declined in the Steel Tube sales volume for the current quarter is mainly attributed to shipment delay of raw materials
you know who some people cant make money in share ? they think mycron is highest and expensive to buy. you should change your mind, when people think expensive and stop buying, you should buy. when people think cheap and buy, you should sell
wow...i am such a lousy investor..i am thinking of selling my mycron shares..didnt buy a lot ...so, i should keep to let the price go up to TP?...this counter does not pay dividend.. :(
Understand the past records & figures, knowing the business developments & future projection, set your own targets based on your calculation as the business owner of this company, then you will be clear what do you want.
In support on the above analysis, please refer the following notes in the quarterly reports:
In Note A11 of Quarterly report 31/3/2016, the following are stated: In February 2016, the dominant domestic HRC supplier abruptly halted production and supply reportedly due to unpaid electric bills and stiff foreign competition. The Group’s Steel Tube operation was affected by unfulfilled delivery orders of 2,500 tonnes of HRC
In Note B1 of Quarterly report 30/6/2016, the following are stated: the Steel Tube subsidiary’s sales volume is down 14% but the average unit selling price is up 3%. The declined in the Steel Tube sales volume for the current quarter is mainly attributed to shipment delay of raw materials
Moneysifu, thanks for your advice. However, I find your description "time bomb" as a gross exaggeration.
In a worst case scenario, where this associate is not viable, and therefore cannot be sold off for any value, Melewar will take a ONE-TIME hit of RM33m which represent roughly 10% of their net asset value. Operating earnings flow remain the same. NTA will come down to RM1.25/share.
Anyway, appreciate your highlighting this point to me. Cheers.
WealthWizard, thank you so much for the derivation above... This means if not because of the delay in HRC import and the Impairment loss, the EPS would have been 6 cents for the last quarter alone! Fantastic...
You may refer to latest querterly report of SSteel where there was an impairment loss, the share price drop more than 10%. Price has since recovered but some people may have suffered losses because of cut loss.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
probability
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Posted by probability > 2016-10-22 15:34 | Report Abuse
To get an idea on Mycron's Steel Tube Segment's specific products & its Applications...and how its made:
http://www.sigmahardware.com.my/download/MIG%20Melawar%20Product%20Catalog.pdf