@Stealth They have to cover their shorts within 2 days or waste their bullets.In fact they'll be scrambling to cover their shorts by wednesday!! 06/09/2021 3:38 PM
Not necessary, they will need to cough up RM 10 mil to cover the 15sen dividend base on 2.6% of their short position. Sub Sub sui for them , since they are sitting on a huge paper gain.
Tonee , thanks . The assumption is based on.ASP coming down to US 25 which was the ASP of FY2020 . Pls note that FY 2020 comprises of 8 months non pandemic and 4 months pandemic period. The consensus stabilised ASP among glove makers , MAARGA and IBs are US 30 to 35 post pandemic. You can see that even at US25, supermx can generate about 1 b profit per year which is about 8 to 9 x of prepandemic profit. Yes. the tgt price of 7 is considered fair . In fact this was the average tgt prices given by 6 Ibs after Q3 result was announced in.early May. They slasshed the tgt prices unreasonably by more than 50 % although everyone stated that the recent Q4 result was.within their expectations.
------------------------------ Thanks pjseow for your meticulous calculations. I have to repost your calculation proof here as reminder to all genuine SpmX investors. So base on your calculation, what it means is that at post pandemic, SpmX should be looking at PAT of RM 1b = 0.36 x PE15 = RM 5.50 min. ( not taking into account the many billions of cash in hand that can generate few hundred millions of interest profit and also the many rounds of dividends to be issued over the next few years). I believe all in we should be looking at tgt price ard 7.0 . 06/09/2021 3:09 PM
I think should give some buffer and discount as past experience showed that Supermax may not be able to expand up to 48 billions capacity by 2023. In addition, the management can always delay the expansion if the ASP drops significantly.
pjseow Tonee , thanks . The assumption is based on.ASP coming down to US 25 which was the ASP of FY2020 . Pls note that FY 2020 comprises of 8 months non pandemic and 4 months pandemic period. The consensus stabilised ASP among glove makers , MAARGA and IBs are US 30 to 35 post pandemic. You can see that even at US25, supermx can generate about 1 b profit per year which is about 8 to 9 x of prepandemic profit. Yes. the tgt price of 7 is considered fair . In fact this was the average tgt prices given by 6 Ibs after Q3 result was announced in.early May. They slasshed the tgt prices unreasonably by more than 50 % although everyone stated that the recent Q4 result was.within their expectations.
8.0 PERIOD OF SHORT SELLING 8.1 A short selling transaction should not exceed 12 months from the trade date, T0. The period of short selling as per Appendix I, refers to the period between T0 and Tx. 8.2 The borrowing transaction for each covered short sale must be entered on T0 for a borrowing period that begins not later than value T2 to at least Tx
Source: GUIDELINES ON REGULATED SHORT SELLING OF SECURITIES IN THE WHOLESALE MONEY MARKET
Shorties are desperate to cover as some net position is nearer to 12m
Actually myinvestor, its hard to say bcos they can cover the earlier ones along the way as they create new ones. Most important is don't give them cheap bullets to shoot back. Should keep even after xdate and wait for the final dividend later. Don't let them easily cover their short positions at this cheap price.
@Turbo Good to see short selling keep going on. Left 1.36% or 370k lot quota to go. 06/09/2021 4:32 PM
Yup gotta keep track of that. Pls keep in mind the negative sentiment on glove is an illusion created by unethical manipulation by ppl with deep pockets. They have ICBM weapons but can only use tanks and bazookas due to the 4% restriction. But we poor bilis only can fight back with rifles and hand guns. But we have the numbers against their big guns. If we can work together to slowly deplete them of their arsenals, then we may stand a fighting chance. Just don't blindly hand over your bullets.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Stealth
577 posts
Posted by Stealth > 2021-09-06 15:31 | Report Abuse
Yes buy now and earn nearly 5% overnight plus capital appreciation!! Can you find any other on klse?