VenFx

Twot , good works.

2016-05-26 21:06

Koon Bee

Airasia and AAX sure limit up

2016-05-26 21:46

beso

mmt

2016-05-26 21:59

ImCK

black hole 2016 next quater dont think so can remain profit like this

2016-05-26 22:26

paperplane2016

Go holland if ppl followy

2016-05-26 22:31

twot

go holland? Reality has just proved I'm right!

2016-05-27 13:04

Jeffyap

c33 0.245 MUAHAHAHAHA

2016-05-27 14:47

振康

any people here can tell the reason why i cannot buy call warrant share?

2016-05-27 14:52

YeaImNoob

lol talk soldier on paper

Call Warrant并不是什么“魔鬼”，无须对它感到惧怕，
(事先说明！这篇文章只是我的个人分享，无任何买卖建议性质，后果自负)

see these two sentence already LDM... so contradict


except C31 1% premium (today), the rest u really lead ppl to holland...
hold until so long? time decay till mother also cant recognize


-Fundamentally, there is a 400mil as the foreign exchange gain (and 600mil is unrealized) in the recent quarter earnings, which contribute much to the net profit. if exclude this gain, the EPS is only 15 (appx).
If today the EPS is fully from its business, the share price wont be at the previous resistance so less, should have up 20-30% today.

-Technically, stocks price has already show some bear divergence sign, if this resistance breakout but MACD cant do higher high, dont know how many people will die holding the warrants with the stock price consolidation (maybe 3 months consolidation or more?), and with the time decay of the warrant if premium too high


Im not saying that Airasia cant reach your TP, but encouraging people to hold warrant for such a long time is really leading people go to holland, with all the risk and things which possible to happen in such a long period. Many investor will just merely buy n wont cutting loss with the share price dropping. This is such a irresponsible post. Q3 have a high chance where by the revenue wont be so nice, and once funds get stuck, they hardly will cut the losses.

And fyi, your theory on warrant is so nicely calculated. But the real warrant price is control by the issuer, those parameters can be easily changed by them. today's warrant is so nice will turn nightmare anytime.

2016-05-27 17:56

lcwin

For all Those of you who want to play airasia call warrants my advice :
C31 is the best option with almost no premium
C28 is good but very low volume traded so not advisable to trade.
C34 n C33 longer expiry date but premium too high for just 3 extra month of time value.
For C31 you can always switch over to other options if you want to continue holding beyond the expiry period as you don't need to bear the premium upon expiry.
Take your pick your money your choice. Happy trading

2016-05-27 18:16