GOB rev n profit had handsome grow with excellent development in Penang. Let analyze d company p/l n future development n make yr smart decision before too late.
speakup, if you want people to subscribe right issue, and the company lets say , want to raise rights at RM 1.00 / share , do you think people will buy when market is trading at RM 1.04 ? If I am director, of course push up to RM 1.30 , and the RM 1.00 will look cheap .
Aiyaaaa....still 1 ringgit ka...bila mau 1.2 ka, 1.3 ka... After 6 weeks I sold this counter, still not move... Wakakaka buang masa lorrrr...mau hold till next year ka?? Lai lai I mau kasi free advise, sell your GOB and change your portfolio to Pasdec...u will earn more profit & u will smile next month... Pasdec 2nd wave will fly high ...
i foresee investment banks gonna write up on this counter...just to shore up the price...in preparation for an imminent rights issue.
Remember last time during Apr'14 when TheEdge wrote an article on GOB about Batu Kawan? The price went up the roof. Then, it fell sharply and consolidated for a few months at about RM1.00 and slowly edge up to RM1.04 ...right until now.
@ baiyuensheng; if not mistaken, the no dividend history is attributabe to the previous management under Equine Capital. I may be wrong...but if you look at the nearest proxy that is Malton - Malton declares dividend yearly - albeit not much
@ icon8888, well said. But then, the great Tambun INdah is still able to grow year on year and pay out RM0.06 dividend per annum...and now, they have the largest landbank in mainland Penang which is quite near to their flagship project Pearl City - and bought cheaper than other developers.
Wow. What a Gd volume. With d attractive PE, grow potential, pg land bank ..... Never had doubt GOB to exceed rm 1.5 in this year n have potential of stretching rm 1.8 to rm 2
@ chkee17, about the land at Batu Kawan. GOB's greatest competitor is Tambun Indah. Despite Tambun Indah's Pearl City which is about 20 minutes drive away from Batu Kawan, their landbank is freehold. Penangites love freehold whilst GOB's land is leasehold with 80 years left (instead of 99 years) to expiry.
The whole land at Batu Kawan now is undeveloped - just a barren piece of land. From what the GOB salesman told me, GOB's master plan for Batu Kawan had been submitted and approved. If you visit GOB's sales office at Batu Kawan, there is a model for the whole development. They can start building right away. Hence, it may take a few years (at least) to see the earnings from Batu Kawan to be gradually incorporated into GOB's EPS.
Right now, i think we can all depend on DaMein. Hopefully, DaMein's earnings have not yet been reflected in their books.
If we look at the 2014 annual report, their focus right now is to finish DaMen(44% completed), Galleria(12% completed) and Springville Residence(21% completed). These 3 projects with a GDV of RM1.54B and Gross Development Cost of RM1.285B are in the initial to mid stages and will complete by 2015 save for the Galleria. My thoughts on the delay of the Batu Kawan project launch is so that they can conserve their limited capital and wait for further land bank price to appreciate. Once the groundbreaking ceremony for IKEA commences, GOB will channel their focus here.
What is interesting in the circular are these paragraphs below:
Basis and justification of determining the issue price of the Rights Shares and exercise price of the Warrants The issue price of the Rights Shares and the exercise price of the Warrants shall be determined by the Board at a later date after all required approvals for the Proposals have been obtained and upon completion of the Proposed Par Value Reduction but prior to the Entitlement Date, after taking into consideration, amongst others, the following:-
(a) the TEAP of GOB Shares based on the five (5)-day VWAP of GOB Shares immediately preceding the price-fixing date; (b) an appropriate discount to the TEAP of GOB Shares (based on the five (5)-day VWAP of GOB Shares immediately preceding the price fixing date) of not less than 20% and up to 50%; (c) the new par value of GOB Shares after the Proposed Par Value Reduction of RM0.50 each; (d) the prevailing share price of GOB Shares and market conditions on the price-fixing date; and (e) the current and future prospects of the GOB Group.
The range of discount as disclosed in Section 2.3.1(b) above has been determined after taking into consideration, amongst others, the prevailing level of market price of Existing Shares and the basis of pricing of selected precedent rights issue with free warrants exercises for the past one (1) year up to LPD, which the Board deems appropriate and sufficiently attractive to entice the Entitled Shareholders to subscribe for the Rights Shares.
In determining the appropriate discount for the exercise price of the Warrants, the Board would also take cognizance of the fair value of such Warrants which are sufficiently attractive as an incentive to the Entitled Shareholders. For illustrative purposes, the indicative issue price of the Rights Shares and indicative exercise price of the Warrants is assumed at RM0.50 each respectively, representing a discount of approximately 29.75% to the TEAP of Existing Shares of RM0.7117, calculated based on the five (5)-day VWAP of Existing Shares up to and including LPD of RM1.0293 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If the rights and exercise prices are set at RM0.50, then the subscribers are looking at a huge windfall from the free warrants as they could be valued at RM0.39/warrant using the Trinomial pricing model sourced from Bloomberg.
@ James70, you maybe right about Batu Kawan. GOB is about to launch the Callisia Phase 2 the semi-detached houses which are in front of the theme park during the 2nd half of 2014. Maybe both GOB and Malton will move into Batu Kawan full swing after the ground breaking by IKEA.
Just a few questions: By the way, what are the chances the state government will change the status of the leasehold land to freehold land at Batu Kawan?
Also, if DaMein is about 44% completed, where can we see DaMein's earning contributions in the annual reports? I can't find it...
I think there is a conversion cost to change the land status from lease hold to free hold and it very much depends if GOB and PDC can strike an agreement.
See page 21 of the circular under section 4.5 Prospects of the GOB Group.
hi guys, regarding right issue, is it mean for every 2 ordinary share we owned can purchase 2 rights shares and free 1 share warrant? if i have 41000 units of GOB shares, i can purchase 41000 new rights share and free 20500 units of new warrant? pls correct me if i'm get it wrong. thx!
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Posted by Lim Elson > 2014-07-22 15:15 | Report Abuse
ho said liao,,,