Back 12M17 core LATAMI which came in at RM179.2m compared to the core loss of RM152.6m in 12M16 is below expectations compared to our RM46m and consensus RM151m estimates. However, we believe the worst is over for Parkson and expect its FY18 to start on a clean slate following a kitchen sinking exercise and swift improvement in China’s operations. Specifically, this quarter marks the 2nd successive quarter of improvement in operating profit in China, highlighting that efforts including closures of underperforming stores and rationalization measure have reduced same-store’s operating expenses and bearing fruit. Maintain OUTPERFORM. Our target price is RM0.88 based on sum-of-parts.
Result Highlights. QoQ, 4Q17 revenue fell 8%, no thanks to Vietnam (- 14%). However, key markets registered positive same-store-sales growth including China (+2.4% vs. -2.2% in 1Q17), Malaysia (+14% vs -1.4% in 1Q17) and Indonesia (+11% vs. -18.2% in 1Q17). Malaysia and Indonesia same-store sales growth benefitted from Hari Raya festivities following the shift in festive calendar. The weakness in Vietnam continued due to competitive pressure. More importantly, 4Q17 China operations continued to show improvement registering second quarterly consecutive improvement due to positive SSSG growth, closures of underperforming stores and rationalization measure, which had reduced same store’s operating expenses. Specifically, 53%-owned Parkson China’s (FYE Dec) 1H17 recorded a core net profit RMB18,1m (RM11m). Excluding impairment loss on PPE, intangible assets, and other receivables amounting to an expected aggregate of RM70m, 4Q17 core net loss is flat at RM26.0m compared to a loss of RM25.8m in 3Q17 (excluding one-off impairment losses on receivables amounting to RM7.5m and stripping out gains from disposal of a subsidiary at approximately RM330m) arising from elimination of loss-making stores’ closures and lower operating expenses. No dividend was declared in this quarter as expected. No dividend was declared in this quarter as expected.
YTD, 12M17 revenue rose 2% mitigated by narrowing negative SSSG in China (-1% vs -10% in 12M16) due to its transformational strategies undertaken, which are bearing fruits, including aligning with the evolving retail markets and closures of underperforming stores. This brings 12MFY17 China operating loss has narrowed considerably to RM42m from RM91m in 12MFY16. SSSG rates were mixed across the board, including Malaysia (+3% vs -6.5% in 12M16), Vietnam (-14% vs. -2.9% in 12M16) and Indonesia (-2% vs. +4.7% in 12M16). However, Parkson 12M17 core losses widened slightly to RM179m after stripping out: (i) gain from disposal of a subsidiary, and (ii) impairment loss on intangible assets and receivables (RM352.4), and (ii) impairment loss on receivables amounting to RM60-70m (Parkson Holdings’ effective stakes).
Outlook. The Group focuses on delivering its transformational strategies closely aligning with the evolving retail markets, which include: (i) enriching its retail format and expanding its product and services offerings, (ii) optimising store effectiveness and efficiency, and (iii) enhancing cross platform experience for its customers. Specifically, the first Parkson Newcore Citymall was officially opened in January 2016 in Shanghai, which offers value-for-money products in a vibrant, energetic and innovative shopping environment. Sales of this Korean-themed outlet increased visibly in 2016 compared to the year before. In South-East Asia, operating environments in the Southeast Asian region are anticipated to remain challenging due to the fragile consumer sentiment. The Group will exercise vigilance in pursuing its strategies to transform Parkson into a life-style concept retail business.
Maintain Outperform and target price at RM0.88. We like Parkson because: (i) its strategy of optimising its retail format and expanding its product and services offerings is paying off, (ii) it is minimising stores losses via optimising store effectiveness and efficiency, which are bearing fruits, and (iii) 2Q17 China operating profit is showing encouraging signs of improvement
Type Announcement Subject OTHERS Description Incorporation of a Subsidiary The Board of Directors of Parkson Holdings Berhad (the "Company") wishes to announce that Releomont (Hong Kong) Limited ("Releomont"), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Parkson Retail Group Limited ("Parkson Retail"), which in turn is a 54.97% owned subsidiary of the Company and listed on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited had on 28 September 2017, received the Business Licence of Anshan Parkson Retail Development Co., Ltd. ("Anshan Parkson"), following its incorporation by Releomont in the People's Republic of China on 11 September 2017. Anshan Parkson is wholly-owned by Releomont.
Consequent thereupon, Anshan Parkson became a wholly-owned subsidiary of Parkson Retail and hence, a subsidiary of the Company.
Anshan Parkson will have a registered capital of Rmb10 million (equivalent to RM6.4 million) and will be principally involved in the operation of department stores.
The incorporation of Anshan Parkson does not have a material impact on the earnings of the Group for the financial year ending 30 June 2018 and the net assets of the Group based on the audited consolidated statement of financial position as at 30 June 2016.
alibaba acquired Intime Retail for USD 2.6 billion early this year,both intime Retail and parkson retail(listed in HK,parkson hold 55% stake) was amongs top 5 retailers in mainland china,where intime retail was ranked no 3 with annual sales of 17.2 billion RMB,while parkson retail ranked no 4 with annual sales of 14.3billion RMB。
in term of outlet,intime retail operate 49 outlet while parkson operate 52 outlet in china.
so,if intime retail been valued at 2.6b USD(17.2b RMB),how much does Parkson Retail really worth?
at as yesterday,parkson retail only valued at 3.5b RMB by the market,i think it is not justified.
@ Sherlock. Good observation. Totally agree with your view that Parkson is undervalued. In fact, grossly undervalued. Only those with good business acumen will know how to buy Parkson and not those idiots that have no position but nagged like an old fool.
In fact, these idiots have no money to buy as they have been losing in the market whether the market is on bull or bear run. Their stupidity in the outlook of companies' businesses reflect their shallow knowledge of the industry. Their frustration of losing whenever they put their money where their mouth is makes them bitter. May God have pity on their souls.
kelvin61 previously can drop because Affin IB staff sold at 51.5 sen. Now I think he has been sacked for his stupidity. Parkson recovered not long after Affin cease coverage.
@ Parkson8888 I have so much Parkson shares that will make these idiots mouth hanged out if they know the quantum l have been buying at the bottom. They talk so much yet do not even owned 1 single lot. Shsssh, they're nothing but pest flying around this space meant for Parkson followers. Cheers.
due to china business started to recover,i dont expect parkson fall back to 50 cen level going forward,its valuation already bottom out,P/BV of less than 0.3x is ridiculous for an retail giant like parkson,not sustainable at current low.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
yucaihacai
355 posts
Posted by yucaihacai > 2017-10-02 19:25 | Report Abuse
also sold 0.65-0.665, thanks kosong 55, Joetay, Pen six and Sin chew today Mr Lee