I rather stay with Bplant for a bit longer as GO is in sight . Already received very clear indication from LTAT’s CEO and Minister . As for other plantation counters , no sign of M&A and the wait can be very long .
IJM Plantation took over by KLK end of 2021 amounted to RM2.73billion. IJM Plantation has 60,979ha (2019 ann rep) of oil palm land located in Sabah and Indonesia. It mean average per ha abt rm44K (land located at remote area and Indon).
Bplant has 98,000ha of land, more than 90% planted with oil Palm. At the same time Bplant has less than 400million of borrowing. Base on these figure we can work up conservatively per share for Bplant is about RM1.72. NOT take into consideration one third of Bplant land are located in Penusular, categorised as Prime land.
As such, It is not possible for KLK to took over Bplant less than RM1.50. Busuk-Busuk RM1.70... base on logical and very conservative culculation.
Someone above estimated RM2. It is a very resonable pricing.
Note : i am investor for Bplant.. I follow bplant news and corporate activities since it listed in KLSE. I received 2K of free Bplant shares from Bstead holding.
@Johnzhang, glad that you still have strong conviction in Bplant fair value of above RM2.00.
To be fair, either its 9,000+ ha of strategic landbank (which is conservatively valued at RM4.00 psf) or its 63,000+ ha of plantation estates (which is conservatively valued at RM70,000 per ha) alone should fetch over RM4.0 billion valuation or over RM1.80 per share.
@dragon328, The valuation is mind blowing if you add them up : 9,000 ha strategic landbank @ $4 psf is $3.9 bil (9,000 x 107639x 4) 63,000 ha planted estate @ $70k per ha is $4.4 bil. Total of above = (3.9+4.4) = $8.3 bil No of share is 2.2 bil. Value per share $3.76
( note : there is still 23,000 ha unaccounted ) (Total landbank 95,000 ha - 9,000 - 63,000 = 23,000 ha )
I will support the GO if price is over $2. It is the absolute decision of Boustead/LTAT as both are not listed companies.
About half of the estates have past prime age and requiring immediate replanting . More estates are aging adding to the number. Such mega size replanting requiring huge capex which Boustead/LTAT can’t afford. For a while, yield from old palms continues to go down affecting operational performance. Time is certainly not on Boustead side .
all things look good if Anwar pro-business govt not collape after state election . And racist Pas and PN and Tun M will make noise for selling land to YTL... PAS should remain to lead the poorest Kelantan state only after state election.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Johnzhang
3,098 posts
Posted by Johnzhang > 2023-07-18 16:05 | Report Abuse
Someone took up the big block of over 4 mil share at $1.05!