Very illiquid counter but solid company. Only 137m shares and has over RM155m cash on hand and virtually debt free.
Owns over 600+ freehold land in Shah Alam, behind Kota Kemuning and near IJM Land's Rimbayu. Currently stated in accounts at approx. RM5 psf but should be worth at least RM 40 psf.
IJM Rimbayu is selling like a piece of hot cake right now. 644 acre of freehold land (Thugamalay Estate) can easily fetch up to 1.0 Billion (assuming Rm40/ft^2), that works out to be ~RM8/= per share.
Personally, I think the valuation given by Public Investment Bank on the 644 acre landbank at RM 562 million is still too conservative.
The land is surrounded by IJM's Rimbayu and Tropicana's Canal City but these 2 projects are on Leasehold Land whereas SAB's land is the last Freehold Land in this area and is directly behind Kota Kemuning.
actually may i know where to see the property (example 644 acre landbank surrounded by IJM's Rimbayu and Tropicana's Canal City). Appreciate so much if someone could told me~ ^_^
sab is a net cash co., this make a big different. nevertheless, except for true long term holder, do know when to sell. sab has shot from 2.9 -> 4.06 in couple of days. good luck!!
not too sure what oleochemical is, can someone please explain? Though I read that its related to palm oil, and international palm oil prices are following, so not too sure how this stock will do in the long run.
You can also check on the IJM Land Rimbayu website.
SAB currently has 156M cash, total liability of 62M, market value of 377M (RM2.75/= per share x 137M share capital). The enterprise value of SAB is 283M. If we ignore all its other properties like (1) 10,000 acre of palm oil plantation in Indonesia, (2) a specialist hospital in Klang (3) receivable/inventory and calculate how much is the land in Kota Kemuning, the calculation follows.
Area = 644 acre x 43600 ft^2/acre = 28M ft^2
Price per ft^2 = Enterprise value/ area = 283M/28M = RM 10/ft^2.
To build one house with an area of 1760 (22 ft x 80 ft), the land costs only RM 17k. Compare this with the current selling price of Rimbayu project, which could easily be 400k if not less.
is a good buy, people give target price is RM 7.7. keep for long term. and notice the share in market is not much. can go up very fast just like Ecoworld.
With the price surge observed on SAB in last few days, many would wonder if it is getting too expensive now?
Let me do a rough breakdown of the company and see how much does it really worth.
(1) The company has net cash of 89 M (cash of 155M - total liability of 66 M). It is RM 0.65/= per share. (2) 10800 acre of palm oil plantation in Indonesia. Let us conservatively assume RM10k per acre. It is worth 108 M, or RM0.78/= per share. (3) Olechemical industry: It is making 23M PBT in 2013. Assume Tax of 25%, PE = 5.0. It is worth 23 x 0.75 x 5 = 86 M, or RM 0.63/= per share. (4) Health Care, 3.8M PBT in 2013. Again, Tax of 25%, but PE should be higher at 10. It is worth 3.8 x 0.75 x 10 = 28.5M, or RM 0.20/= per share.
If we sum up item 1 to 4, it works out to be ~RM2.2
With the share price at RM4/=, one is actually paying RM1.8/= for the land in Kota Kemuning. One lot of SAB has ~200 ft^2, which works out to be RM 9/= per ft^2.
If I remember correctly, land cost is normally about 20% of a house's selling price. I am living in Penang, might not familiar with the real estate in Kota Kemuning. From my limited network, I know that currently in that area, a double story link house worth not less than RM500k (project by paramount, a company linked to SAB). The land cost for a landed property (about 2000 ft^2) is 20% of 500k, which is about 100k, or about RM50/= per ft^2.
Another reference comes from the transaction by Dijaya Corporation. The company acquired 1172 acres of land next to Rimbayu at 1.3B, which works out to be RM25/= per foot. See link below.
If we assume RM25/= per foot for the land, together with its net cash, palm oil plantation, etc. The target price should be ~RM7/= per share, which is not far from public bank target price.
Land is the most conservative, safest asset to invest if the entry price is reasonable.
Kltan, thanks for ur previous research n information that I come across in this forum. Ur information provided in this forum is very clear n supportive. All along, I was thinking that this counter stock (SAB) is very expensive from the recent upsurge. However, base on ur calculations assests , liquidity plus TP around RM7, I think it's still cheap base on the current market price.
Best of all to sab investors do take note!!!. Best buy stock. Dare to invest there is always a challenge n hope n with a little bit of patience it will reap somehow.!!'
Kltan I ageed with ur concept. In general point of view , there is some risks in investing.
Thank for ur solid info. Bye! and have a nice tomorrow 2 everyone in this forum.
the biggest risk in this counter is: the management might not do anything to the land for the next 10 years, just like Kseng case. there is absolute nothing we, as small shareholders, can do.
Having multple assets arejust good enough to turn the wheels of ernings fr SAB,...1 billion could be worth 5to 6 billions when those lands converts tomproperty....
I do agree with you. Year after year, they produce good results even while they are keeping the land. Perhaps, we need a longer time frame holding it, but reading what you all contribute is very convincing. I haven't take up any position yet, as the price had run up. Am watching it and interested, got to look at its business and reports first
BUY SAB !! why? refer to announcement dated 28.03.2014,the company pump in Rm 136,900,000 into Pembinaan Gejati Sdn Bhd ,actually PGSB is the ultimate land owner of Kota Kemuning land...why they put in such big amount cash into PGSB...the only reason is ...they want to develop the land by their own... What is the value of this company? here is the simple calculation - Ecoworld buy Rm35/sq ft for a piece of LEASEHOLD land in K.Kemuning, which it mean the minimum land value(freehold) of SAB is : 35 x 43560 x 644 = Rm981,842,400 the company generate Rm 34,464,000 profit (f/y Jan 2013) : 34,464,000 x 10(P/E 10) = Rm 344,640,000 , the total value of company was Rm 1,327,482,400/136,934,132 = Rm9.69/share above calculation was minimum amount,why? Year 2013 Dijacor bought the land near Rimbayu with Rm 25/sq feet, year 2014 Ecoworld bought Rm 35/sq ft...how about year 2015 ...2016...2017......and now the company intend to develop the land, how much extra profit they can generate from this land? I dono, but sure this company was deep under value !!
SAB eyes commercial milling to boost future earnings. (This article first appeared in the Edge Financial Daily).Latest info - 07/04 / 2014...............must read.
Today finally (SAB) trading market volume has somehow show some positive note for its coming uptrend momentum. The trading daily market volume have surpassed it's four figure digits instead of being lacklustres for quite some times.
Many mid cap stocks has not perform well in the past several weeks as compared to penny or third liner stocks. Certain many penny stocks or third liner stocks has remained robusts n exceed their intrinsic value.
Likewise, base on some financial analysts remarks n overall regional positive market support, it's time to focus more on mid cap stocks with strong underlying balanced sheet.
SAB is said to be one of the stocks with far reaching goals for future investments n undervalue.
If SAB has taken a bolder step in its business opportunities l think it's share price supposed to have went up n reflect it's actual TP price instead of staying in a dead lock position.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Ong Chong Sin
8 posts
Posted by Ong Chong Sin > 2013-11-29 21:47 | Report Abuse
Big plantation land bank for property development in kelang area