yah.. cant blame them... i just realised they are paid dog bones instead of 10 cents per post which they requested to change... their angmo master said post more and defend more then only got HIGH ASP PEDIGREE, else post little only got malaysian shit...
when MM start to RSS PBB / MBB to same as 2 to 4%... then we compare lar... now compare also no use... gloves RSS, the rest no RSS... so obvious... hei... today enuff post enuff quota to get high ASP PEDIGREE brand already or not?
I bought this @ 2.17 in 2016 also was in paper losses for many months, dropping to 1.72 in Dec 2017. Sold too early in the high 2s but I learnt my lesson.This time I intend to get it right!
jgc , I have read the RHB analyst report. The analyst maintained the long term stabilised Blended ASP for supermx as US 37. The EPS obtained is 57.7 sen but he gave a PE Ratio of only 5.46 which is much lower than the historical PE of 15. This is really puzzling. I do not know why he used such.a low PE in a stabilised state.
--------------- jgc147 RHB Analysis Supermax v mrDIY
Everyday RSS pack 4 digits seller. Price also not going down anymore. The net sell RSS position also about the same. See is the RSS guys cover short this week. If not got to pay the 15 cents dividend
at idunwork RSS is the problem! You dont need to come out with much capital & you have un limited time to cover.If we buy, we have to come out with cash immediately or within t plus 3 which is unfair.Everyday RSS pack 4 digit seller. No need money mah!
Stop Comparing Supermax PE with others company! It is like comparing Apple and Orange! Just concentrate on how long will the COVID 19 Variant continue get press attention! If every Goverment follow USA Opening economy and let the Pandemic Loom this will continue at least 3-4 years before a real Vaccine is found! I don't know how the ASP is being calculate but as long as US is in high Covid-19 the ASP will not take hit as predicted! I suspect the glove are being price in USD base on USA demand. (That is why US is so powerful)
The only country that leave standing is China since they will keep churning out product for the world!
I spent some time studied the Kenanga, RHB and CIMB latest Analysts reports on supermx . Let me summarise their key assumptions and valuations.
1. ASPs for FY 22 , FY 23 and FY 24
Kenanga US 48 US 30 RHB US 41 US 37 CIMB US 47 US 30 US 26
2. PATs for FY 22 FY 23 and FY 24
Kenanga 2025 m 1000 m EPS 74.5 s 36.8 s
RHB 1576 m 1569 m EPS 57.9 s 57.7 s
CIMB 1742 m 612 m EPS 64 s 22 s
3. Valuations , PE Ratio and Tgt prices
Kenanga
It used 9x CY 22 EPS of 55.6 s . THe EPS is derived from the above average of FY 22 EPS of 74.5 s and FY23 of 36.8 s .
Tgt Price = 55.6 x 9 = 5.00
RHB
It did not give a target PE .Based on its tgt price of 3.15 , we can derive the PE as follows
Tgt price = 3.15 EPS of FY 23 = 57.7 s PE = Tgt price /EPS = 315/57.7 = 5.46
CIMB
It stated using 16X CY22 PE which is glove sector 10 year historical mean .
CY 22 EPS = 43 s or average of 64 s (FY 22 EPS ) and 22 s( FY 23 EPS)
Tgt price should be = 16 x 43 = 6.88 but
Actual Tgt price given is only 3.20
Actual PE used was 7.4 instead of 16 stated . Why ?????
Summary
If you look at the above 3 examples , you wonder how the Analysts come out with tgt prices . One use PE of 5.46x while another use 9x . The best one is claiming to use 16 x but actually use 7.4 .
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
OnTime
2,188 posts
Posted by OnTime > 2021-09-03 16:12 | Report Abuse
yes, certified medical gloves can fetch high asp, always.