exchem Resources - Recoveries in Industrial and Polymer Divisions; BUY rhbinvest Publish date: Wed, 28 Feb 2024, 04:47 PM
Keep BUY, with new MYR1.44 TP from MYR1.50, 49% upside. Texchem Resources’ FY23 results missed expectations on slower-than-expected recovery. That said, following a lacklustre share price performance (-56%) in FY23 due to weak results and margins compression, TEX could be a laggard play into FY24 that is poised to benefit from volume recovery, particularly from industrial and polymer engineering divisions. The current depressed valuation offers a good entry into the diverse businesses, coupled with solid balance sheet and strong cash flow generation.
Missed expectations. TEX recorded FY23 core losses of MYR10.4m (vs MYR30.8m profit in FY22) after adjustments for an employee stock option scheme expense and gain on disposal of investment in associate. The disappointment came from weaker-than-expected sales and margins, and high effective tax rate – from the non-availability of tax relief from losses incurred by certain subsidiaries and under-provision from the prior period.
Results review. YoY, FY23 revenue dipped 13.1% due to weaker market demand from the industrial and polymer engineering divisions, while its restaurant divisions were impacted by weaker consumer sentiment. FY23 EBITDA margin contracted 3.1ppts to 7% on the loss of economies of scale and higher input and operating costs. QoQ, 4Q23 revenue were flattish, with recovery in polymer engineering division offset by weakness seen in the restaurant division. Due to higher operating costs, the company achieved 4Q23 core losses of MYR3.2m (vs MYR2.1m in 3Q23).
Outlook. We expect encouraging recovery momentum among semiconductor customers, while the medical life science customers continue to grow steadily as per guided. The execution of new high margin business since 4Q23 is expected to contribute positively into FY24. In the industrial division, the chemical prices have begun to reverse, which should lead to improved demand as customers deplete their on-hand inventory. On the other hand, expectations of contained inflation and a review of employees’ salary schemes could improve consumer sentiment, benefitting the restaurant division in FY24 while competition on retail F&B scene and cost input pressure remains. However, the food division may continue to face challenges due to FX control measures in Myanmar. Management has put up contingency plans to stimulate local demand for its products while slowly diversify its supply chain away from Myanmar to mitigate the impact. All in, we look forward to a profitable FY24 year for TEX.
Forecast and valuations. We maintain our FY24-25 forecast in view of a stronger FY24 outlook and guidance, and introduce FY26F earnings (+25%). We also take the opportunity to revise our ESG score to 3.0 from 3.2, given the lack of disclosure on emissions. Our SOP-derived TP is lowered to MYR1.44 (after applying a 20% conglomerate discount) – implying a blended 13.4x FY24F P/E. Key risks: Escalation of input costs, weaker-than-expected sales/orders, fluctuation of chemical prices, and unfavourable FX rates.
Do u all still remember 3 CHEM ... during the bull days ,,, TEXCHEM """ SAMCHEM"" LUXCHEM>>> all are gone now... maybe wait for next cycle... Now all go to AI ... but dont be greedy it will end up like CHEM company ... sooner or later ... Everest hill graph of company share cannot sustain ,,, any thing go up ..must come down .... GOOD LUCK guys ....
However we do expect factory capacity utilization to drop as we enter into the seasonal low period of the HDD industry in the 1st half of 2025. Moreover we do see new headwinds with the strengthening of the MYR vs USD as well as a growing uncertainty in the world’s macro-economic outlook going into 2025. (From JCY's latest QR prospect)
@UnicornP - Your comments is about JCY INTERNATIONAL BERHAD not TEXCHEM. Texchem Resources Bhd, dated July 25, 2024. It outlines the company's financial performance for the second quarter and first half of the fiscal year 2024 (2QFY24 and 1HFY24), ending June 30, 2024. Here are the key highlights:
Revenue Growth: Texchem reported a 12.1% year-on-year (YoY) increase in revenue for 1HFY24, reaching RM570.4 million. For 2QFY24, the revenue rose by 22.6% YoY to RM294.7 million.
Profit Performance: The company returned to profitability with a net profit of RM1.0 million in 2QFY24, compared to a net loss of RM6.3 million in the same period last year. For 1HFY24, the net loss narrowed to RM0.4 million from RM6.5 million in 1HFY23.
Divisional Performance:
Industrial Division: This division experienced a 25.5% YoY increase in revenue, reaching RM134.7 million. Polymer Engineering Division: The revenue jumped by 35.2% YoY to RM56.9 million, driven by recovery in sectors such as semiconductors, hard disk drives, and medical life sciences. Food and Restaurant Divisions: These divisions also saw revenue growth, with the Food Division increasing by 17.3% YoY to RM32.5 million and the Restaurant Division rising by 10.6% YoY to RM69.6 million. Challenges and Future Outlook: While the Food and Restaurant Divisions continue to face a challenging business environment, initiatives in the Restaurant Division are starting to yield positive results. The company is optimistic about maintaining the momentum in its core divisions, particularly in Polymer Engineering with strategic projects contributing positively.
Texchem Resources Bhd has redesignated its executive director Dr Yuma Konishi as the group chief executive officer following the retirement of Yap Kee Keong from the post.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
GrowthCapitalist
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Posted by GrowthCapitalist > 2023-11-19 02:37 | Report Abuse
The problem with this guy is that the market cap is 121.317m. Very hard to comprehend that it will get bullish again.