SHH Resources (FV MYR2.84) Not Rated Note: Ready To Grow Its Base
· SHH Resources (SHH) is a Johor-based solid wood furniture manufacturer. All of its products are exported, of which 90% to the US market. As such, SHH has been benefitting from a stronger USD and riding on the slow but steady US economic recovery. · To capitalise on the current favourable macro environment, SHH has budgeted to improve its productivity and production capabilities. The management also does not rule out the possibility of a synergistic collaboration with other furniture manufacturer or acquisition of smaller players in order to diversify its revenue base. Its gearing ratio stood at a low 0.11x and it is currently in net cash position. · We have a Not Rated Call on the stock with a fair value at MYR2.84 (20% potential upside) based on 11x 2016F P/E. The company has also declared a 10 sen dividend for FY2015, which translates into a yield of 4.2%.
Look at the just released Quarterly result of its peer group, FLBHD. EPS of FLBHD for Current Year Quarter is 9.35 sen. EPS of FLBHD for Preceding Year Corresponding Quarter was 3.21 sen. Therefore SHH should perform better than last Quarter. I do agree with the above fair value at MYR 2.84 (20% potential upside) based on 11x 2016F P/E.
Cash increased from RM24m to RM32m, borrowings reduced from RM8.8m to RM7.4m, NTA increased from RM1.61 to RM1.68. More cash more dividend for FY2016? Very soon the company will declare bonus issue ? Anyway,the Balance Sheet is very strong !
SHH. 1Q net profit 3.481 million (increased by 785.75%) First and Final Tax-exempt Dividend of 10% (10 Sen per share) Entitlement Date and Time: 23/12/2015 04:00 AM Year Ending/Period Ending/Ended Date: 30/06/2015 EX Date: 21/12/2015
At the price of rm2.. 10sen dividend = 5% interest rate which is consider very high.. We not sure whether it will be like flbhd give another addition of 5sen at next quarter.. But with the 2 financial report, shh's 1H eps is around 14.. Annualized eps will be 14sen x 2 = 28 sen.. So I think this share could reach rm2.80 with such high dividend and high eps if the market perform good in next few weeks
1) Net cash company $25.1m. Hence, release good dividend 10 cents and its dividend yield become 4.76% 2) Appreciate in USD will benefit to SHH. Rate at 30 Sept is 1USD=4.05RM, Rate at 31 December estimate at 1USD=4.20RM., Details look in article.
I will look to accumulate this counter for its dividend yield + capital gain play. Upon releasing the QR, it did not immediately fly. However, during small cap rally it shot up all the way to RM2.40 before retracing to a low of RM2.17. Retracement is healthy for counters to find support for new push upwards. However, more importantly, the ex date for div is 21 Dec which is less than 1 week to go. At current price, the DY is close to 4.5%. Comparable if not higher than FD. Fundamentally, the figures speaks for itself. In addition, the sector is in the right thematic play. If you foresee 2016, MYR will continue to weaken, it may be smart to enter at current price for the dividend and then hold to next QR for the capital gain play.
buy buy buy. IV min RM3. steady cash flow & solid balance sheet. Beneficiary of strengthening usd. Expecting a big surge before quarter released next mth. :)
This company benefited from the depreciation in USD. As the cost of production is in ringgit, the appreciation of USD will increase the competitor advantages with country such as vietnam as the cost of production (labour cost, logistic cost, rental and etc) calculated in malaysia ringgit.
Think about this, if they sell furniture to foreign company, they can offer a much lower price as the cost is much lower in term of USD in global market. Hence the sales volume will increase if they lower down the price (in term of USD) as they able to offer much lower price to compare other furniture maker that setting up their factory outside Malaysia.
Other than that, the company incurred loss on derivatives of RM1.9mil of derivatives cost with the currency rate of RM4.40. If you look on the currency on RM4.29429, hence profit on derivatives will incurred.
If loss on derivatives did not incurred, the company will have extra 3.8sen profit for their account. Hence 6.96+3.8=10.76 sen for next quarter at least
rosmahmansur, i am beginning to doubt your credibility. you mentioned in flbhd stock comment section that you are not interested in shh and here you are grabbing the stock below RM2.
leelc99, I am in Mieco as well :) It is a good turn-around bet as it has been showing significant earning improvement since 2014. Its cash flow is healthy, debt is being reduced in stages , cash reserve is improving. All these have been well explained by Yistock. However, its efficiency measured in ROIC is not attractive; it is not cheap if we look at its earning vs enterprise value. I am betting that it will continue deliver improving quarter results consistently and my tp @ min RM1.5 is achieve-able.
For SHH, based on my newbie DCF model, assuming flat growth rate @ 3%, rate of return @ 9%, taking 4 years average cash flow to start, my target price is around RM3.2. :)
you must remember that valuation is very subjective. Not rocket science. But so far it is the best reference for small timer amateur value trader like us :)
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
CCCL
621 posts
Posted by CCCL > 2015-11-06 20:22 | Report Abuse
Last Qtr earning 7.52sen.Wonder how good is this coming Qtr result?