General Raider is surprise of the selling pressure loh....!! Raider only expect the low is Rm 2.08.....but it fell as low as Rm 1.97......bcos of this, raider collect quite a large chunked at average cost of Rm 2.01....!!
If 2morrow raider sell.....raider already make monies loh....!! Of course raider will not sell at this price loh. This superlon is worth much more mah...!!
sifu sharktank, I small ciku retiree, must quick quick spread the news to shore up price after buy. Otherwise if price goes down, my pension money all gone then no good loh...
Sorry for causing you inconvenience... Sorry sorry...
At the beginning of the year, certain sharp eye investors spotted Superlon when it was trading at approximately 70 sen
In the subsequent few quarters, the Group came up to expectation and delivered a series of strong profitability. As a result, share price has been rising steadily.
On 10 December 2015, Superlon announced EPS of 6 sen for the quarter ended 30 September 2015. The company also announced second interim dividend of 3 sen per share. As a result, share price got a big boost and went up to all time high of RM2.40 on 11 December 2015.
However, the company's share price soon succumbed to profit taking and went down to as low as RM1.97 this morning.
As mentioned in my earlier article "Three Ways To Punt The Market", I recognised "Surf Riding" (buy high sell high) as a legitimate way of benefiting from an industry up cycle.
I am positive about Superlon's prospects. The group is a beneficiary of weak Ringgit as it exports most of its products. I am of the view that Ringgit will remain weak in 2016 due to :-
(1) US interest rate hike;
(2) low oil price; and
(2) weakening of Renminbi (which caps potential upside of Ringgit).
This morning, I decided to pick up some Superlon at RM2.00.
My decision to buy is guided by Superlon's PE multiple. I am not sure whether RM2.00 is the bottom. As such, I have made preparation to average down if necessary.
RAIDER LIKE TO ADD BESIDE VERY GOOD PE....U WILL FIND GOOD PROSPECT BCOS OF BETTER MARGIN DUE TO LOW OIL PRICE(R.MATERIAL) AND STRONG USD OR GOOD SELLING PRICE.
SUPERLON HAS REPORTED GROWTH IN EPS FOR THE LAST 6 QTRS .
SUPERLON DIVIDEND POLICY IS 40% OF PROFIT. U CAN EXPECT MINIMUM DIVIDEND OF RM 0.08 THIS YEAR.
Icon Comment; Before I end this article, I would like to bring to your attention Superlon director Mr. Yee Wei Ming's recent disposal of shares (before announcement of September 2015 result) :-
THE GOOD THING IS BCOS OF THE DISPOSAL OF 8 MILLION SHARE AT AVERAGE COST OF RM 1.96 SUPERLON TODAY IS MORE LIQUID.
Only time will tell whether I will triump or get a nasty choke by sea water. Buy at own risk.
Cash = RM....RM is depreciating right now....the best tools to invest in Malaysia is buying exporting counter like EverGreen, Pohuat, Latitude, Hevea, Liihen, Superln, FFHB, WTK, FACBInd, VS and etc who earn USD!!! Then only we can maintain our RM value in this country....
you are not smart enough, you can consider as lucky if you bought at 0.42. for smart ppl, they will top up nonstop from 0.42 to 2 if they see value in this company..company business keep growing, your investment in this company should keep growing also if you are PRO.
Bought in at 0.42 but sold it at 0.5 is it....the most important is holding power if u bought it at 0.42 and continuously top up until today then only can call smart.....and continue to keep for another 2-5 years, wait until it achieve RM5!!!
Some people say superlon now rm 2.15 why buy & not high meh ?
Put it this way....superlon move up from rm 0.70 to rm 2.15 a gain almost 200%....a big gain loh.....!!
But then....superlon earnings & prospect had also grew alot also mah.....!! The latest Qtr eps is Rm 0.06......therefore compare at rm 2.15 it is not overvalue loh.....in fact it is now a growth stock ,which would be highly rated mah....!!
Then some people ask why Rm 0.70 don recommend buy and now rm 2.15 say buy loh...?? It is hard to get margin of safety investor and growth investor together loh.....!! It is hard for growth investor to call a buy during margin of safety value phase. It is hard for value investor to call a buy during growth phase mah.!!
Raider recommended buy at Rm 0.70.....but it takes very long time to move up loh....bcos it is a value margin of safety stock at that time mah....!! U just have to be patient & wait loh....!!
But when it is Rm 2.00.....why still recommend buy, bcos it is a growth stock.....therefore it move up, very fast loh....!!
The same problem is encounter everytime for investor loh like;
Ajinomoto Rm 4.00 why don buy ? Now Rm 9.00 say can buy leh ? Apollo Rm 4.00 why don buy ? Now Rm 5.00 say can buy leh ?
It depend how u approach on investment mah.....!! Your method of investment had a big bearing on ur buy call loh..!!
Superlon quarterly results are getting better and superb. The next result will have to beat the EPS of 3.7sen only, which is reasonable. Current PE Ratio is 11.6x which is reasonable compared to its peers of 10 -15x PER. Otherwise, the NTA of it is RM 1.09 vs current price RM 2,15 which translate to P/B ratio of about 2x - quite expensive.
Tkoklin : i invest as per according to intrinsic value of a stock. Sign is a good stock, there is no doubt about it. But for the past two quarters, it did not perform well due to properties slump. Therefore the profit margin is less.
I did ask ppl to buy when it went down till 1.90. Apparently it recovered its losses till 2.70 in November before it went down again.
Btw, i had not seen anything positive posted by u in i3 before except criticizing other people.
Ur problem using iv is based on currentvresult. Which is dangerous. U know why i fail miserably in sign? U using past data to forecast future. If in fact result is slowing down, ur iv is over count alredi. Get it?
It is no different from using eps. Eg now usd strong. Myr weak. Will this continie? If myr sokeday strong, all ur iv calculation become funny with overrated.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
icon8888
18,659 posts
Posted by icon8888 > 2015-12-14 17:05 | Report Abuse
sifu sharktank you also think Superlon good buy at this price kah ?