While MPHBCap is deeply undervalued at current price of RM1.40, the big question/catalyst is when it can distribute its cashpile via dividend to its s/hs. It is still awaiting for BNM approval.
Write a comment..Calvin will.only be back when the share price rises significantly telling everybody they should have bought on his advice wait long enough it will happen credit for it all otherwise will.be quite.
MPHB have reach it fourth time LOW in its history. 1st time --- 28/08/2013 ----- RM 1.30, 2nd time -- 25/08/2015 ----RM 1.30, 3rd time ---- 02/09/2015 ---- RM 1.29 and lastly (recently) 4rd time ---17/06/2016 RM 1.32 and WHAT WILL FOLLOWS AFTER ??????
Originally wanted to invest in this company. I believe soon Generali Asia will exercise the call option to buy the remaining 21% of their insurance. It was part of the contract when they close the deal 2 years ago.
1. Earnings very low so PE wise is not cheap. Management fails to deliver earnings and create value. 2. No dividend so net cash is irrelevant. dividends sometimes is not just about capability to pay, but also speak of the management's willingness to share with the shareholders. For MPHB, seems like both are lacking as they couldn't get BNM approval so far 3. Net assets is the contentious part. Latest NA per share is RM2.23 which means at current price is about 0.6x P/B, which could be consider fair given their low ROE and earnings. I know there are a lot of debates above that argued whether is the NA above RM9+.
In the AR 2015 (published April 2016):
Book value vs estimated fair value Land and buildings: 74m vs 177m Investment properties: 832m vs 1311m
The above estimated fair value is by accredited valuers using comparison method of valuation and it's published in AR so I would think it's much more reliable than any outsiders' wild guess.
So revaluation surplus would be RM582m (excluding any deferred tax) or 81c per share. Add this to RM2.23 you will get a revised estimated NA of RM3.04.
Now you can decide whether it's undervalued or not.
For me, it's undervalued from asset point of view but the questions remain when will it realise its value and how much can it realise. And since it doesn't pay dividend, returns would be 0 in the meantime and it won't reduce your average cost.
btw 21 Sept 2016 is the hearing date for their lawsuit against Johor govt. It's already federal court so if they lose again then it's over
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
chabalang
41 posts
Posted by chabalang > 2016-03-08 22:39 | Report Abuse
While MPHBCap is deeply undervalued at current price of RM1.40, the big question/catalyst is when it can distribute its cashpile via dividend to its s/hs. It is still awaiting for BNM approval.
See http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/ptres/34543.jsp