Target price of RM1.30 still remains. Broiler chicken demand will stay elevated.
We live in a very complex macroeconomic situations. Yes, inflation may be over and raw material cost has been down significantly for producers. However, producers can still impose high prices on consumers with no tangible consequences. Consumers will always receive the short end of the stick in a deflationary environment.
In summary, companies like Cab Cakaran will always benefit regardless of whether the average production cost of broiler chicken goes up or down. This is a very interesting time we are living in
Chicken and egg price not only increase locally, but also globally like in US, UK, taiwan etc. Feedstock cost like soya, corn are ease off and normalize back but selling price remain elevated. US currency also on weakness, further reduce import cost, boosting up profit margin. Ceiling price will be lifted in next 2 month, selling price will base on market demand
The government is likely to announce ceiling prices for chicken and egg supplies ahead of the Eid al-Fitr celebration tomorrow while it awaits discussions between the two ministries on Wednesday.
We are in a truly unprecedented business environment. This is the era of Stagflation. Companies globally will continue to conduct layoffs, high unemployment will follow accompanied with high inflation. Get ready for second round of price inflation, be it broiler chicken price or energy/commodity prices.
Usually on 1st trading day of warrants many will dump esp when warrants are free/bonus. Conversion cost is quite high at 63 sen. Mother shares will drop as well. Just remember this is not a blue chip nor hot counter but more like pump & dump.
Warrant exercise price is 63 not 62. Annualising EPS using the best quarter is overstating. Bursa counters doesn’t seem to care much about PE. QL PE is >40. OSK <5 It’s all about goreng. NGNG no goreng no go, after goreng become musical chair.
Dear hng33, now the price of CAB is 0.755. The exercise is RM0.63. The difference is + RM0.125. Do you know how to calculate the adjusted price after the mother share after ex-bonus?
Dear hng33, now the price of CAB is 0.755. The exercise is RM0.63. The difference is + RM0.125. Do you know how to calculate the adjusted price of the mother share after ex-bonus?
So this Loo Choo Gee out of the game and sold 3m shares. He is 60 y.o. veteran so I guess some impact also. I believe he still keep some stocks so it should not be anything to be worry about.
@supersaiyan3 IMO all these veterans (regardless any industry) always have their own biased views (tend to be overly bearish) towards the industry. i had talked to FLFAM insiders , some private and public listed companies in the past 2 years i will say 99% of them are extremely bearish towards poultry industry but the result speaks otherwise.
DOC price has come down a little due to weak demand after 45 days - post ramadan effects. but the profit expected to be good in the next few quarters. dont forget the free float policy after june ( state elections to be precise ).
Counters like CAB are low volume to dormant because majority shareholders are not interested in share price. All trades are tightly controlled. If you make money be wise. Don’t be forced to act against your interests.
@raymondlim i am looking at 100-120m this year. Subsidies + price cap is actually good for big broilers players ( not layers ). market share has been increasing a lot in the past 2 years. now the GP stocks are in huge shortage due to bird flu- expect the DOC price to remain high in the near future. Those who control the GP stocks farming will make huge profits in the next 2-3 quarters
Agree with @patron broiler companies will be profitable next 2 quarters at least. However in the case of CAB we’re at the mercy of the largest shareholder (family holding > 50%). They will dictate the price. Only way to play this counter is follow trend by big player, don’t be greedy and bear in mind fundamental analysis may not work for this counter. Lock in profit whenever able.
@GorengWatch yes freefloat is very low. @raymondlim poultry is unpopular among funds/ retailers and tightly controlled by insiders (sadly most of them are farmers who dont quite understand how financial market works) also its a low margin cyclical industry. profit cycle moves up and down rapidly. risk premium is huge. invest at your own risk.
Good counter with potentially better quarters ahead but price is down and undervalued. Why? Family controlled business with >50% shareholding and controlling price.
actually whole industry is undervalued. PWF ,CCK just announced their highest dividend ever LHI just resumed its dividend payout CAB announced free warrants LTKM privatized SinMah divested its poultry business
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
bowman
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Posted by bowman > 2023-03-09 15:02 | Report Abuse
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