[CARLSBG] QoQ TTM Result on 31-Dec-2003 [#4]

Stock

[CARLSBG] CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA BHD

Announcement Date

18-Feb-2004

Admission Sponsor

Sponsor

Financial Year

31-Dec-2003

Quarter

31-Dec-2003 [#4]

Profit Trend

QoQ- -3.08%

YoY- -14.93%

Quarter Report

Q4 2003 Interim Report.doc

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CARLSBG's Result

CARLSBG's Financial Summary

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YoY %

Horiz. %

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	951,019	922,854	901,014	876,009	877,554	858,033	857,873	7.09%
YoY %	3.05%	2.42%	2.85%	-0.18%	2.28%	0.02%	-	-
Horiz. %	110.86%	107.57%	105.03%	102.11%	102.29%	100.02%	100.00%	-
PBT	114,014	112,324	107,691	106,675	115,062	109,473	120,493	-3.60%
YoY %	1.50%	4.30%	0.95%	-7.29%	5.11%	-9.15%	-	-
Horiz. %	94.62%	93.22%	89.38%	88.53%	95.49%	90.85%	100.00%	-
Tax	-27,725	-28,590	-26,214	-25,520	-31,329	-28,221	-29,980	-5.06%
YoY %	3.03%	-9.06%	-2.72%	18.54%	-11.01%	5.87%	-	-
Horiz. %	92.48%	95.36%	87.44%	85.12%	104.50%	94.13%	100.00%	-
NP	86,289	83,734	81,477	81,155	83,733	81,252	90,513	-3.12%
YoY %	3.05%	2.77%	0.40%	-3.08%	3.05%	-10.23%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.33%	92.51%	90.02%	89.66%	92.51%	89.77%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	86,289	83,734	81,477	81,155	83,733	81,252	90,513	-3.12%
YoY %	3.05%	2.77%	0.40%	-3.08%	3.05%	-10.23%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.33%	92.51%	90.02%	89.66%	92.51%	89.77%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	24.32%	25.45%	24.34%	23.92%	27.23%	25.78%	24.88%	-
YoY %	-4.44%	4.56%	1.76%	-12.16%	5.62%	3.62%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.75%	102.29%	97.83%	96.14%	109.45%	103.62%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	864,730	839,120	819,537	794,854	793,821	776,781	767,360	8.26%
YoY %	3.05%	2.39%	3.11%	0.13%	2.19%	1.23%	-	-
Horiz. %	112.69%	109.35%	106.80%	103.58%	103.45%	101.23%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	506,027	478,478	539,717	512,295	511,790	485,480	558,341	-6.33%
YoY %	5.76%	-11.35%	5.35%	0.10%	5.42%	-13.05%	-	-
Horiz. %	90.63%	85.70%	96.66%	91.75%	91.66%	86.95%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Dividend
Div	122,330	122,330	114,667	114,667	114,281	114,281	114,254	4.64%
YoY %	0.00%	6.68%	0.00%	0.34%	0.00%	0.02%	-	-
Horiz. %	107.07%	107.07%	100.36%	100.36%	100.02%	100.02%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	141.77%	146.09%	140.74%	141.29%	136.48%	140.65%	126.23%	-
YoY %	-2.96%	3.80%	-0.39%	3.52%	-2.96%	11.42%	-	-
Horiz. %	112.31%	115.73%	111.49%	111.93%	108.12%	111.42%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	506,027	478,478	539,717	512,295	511,790	485,480	558,341	-6.33%
YoY %	5.76%	-11.35%	5.35%	0.10%	5.42%	-13.05%	-	-
Horiz. %	90.63%	85.70%	96.66%	91.75%	91.66%	86.95%	100.00%	-
NOSH	152,878	152,868	152,894	152,924	152,773	152,666	152,552	0.14%
YoY %	0.01%	-0.02%	-0.02%	0.10%	0.07%	0.07%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.21%	100.21%	100.22%	100.24%	100.14%	100.07%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	9.07%	9.07%	9.04%	9.26%	9.54%	9.47%	10.55%	-
YoY %	0.00%	0.33%	-2.38%	-2.94%	0.74%	-10.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	85.97%	85.97%	85.69%	87.77%	90.43%	89.76%	100.00%	-
ROE	17.05%	17.50%	15.10%	15.84%	16.36%	16.74%	16.21%	-
YoY %	-2.57%	15.89%	-4.67%	-3.18%	-2.27%	3.27%	-	-
Horiz. %	105.18%	107.96%	93.15%	97.72%	100.93%	103.27%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	622.07	603.69	589.30	572.84	574.42	562.03	562.35	6.94%
YoY %	3.04%	2.44%	2.87%	-0.28%	2.20%	-0.06%	-	-
Horiz. %	110.62%	107.35%	104.79%	101.87%	102.15%	99.94%	100.00%	-
EPS	56.44	54.78	53.29	53.07	54.81	53.22	59.33	-3.26%
YoY %	3.03%	2.80%	0.41%	-3.17%	2.99%	-10.30%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.13%	92.33%	89.82%	89.45%	92.38%	89.70%	100.00%	-
DPS	80.00	80.00	75.00	75.00	75.00	75.00	75.00	4.38%
YoY %	0.00%	6.67%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	106.67%	106.67%	100.00%	100.00%	100.00%	100.00%	100.00%	-
NAPS	3.31	3.13	3.53	3.35	3.35	3.18	3.66	-6.46%
YoY %	5.75%	-11.33%	5.37%	0.00%	5.35%	-13.11%	-	-
Horiz. %	90.44%	85.52%	96.45%	91.53%	91.53%	86.89%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 152,924
RPS	311.05	301.83	294.69	286.51	287.02	280.63	280.58	7.09%
YoY %	3.05%	2.42%	2.86%	-0.18%	2.28%	0.02%	-	-
Horiz. %	110.86%	107.57%	105.03%	102.11%	102.30%	100.02%	100.00%	-
EPS	28.22	27.39	26.65	26.54	27.39	26.57	29.60	-3.12%
YoY %	3.03%	2.78%	0.41%	-3.10%	3.09%	-10.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.34%	92.53%	90.03%	89.66%	92.53%	89.76%	100.00%	-
DPS	40.01	40.01	37.50	37.50	37.38	37.38	37.37	4.64%
YoY %	0.00%	6.69%	0.00%	0.32%	0.00%	0.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	107.06%	107.06%	100.35%	100.35%	100.03%	100.03%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.655	1.5649	1.7652	1.6755	1.6739	1.5878	1.8262	-6.33%
YoY %	5.76%	-11.35%	5.35%	0.10%	5.42%	-13.05%	-	-
Horiz. %	90.63%	85.69%	96.66%	91.75%	91.66%	86.95%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	-
Price	5.05	5.40	5.85	5.50	5.35	5.40	5.30	-
P/RPS	0.81	0.89	0.99	0.96	0.93	0.96	0.94	-9.42%
YoY %	-8.99%	-10.10%	3.12%	3.23%	-3.12%	2.13%	-	-
Horiz. %	86.17%	94.68%	105.32%	102.13%	98.94%	102.13%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	8.95	9.86	10.98	10.36	9.76	10.15	8.93	0.14%
YoY %	-9.23%	-10.20%	5.98%	6.15%	-3.84%	13.66%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.22%	110.41%	122.96%	116.01%	109.29%	113.66%	100.00%	-
EY	11.18	10.14	9.11	9.65	10.24	9.86	11.19	-0.05%
YoY %	10.26%	11.31%	-5.60%	-5.76%	3.85%	-11.89%	-	-
Horiz. %	99.91%	90.62%	81.41%	86.24%	91.51%	88.11%	100.00%	-
DY	15.84	14.81	12.82	13.64	14.02	13.89	14.15	7.78%
YoY %	6.95%	15.52%	-6.01%	-2.71%	0.94%	-1.84%	-	-
Horiz. %	111.94%	104.66%	90.60%	96.40%	99.08%	98.16%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	1.53	1.73	1.66	1.64	1.60	1.70	1.45	3.63%
YoY %	-11.56%	4.22%	1.22%	2.50%	-5.88%	17.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	105.52%	119.31%	114.48%	113.10%	110.34%	117.24%	100.00%	-

	30/09/04	30/06/04	31/03/04	31/12/03	30/09/03	30/06/03	31/03/03	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	24/11/04	25/08/04	19/05/04	18/02/04	17/11/03	20/08/03	21/05/03	-
Price	5.40	5.15	5.20	5.50	5.30	5.60	5.35	-
P/RPS	0.87	0.85	0.88	0.96	0.92	1.00	0.95	-5.68%
YoY %	2.35%	-3.41%	-8.33%	4.35%	-8.00%	5.26%	-	-
Horiz. %	91.58%	89.47%	92.63%	101.05%	96.84%	105.26%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	9.57	9.40	9.76	10.36	9.67	10.52	9.02	4.01%
YoY %	1.81%	-3.69%	-5.79%	7.14%	-8.08%	16.63%	-	-
Horiz. %	106.10%	104.21%	108.20%	114.86%	107.21%	116.63%	100.00%	-
EY	10.45	10.64	10.25	9.65	10.34	9.50	11.09	-3.87%
YoY %	-1.79%	3.80%	6.22%	-6.67%	8.84%	-14.34%	-	-
Horiz. %	94.23%	95.94%	92.43%	87.02%	93.24%	85.66%	100.00%	-
DY	14.81	15.53	14.42	13.64	14.15	13.39	14.02	3.71%
YoY %	-4.64%	7.70%	5.72%	-3.60%	5.68%	-4.49%	-	-
Horiz. %	105.63%	110.77%	102.85%	97.29%	100.93%	95.51%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	1.63	1.65	1.47	1.64	1.58	1.76	1.46	7.59%
YoY %	-1.21%	12.24%	-10.37%	3.80%	-10.23%	20.55%	-	-
Horiz. %	111.64%	113.01%	100.68%	112.33%	108.22%	120.55%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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