Sacrifices shareholder !? How.... Major shareholder is not selling its stake, EPF is still holding well. Short term share price and current depress price solely due to weak market sentiment and fear of property glut. Market overlook what tropicana have created numerous value for its shareholder, disposed kl land, dispose power kimia, disposed capital all, all these one off gain will be recognized in upcoming and next quarter result, greatly improved tropicana gearing level from 0.78x to below 0.40x, strengthen balance sheet and boosting cash flow. In additon, in current lukewarm property market, the ability of property developer to sell and lock in unbilled sale is much more important than those property developer sitting on vacant undeveloped land, or carry big unsold inventory. I think tropicana locked in and unbilled sale will further surge from current RM 2.3 billion to above RM 2.8 bilion, ensuring tropicana next 3 year earning visibility. Back to market most worry about trop huge exposure in Iskandar zone A, tropicana. Have scale down the new property development, but it's exititng shoplot in oasis phase 1 and phase 2, both already sold out. The phase 1 almost fully complete and its phase 2 already in fast progress. In addition, tropicana have also change develop plan from high rise into landed property, which is more stable and meet demand.
Check last year lor. Private placement at 1.78, tropicana Aman was suppose to launch last year, debt ratio was suppose to be at 0.55 lat year, the. Then inevitable happen, launch didn't happen, par down didn't happen, instead Danny bought more and all analyst tulan with him as call made after interview was buy with tp2.15.
If tropicana value failed to emerge last year, causing share price depress until below RM 1.00, then these year from coming quarter onward, you will see the real change in tropicana balance sheet and its numerous value created, which will only notice later by market once all these one off gain and cash is booked in and record in its financial result.
Tropicana Aman have launched phase 1 in Mar, GDV RM 450m and have SOLD out, tropicana the residence in kl, next to klcc also have official launched, GDV RM 800m residence unit is atop of the global famous W 5 star hotel, total 57 storey high tower and only residence unit is offer for sale, leaseback agreement is offer with 6% return lease to hotel operator.
Bear in mind that remaining GDV for Tropicana is around RM70B which is comparable with SP Setia ( GDV 74B), Mahsing (GDV 44B). At that high remaining GDV, market cap for Tropicana only RM1.4B now compare to Mahsing with market cap at RM3.6B. So which is undervalue and worth to buy?
Aiya those old story ady. It's not about the. Achieving the numbers. That one they hv proven, their unbilled enough cover ady. But the big problem is they cannot and never keep their promise. Go and check the interview with Kenanga in 2013 lor.
Since they failed that one among the 3 promises earlier, no one trusted them. Hv u seen billion dollar revenue but share price like shit? U are looking at it
Hahaha, it is very common herd mentality, when share is up, everyone is chasing, good sentiment. But when share is depress, everyone seem very skeptical, thinking worst have yet to come, withhold buying when there is huge discount, weak sentiment.
Nevertheless, is the share price always reflect stock fundamental !? Imaging, share price above 1.00 in last week, 1.10 in last month, but current at below 1.00, would there indeed reflect stock fundamental !? Investor seem failed to realize there is difference in relationship on what is stock underlying business and share price in the open market. In summary, short term, share price is affect by market sentiment + technical analysis, but in long term, share price will eventually play catch up on improved stock fundamental to reflect either stock partially, fully value or overvalue
Nonetheless, from what your tag name TropicanisDead, you already very bias and distrust what tropicana can deliver. But, it is free market, everyone have a right to buy or not to buy, all based on own discretion decision and responsible and bear own risk and enjoy own reward. Tropicana is wining stock or loser stock !? Time will proved, very soon by end of these month.
When you bottom fishing, buy at huge discount price, many are skeptical...like ...the worse has yet to come.....but, when share is rebound, marked up, many will chasing after, cited reverse trend...blablabla.
If Fundamentally is good, i don't mind catching falling knife :D).
Look back at Malton today, massive selloff at 77sen just now, but it also allow Portfolio to grab quickly with large volume, turning Malton become one of the biggest stock in my portfolio.
Tropicana if is falling knife, still very slow, so, need time and patience to accumulate on weakness :D)
The share price will hit 1.45 due to technical correction and later hit 2.00 as previously mentioned. Institutions already collecting based on fundamentals. Counter is trading at more than 50 percent discount to NTA.
Bankers said they already achieved more than RM1.2 billion sales up to date. Take up rates in their projects are strong especially in Klang Valley. Analysts should be rerating soon.
If you bought today sinchew night edition newspaper or wait for tomorrow, huge multiple full page to sowcase of trop property, trop height, trop metro, trop aman. Have a insight view of what trop is going to deliver..
Hey brother..u all should check on the take-up rate of tropicana properties before u think bout goreng-in. Huge discount now. due to slow sales. they're on high gearing. sold of tropics shopping mall to cover.
it'll stay within 1.00 range for at least 2 years.
Thank for your concern brother. i brought this stock since Feb this year at the price of 1.04. That why i say no eyes see.lol. Last week i was in sunway property fair,when straight to the trop counter, the saleswomen tell me, most of the trop on going property is 70% sold or 100% sold out.
The profit of latest Q result (23.165mil) actually is better than previous Q (89.456mil, actual is minus 69.9 mil) which was boosted by gains of RM69.9mil arising from the disposals of investment properties and a subsidiary of a joint venture. Revenue also up about 2.5% to RM364.9mil. With huge unbilled sales of RM3 billion! Feel good and will accumulate more at this very reasonable share price.
Profit was dropped 74% but if verified in details is improved by 15%+ if we deleted the gained due to profit from disposAL of investment properties and subsidiary of joined venture.
Despite cautious industry sentiments, Tropicana’s performance proved resilient. In May, the Group recorded an overwhelming success in its maiden properties launch in Tropicana Aman, Shah Alam, where all 432 units of two- and three-storey Arahsia Residences link homes with gross development value of RM342 million were fully taken up. For the first half of 2015, Tropicana has achieved a total sale of RM787.4 million as at 30 June 2015 in addition to having secured unbilled sales at a record high of RM3.0 billion which places it in a position to deliver sustainable performance in the near future. Overall, the Group is confident of achieving total sales comparable to previous financial year of RM1.5 billion in FY2015 in new sales.
Better in term of higher EPS compare with Q1 2015.
QR does not include Tropicana Tenaga Kimia and Tropicana City Mall disposal gain which only completed in July'15 and will bring in RM 735 million cash.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
hng33
20,318 posts
Posted by hng33 > 2015-08-04 22:47 | Report Abuse
Hahaha.....value investing