why invest hard earned monies in big plc whose balance sheets are too big to be analysed correctly or even many research houses and audit firms may not or do not bother or do not know how to ascertain the quality of their huge receivables and other assets in the balance sheet like Muhibbah?
Wouldn't their bankers now start thinking whether the 'umbrellas' can still be extended? Besides profit, how about the cash flow for next 12 months? Hence, more uncertainties can be delevoped from on onwards.
It will be safer to invest in companies like Mitrajaya or Ken Holding which have lesser receivables or collection risk although they are smaller outfits. Their balance sheets are much smaller but the quality of their assets can be analysed or ascertained more correctly ourselves.
Agree with the points on the risks of GLCs balance sheets which may not be transparent at times.
However, gov related companies do have the advantage in stock price stability as they are usually in the portfolios of government investment arms like EPF, LTH and PNB. The price will be relatively stable unless the government start selling.
CIMB International (CIMB, 1023, motherboard financial shares) to exit the reorganization plan of the Asian oil (APH) project support, market participants worry that Muhibbah (MUHIBAH, 5703, construction stocks) will need fully provided for, and likely to fall into a loss situation. Under the impact of the negative news, Muhibbah the face of strong selling pressure Wednesday, fell 18 cents, or 15 percent throughout the day, the joint subsidiary - Fai high (FAVCO, 7229, motherboard industrial shares) shares also fell to 3.774 %
10 sen? I think it's only 5 and there's a 25% tax. By the way, when it comes to the ex-date (Friday 13/7 in Muhibbah's case): is this the last day to buy (meaning until end of trading session at 5PM) or that one is too late when this date arrives?
"Thinking" to buy - definitely. But, as usual, it's the timing and price. CIMB withdrawing from the APC thing was really `leceh' - Muhibbah would have gotten the RM300 million owed by APC and everything would have been fine. Now it remains as a bad debt in Muhibbah's accounts... and 300 million is BIG.
The good thing is that Muhibbah is a secured creditor, and the APC project could be revived. Have to wait and see. There's some risk in buying right now - the price might slide after the dividend ex-date. If it's less than 5 sen, than that's okay because one will be even. But what if it's more? Have to consider the risk. Whatever, Muhibbah looks likely to shoot up if there's some good news about APC.
Muhibbah Engineering To Bid For More Australia’s Gorgon Deals Muhibbah Engineering (M) plans to bid for sub-contracting works for the A$43 billion (RM136.7 billion) Gorgon LNG jetty and marine structure project in Australia. In early 2011, the engineering and construction group has won two contracts for the project. It won a RM40 million contract in March 2010, and the second job, valued at RM150 million. The contracts encompass the pre-assembly of heavy lifting facility and tug pen breakwater caissons and preparation of shipping barges for the project. In addition, Muhibbah Engineering was awarded a RM1.05 billion contract in December 2011 to construct the approach jetty and ship berth in Queensland, Australia
Significance: As at 25 May 2012, Muhibbah Engineering had an outstanding orderbook of RM2.96 billion, comprising RM2.16 billion from infrastructure construction, RM702 million from cranes and RM95 million from shipyard. This will last until 2014 and support its earnings going forward.
Remark:I will consider to start collect this counter.(I likes waterfall counter).Cheers
@Mat Cendana - If I'm not mistaken Muhibah is NOT a secured creditor. They subcontracted from the main contractor ZAK and Muhibah has filed a suit to recover the millions owed. The issue no wants want to take over the project is because of the title of the land which I believe that belongs to the Gov and they did not issue a title for 99 years lease so no one wants to invest on no man's land.The auditor PWC is trying to auction off part of the deal and this is not good for either Muhibah or ZAK. Still Muhibah got good orderbook but they might have to write off the debts which is slightly above 200 millions in 4Q.
franksoweto: Thanks for the info. I'm mistaken then about Muhibbah being a secured creditor. This makes it even worse, of course, since a suit will only be useful if the debtor actually has assets. But I agree about it having a good orderbook - perhaps this could somewhat offset the APC drag? I believe all the negative news have already been factored in the current price and any form of good news will see a surge in its price.
I intend to buy but this will have to wait until the technical readings look better. Right now the price is slipping, albeit slowly.
No worries Mat:) I had Muhibbah for a looong time but finally dispose all when CIMB pulled out of the deal.Anyway they got good orders and recurring income from the cambodia concession.The problem is with GE near and they still have not write down the APH fiasco yet, I'm worried that there is still room to fall but then again if they manage to solve APH issue ( they have a pending lawsuit against them - but you know how long this takes )it will bounce up definitely. meanwhile, I'm looking at Muhibah associate - Favelle Favco - thinly traded - and a little affected by Muhibah problem but worth watching.Good luck :)
Muhibbah program to enhance oil and gas field operations in the ASEAN region to improve the Group's recurrent revenue. "Business Times" quoted Muhibbah business development director Mai (transliteration) pointed out, the Group is seeking oil and gas fields of engineering management contracts, in order to reduce dependence on the construction business.
As of 2011, Group profit before tax and turnover were recorded in the 100 million 14.93 million ringgit and 19 million to 60 million ringgit, most of the revenue (order value of about 3.1 billion euros) from the infrastructure project contracting.
Mai said that the most important reasons to strengthen the oil and gas business in the field of currency earn rate fluctuations of the field of architecture and building materials prices. It is reported that Muhibbah have been identified to associate with an international company to bid for a small oil field development plan for the national oil company (Petronas).
In addition, the Group is also interested in investment in Johor, refining and petrochemical complex development plans, as well as Sabah oil and gas under the terminal, pipeline, oil power generation capacity and regasification plant engineering.
DO YOU KNOW THAT TODAY STAR BIZ COLUMN... RAM RATINGS HAS RECONFIRM BACK ON ISLAMIC BOND OF MUHIBAH ENGNEERING TO AAA(S)... DUE TO STRONG BOOK TO BILL RATIO... and for more elaboration see KCFAN article...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
thokokkuan
1 posts
Posted by thokokkuan > 2011-04-23 16:03 | Report Abuse
this stock should at least 2.00