World's largest underground city planned for Bandar M'sia https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/360456 (A gross development value of RM160 billion). This should augur very well for all kind of steel makers in Malaysia
With now many countries are imposing anti-dumping duties over China steel products, the Governments are putting efforts & taking steps to protect local steel industries.
i had checked the China CRC at that time...in terms of USD..it is approximately 10% cheaper than what had been reported as 548USD/Mt at that time on ~ 28 March 2016 locally, refer below data:
u can see the reported price of HRC in Yuan & then the USD value at that time to calculate the USD price of CRC at that time using the reported value of CRC in Yuan.
From SEAISI you can obtain the latest steel prices...and my best reasoning tells that the local price is always exactly 10% higher than what is reported there for the CRC in SEAISI. I think this is about the most accurate we can get...
Using the current duty imposed on HRC and the above information on local CRC, we can calculate Spread Locally...based on the external China CRC & HRC price.
The only reason for local price not to be at fixed factor -ratio (like the above 10% due to say import tax) against the external price is probably due to sudden spike in demand or shortage in supply where the local consumers are left in desperate condition.....but in any case...local suppliers are to gain - they have an advantage due to shorter delivery time.
it would be interesting to use the SEAISI reported HRC price figures & compare it with the Local historical Cost figures from the above chart prepared by WW (to find a link)....and then use the SEAISI figures again to predict the local CRC & HRC prices for Qtr ending 30/09/16 to predict the coming quarter results...he he..
WealthWizard is looking at RM1.68, he also suggested RM1.44, it is up to you if you want to set at even lower target price, everyone is freely to lock in the profit as long as you feel comfortable.
Just sold all MYCRON at 1.2. Thank you very much. Took the money to top up CSCSTEL and EKOVEST, should have bigger profit margin for CSCSTEL and EKOVEST at current price, higher target price.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
bryan3430
2 posts
Posted by bryan3430 > 2016-10-25 10:51 | Report Abuse
buy....will increase for long term.