Target price of RM0.46-RM0.58 based on targeted blended PER range of 11.7x-14.5x.
Binasat Communications Berhad (BINACOM) will be raising RM39.6m with a market capitalisation of RM119.6m. The proceeds arising from the IPO is mainly for setting up a teleport, enhancing operational efficiency and regional expansion. With nearly half of its turnover on average derived from recurring income, this will provide earnings certainty during the contracts’ duration. With a targeted PER range of 11.7x-14.5x, we have derived our fair value range of RM0.46-RM0.58.
BINACOM - telecommunication support services specialist with a proven track record in supporting services across satellite, mobile and fibre optics networks. With the group’s edge of having diverse capabilities, it has become a strong telecommunication networks supporting services partner to MAXIS, U Mobile and HUAWEI.
Dominate market share. The group is currently servicing c.1,750 VSAT (Very small Aperture Terminal) ground stations installed at petrol stations, 4,500 overall VSAT ground stations, and 11,000 mobile BTS sites, representing a market share of 57%, 64% and 28% in the respective area. Note that, VSAT is generally a two-way satellite ground station with a dish antenna that is usually less than three meters in diameter. It is mainly used to connect remote sites for specific industries, applications or geographic areas.
Recurring Income for sustainability. The group’s recurring income makes up of c.49% of total revenue on average, widely owing to its operations and maintenance services for the satellite (including uplink and downlink services), mobile and fibre-optic segments. The recurring income contracts’ duration, however, appears short as it merely comes in at an average 1-4 years.
Fund raising for future expansion. BINACOM expects to raise RM39.6m based on 86.0m new shares at IPO price of RM0.46/share. The IPO proceeds will be utilized mainly for funding of new teleport facility, which could give rise to new satellite services offerings while reducing internal reliance on overseas satellite downlink services. Likewise, existing O&M and fibre optics services capability will be enhanced through establishment of new warehouse, R&D facilities as well as procurement of new vehicles and equipment.
Earnings forecast. Although half of BINACOM’s earnings depends on telecom projects flow (which tends to fluctuate), we expect the group’s top-line to perform better than the country’s GDP growth in FY18. However, its staff costs and depreciation are expected to trend higher in tandem with the higher project flow coupled with more assets acquired. All in, we expect the group’s net profit to grow by 3% in FY18 (to RM10.3m) on the back of 6.8% YoY climb in revenue coupled with similar GP margin of 37%. Although management has yet to outline the dividend policy, we expect BINACOM to continue rewarding its shareholders. By assuming a similar dividend pay-out ratio of c.20% (similar to FY17) in FY18, BINACOM is expected to declare a DPS of 0.8 sen, translating into 1.7% dividend yield.
Target price of RM0.46-RM0.58 based on targeted blended PER range of 11.7x-14.5x. We have decided to use the blended PER basis to better reflect the group’s business nature as the mobile segment tends to enjoy higher PER post listing. Thus, with a segmental mix of 60%/40% ratio (60% on non-mobile (i.e. VSAT, which should be value based on the FBMSC’s valuation) and 40% on the mobile segment), we have derived a blended PER of 11.7x-14.5x (implied a targeted fair value of RM0.46-0.58 range) for BINACOM.
Risks to our call include: (i) higher-than-expected project flows and margins, and (ii) impact from the on-going spectrum reallocation plan.
this company by looking into the business is base on VSAT ,fiber optic and telecomunication base station setup. by looking into it business,i dont think it worth that value . majority our country already have latest internet cable and base station . i dont see any growth for this company.
I received my ipo shares and plan to hold long term. My paper profit now in excess of 30% already. I hope your dream comes true but unfortunately quite difficult to buy cheaper. I hope to add more if possible.
Learn from recent IPO counters like Inta and KAB, Binacom is no exception! Binacom will fall back to 46 sen before pushing back to 60 sen. Good to have dream, but your dream must be realistic! Take profit while you can. Sell high, buy low!
Today in TheEdge https://imgur.com/sPINqkv and I think the business will grow bigger because the heavy capex from big telcos like digi,maxis,celcom,tm,p1,timecom,etc. How much is the capex of those big telcos annually (billions)? Binacom will benefit from their network expansion and modernisation.
Binasat listing and success is very good for OPCOM
See
The web server used by Binasat.com is located in Malaysia and run by TM VADS DC Hosting. This web server runs a few other websites, mostly in the english language.
Now there will be more Orders of Fibers from Opcom by TM
BINACOM (0195) - First IPO 2018, price target RM1.20 Author: sectionanalyst | Publish date: Tue, 9 Jan 2018, 02:28 PM
BINACOM was the first company to be listed on the ACE market on the local bourse yesterday. The shares rallied to a high of RM0.65 before consolidating at RM0.58 - RM0.60. The Company is involved in three main segments, i) satelite, ii) mobile, iii) network. The company has a proven track record in the Very Small Aperture Terminal ("VSAT") space with a dominant market share of 58%.
We believe BINACOM will be a high performer in 2018 due to:
i) Strong fundamentals: The company recorded a strong 5 year average CAGR of 35% and 3-year CAGR of more than 40%. The company is poised to register record high earnings from the recent spectrum reallocation by MCMC with require mobile network operators to upgrade VSAP from 3G to LTE capabilities. With the increase in opex spent by the company's single largest customer, we expect FY2018 earnings to register a YoY growth of more than 50% (from 2017). The company has also a strong relationship with Petronas, which we understand had recently increased their VSAP installation at close to 35 more petrol stations in Malaysia. We estimate one additional petrol station to contribute to 0.2% increase in PATAMI.
ii) Strong relationship with government: We gather that the Non-executive chairman of the company is a former high rank official of the current government. We believe that MCMC's investment of RM1bil in East Malaysia to benefit BINACOM. We gather that the company is close to securing a rolling contract.
iii) Diversifying overseas: In the pipeline is negotiation with Vietnam and Myanmar government on the provision of installation and maintenance of VSAP(s). We believe that the Company is close to completion in negotiations and will be starting its foothold in both of these countries soon, utilizing the proceeds from IPO.
iv) Election play: We gather that BINACOM could be close to securing a largeframe contract from (i) a large network operator and a rolling contract from (ii) a GLC. We believe that premised on this, BINACOM's earning would boost tremendously.
We value BINACOM based on FY19 PER 13x to derive a price target of RM1.20.
I bid for this counter for IPO but can't get it.Then first day launched fly up till not realistic at all, maybe all goreng mood after new year. Honestly speaking, IPO price is acceptable but after yesterday, it is overvalued. Happy investing =)
We continue to like BINACOM and ascribe a price target of RM1.20 post listing. We believe that the Company is close to securing frame and rolling contracts from both non-government and government organization. We gather that one pre-requisite of the contract awarders are the Company being listed. With the objective achieved, we believe that BINACOM will secure record high sales and PATAMI for FY2018.
Recall that BINACOM has frame contracts with Maxsis and Huawei. We believe that existing contracts should increase based on purcahse order value due to recent spectrum reallocation exercise with require most VSAP to be upgraded from 3G to LTE. We believe street concensus has not factored this earnings boost into account.
Key shareholders include non-executive chairman (Former KL mayor) and a high rank lady entrepreneur linked to top government officials. We believe this will enhance the Company's ability in securing more contracts in the near future.
Reiterate price target of RM1.20
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
AC Gan
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Posted by AC Gan > 2018-01-08 08:51 | Report Abuse
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