I don't know whether my view is correct or not, basically the directors don't want the warrant holders to convert, as this will dilute 10% of their shareholdings. And the company don't need the additional shares anymore as they have sold their water assets and get back plenty of cash. My guessing is they will make sure the share price not more than 0.75 before 17 May 2014, just to deter warrant holders to convert.
Salcon if obtain Langat 2 contract or declare a final dividend then the share price will certainly rise and WA will also be in the money before expiry.
On Langat 2, according to the Star's report last year, five front runners, ie, IJM, Gamuda, UEM, Ahmad Zaki and JV between MMC and Salcon. It will be a tough fight. The estimated contract value is RM1.2bil, say the profit margin is 10%, which is extremely high considering that this is a open tender, the estimated gross profit will be RM120mil, if we assume the JV between Salcon and MMC is 50:50, each of them will get RM60mil. And if the project is 3 years and work done is 20:30:50 for the first,second and third year, Gross Profit contributing to Salcon will be RM7.2mil, RM18mil, RM30mil. This is already a very optimistic projection and the actual case may be much lesser than that, even if Salcon gets the job.
Salcon (SALC MK) ---------------------------4TH APRIL Technical BUY with +15.8% potential return Last price : RM0.760 Target Price : RM0.835, RM0.880 Support : RM0.740 Stop-loss: RM0.715 BUY with a target price of RM0.880 with a stop loss placed below RM0.715. Following a successful breakout on 27 Mar 14 to close above the previous resistance of RM0.740 (now support), SALC’s share price has stabilised within the immediate support level as the share price is likely to digest the recent gain. However, an uptick in RSI signals a surge in positive momentum which may translate into further upward movement hereafter. A positive closing above the immediate resistance of RM0.780 may trigger fresh buying interest, thus potentially propelling the share price higher in the near term. Moving forward, we peg our medium-term target at the 1.61x Fibonacci extension level of RM0.880.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
skpetro
276 posts
Posted by skpetro > 2014-04-02 12:35 | Report Abuse
VOLUME HIGH BUT PRICE DROPPING.... DOWNTREND!!!