Mynews.com is a type of business that easy to understand, low capex and recession proof. Other than doing convenience store business, they are also into money exchange service, collection point for lazada online purchase and also ready to eat packed food.
Its a very competitive market with thin margin and high expenses. At such a ridiculous P/E, its going to be next KAREX. FCF is deteriorating fast, dividend may be hard to come by. Will only consider to buy at half price 0.75 @ P/E of 22.0x.
Talked to the staff looking after operation - banyak competition from Family Mart lah . Sudah tutup berapa kedai. That should explained the flat revenue vs the net income.
Even though revenue had grown by almost 20% in FY18, profit grew by only 10% due to the squeeze of profit margins relating to the increasing operating cost. The result itself is commendable but the 10% profit growth is a lot lower than the 32% achieve in FY17. FY19 is expected to deliver the same level of growth (if not lower) as the one seen in FY18 mainly due to the increasing operational cost which will pull down the profit margin and also due to the fact there will be lower new stores opening in 2019.
At the current share price, the company has a PE valuation of 35.5x which is really high given the slowing down of Mynews profit growth. Assuming they managed to deliver a profit of RM30 mil (this is above the expected 10% profit growth), the company would still be valued at a lofty valuation of 31.4x PE.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.1x PE based on FY18 profit of RM166mil. PB is low at only 0.7x BV.
FY19 should deliver another profit growth year to the company. Profit growth will again be driven by the performance of Perodua (via MBMR 22.6% holdings in Perodua) from the still strong sales of new Myvi, sales of SUV Aruz and the introduction of the newly revamp Alza sometime in the 2H19. Aruz which commands a higher margin compared to other models, will help improve the total profit margin of Perodua (which will flow to MBMR’s bottom line as well).
MBMR is expected to achieve a profit of RM200mil in 2019. At the current share price, the company is being valued at only 5.0x which is a lot lower than the industry average of 15x PE. As an example, UMW (another company with exposure to Perodua) is currently trading at a PE multiple of almost 20x.
The group remains committed to increase its network expansion by around 80–100 stores in FY20F in order to fully realise its FPC capabilities. We assume in our forecast the number of outlets to surpass 600 in FY20F (from 498 in 9MFY19) with revenue growing by 23%.
Whatever the IB writes, please take it with a tablespoon of salt! Go to the ground level by visiting and observing some MYNEWS outlets and you will understand its profitability!
Posted by skypie87 > Jan 6, 2020 8:08 PM | Report Abuse
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
InvestKLSE88
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Posted by InvestKLSE88 > 2018-01-12 15:06 | Report Abuse
Bought into MYNEWS yesterday. Cheers