生财有缘●官有缘

错买太多捷硕资源/官有缘

Tan KW
Publish date: Sun, 22 Jul 2018, 05:38 PM
Tan KW
0 509,886
生财有缘●官有缘

如大家所知,购买任何一只股票总会伴随着一些风险。我必须承认购买太多捷硕资源(JAKS,4723,主板建筑股)股票的错误,这令我失望。

我早前如此看好该公司,因为认为可从中赚钱,犹如在纬树(LATITUD,7006,主板消费产品股)、利兴工业(LIIHEN,7089,主板消费产品股)和威城(VS,6963,主板工业产品股)所进行的交易,都在2年半内上涨了好几倍。

我买入捷硕资源的主要原因,该公司越南的1200兆瓦发电厂计划。

我非常肯定,三家中资银行在为该项目发放77.6亿令吉融资之前,已经彻底审查了相关电力购买协议。这犹如银行担保捷硕资源从这项目获利。

整个项目分包给中国企业,需在4年内完成。捷硕资源也在建设过程中获得4亿5400万令吉。整个项目将在未来1年半内完成。

产业发展业务亏损

不幸的是,捷硕资源的产业发展业务正亏损。

罪魁祸首是位于八打灵再也的星报媒体(STAR,6084,主板贸服股)6亩土地开发计划。

捷硕资源从星报媒体购买该土地,并以建造Star Tower来换取。

由于捷硕资源没有为这片土地支付任何款项,因此给了5000万令吉的履约保证金。

根据我在产业发展方面的长期经验,我认为,捷硕资源购买土地非常聪明,而且无需支付任何现金。

1条丝绳绑大肥牛

当我在1960年初,首次进驻产业发展领域时,我没有太多资金,所以总是试图寻找能接受像捷硕资源与星报媒体之间交易方式的地主。

我形容这为“用1条丝绳来捆绑1头大肥牛”。

幸运的是,在那段时间里,很少有产业发展商。我和我的伙伴,也是大学同窗拿督叶林生,在当时的机会中赚了不少钱。

例如,当我们在怡保花园(Ipoh Garden)出售200间住宅单位时,出现了2000名买家。

我们还得邀请时任霹雳州务大臣来抽签,选择潜在买家。当时的利润并不以赚幅来计算,而是赖于买家愿意支付的金额。

这就是我们成立怡保花园(今年3月从主板除牌)和IJM(IJM,3336,主板建筑股)的方式。

股价6个月挫30%

在捷硕资源的案例中,该公司计划建造2栋办公楼和3栋公寓。完成建设后,整个项目料价值几亿令吉。

但由于现金流和房地产价格下跌,工程时间被推迟。由此,星报媒体计划放弃5000万令吉债券。法院数天前裁决星报媒体胜诉,这结果让捷硕资源股价暴跌。

捷硕资源的股价走势图显示,股价从2月中旬的1.83令吉,跌至现在水平(1.15令吉),在6个月内下跌近30%。

结果,所有股东都在亏钱。

不幸的是,许多股东正被追加保证金而被迫斩仓。

所有银行家都必须记住,强制抛售是一个恶性循环。强制抛售将使价格下跌,并导致更多的强制抛售。

另一些问题:你对捷硕资源失去了信心吗?在这个便宜的价位购买,是否仍值得?如果您没有被追加保证金,你打算卖出捷硕资源吗?

在股市,投资者总是对好消息或坏消息有过度反应。而这结果是股价下跌太多。现在是购买的机会。

备注:此评论为作者意见与看法,不代表本报立场,也非推荐买入或卖出,不应将之作为投资指引或决定。

http://www.enanyang.my/news/20180721/错买太多捷硕资源官有缘/

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1 person likes this. Showing 13 of 13 comments

value88

Apart from the legal case, Jaks' poor performance from property division and frequent cash call also the reasons that pushed down its stock price.
In normal case, when a right issue is proposed, the price of the stock would remain depressed until the right issue is completed as people do not want to fork out additional money to subscribe the right issue (I hate to do so too !)

2018-07-22 21:39

value88

At this point, KYY regrets but hasn't sold yet. Just imagine when the biggest shareholder starts selling, what will happen to Jaks' stock price :p

2018-07-22 21:40

davidkkw79

It will end up as mudajaya

2018-07-22 22:03

ks55

Haha..

When KYY stop buying. Jaks drops.

When KYY start selling, Jaks goes holland.

KYY cannot buy any more, or he has to make MGO.

Is he going to make MGO?
You have to wait long long and slowly slowly, perhaps wait for his grandson to fulfill his ambition...........

2018-07-22 23:47

traderman

haha serve him right. hengyuan he can sell secretly because he don't own 5% and no need report to bursa. but jaks if he start selling entire world will. know and sell down the price hehe

2018-07-22 23:57

value88

KYY bought stocks on margin so he may need to sell some Jaks' mother shares otherwise he may not have sufficient fund to subscribe for the coming right issues. He need to fork out a huge sum of money for the right issue subscription..so watch out.
Maybe the good time for us to pick up Jaks is after KYY selling and after the completion of the right issues. I suppose that will be the bottom price for Jaks then.

2018-07-23 08:16

KowChye Lim

agree with Value88 that the best time to buy may be after KYY selling and completion of the right issues.

2018-07-23 09:34

Henly

Who want to give money for JAKS to pay court case?

2018-07-23 09:40

SureWin1Woh

Ang implemented Rights Issue to checkmate KYY.....

2018-07-23 10:43

Tom

Checkmate kyy.....lol

2018-07-23 10:44

Henly

I remember KYY commented malaysia steel share plunge due to over supply of building and houses in the country in March2018. He never own a single steel share.
and today JAKS share plunged also due to building condo and offices. In reverse, he bought very substantial share in the company that build condo and offices.

He is very very right and on the dot about steel counters, he also very accurate about JAKS. and ...

Most of the time business sense don't work in share market

2018-07-23 16:24

jackfruit

U think KYY always lucky to pick winner .Now he get a taste of margin call. At one time keep promoting margin play to investors.

2018-07-23 16:53

stock_investor

kyy sell hengyuan shares whilst busy promoting hengyuan by comparing it to nestle... when share drops, he announce he sold all... he can fool people once but not twice..

2018-07-23 18:34

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