Local HRC can never compete with Asian HRC...as can be seen on the Mycron's annual report Page 13 Price Charts.
Even if there are to be local HRC manufacturer, government had decided to end the protection via Duty by Jan 2018 ~ almost zero. This probably will take place much earlier.
Note that Mycron had already started sourcing externally as mentioned in their reports.
Its impossible for any local HRC producer to become fully in operation commercially and capture the local market share by this time frame ~ 1 years considering the local disadvantage of having huge TNB tariff on electricity.
Management hinted that the company will be able to make good profits due to the consistent spread / margin maintained between the CRC & HRC prices, no matter what happens in the raw material price
True, even how hard we have worked on the calculation & read all reports/news, we still have to look up to Mr Market to see how he plays the card everyday :)
Mycron was purely dragged down by CSC Steel which had 3 factors that caused cscsteel to plunge...based on my 2 cents judgement:
i) lack of a relatively clearer - tangible visibility on the expected future earnings.. ii) superinvestor's loss of credibility recently.. iii) market sell down like no tomorrow..
but as usual always reassure yourself by checking on the hard facts..again and again...
I think there is a clear intention (or it makes better sense) by the Management - Melewar to push up the price of Mycron such that they can indirectly raise the price of Melewar to sell their shares there...
This way their stakes in Mycron is unaffected.... I have seen this done by Insas on Inari many years ago...
Probability, thx for the sharing. But, with 71.5% Mycron share held by Melewar, they are bond tightly together now. It depend in how Melewar Industry Group choose to release their capital. With the bluishness from China Steel -CRC both Melewar & Mycron still have a long uptrending way to go. My 2 cent only.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Goodiinvestor
121 posts
Posted by Goodiinvestor > 2016-11-01 09:57 | Report Abuse
Hot rolled steel hit highest ever since last night