Investor on the Street

Sit in Cash. Wait for the Crash.

Effulgence
Publish date: Sat, 23 Apr 2022, 12:51 PM

Yesterday, Dow Jones and Nasdaq Composite fell more than 2.5%. It is one of the worst one-day decline since 2020.

Expect volatility. Invest safely. 

 

I prefer net cash companies. They are less susceptible to the Fed's aggressive rate hikes.

 

Cash is not trash. Don't run out of cash when stock market crash. 

Whether market crash, is anyone's guess.

Sit in cash. Wait for the crash. 

Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 42 of 42 comments

calvintaneng

Post removed.Why?

2022-04-23 15:58

s3phiroth

the <3% drops yesterday was not even close to the top 10 drops since 2020.

and your advise is sit on cash when inflation runs wild?

2022-04-23 16:40

firehawk

isn't the crash expected? many investors have well adjusted for bumpy path ahead :-)

2022-04-23 19:12

ahbah

Sit in cash n wait for the crash but what if the crash no come ? but our cash crashes when all our food prices skyrocket ?

2022-04-23 23:01

The_JQuestion

this time diff + war + china politics + malaysia politics + us politics + dumno politics + covid + everything

2022-04-24 01:06

stockraider

To preserve wealth & wins always invest something that can sustained & win loh!

Go for stocks that will benefit from inflation loh!

Remember stick to good stocks which has only malaysian plantation exposure which are not affected by export ban which are;

1. Cepat
2. Hapseng
3. Kmloong
4. MHC
5. Taann
6. swkplant
7. Wtk
8. Bplant

2022-04-24 08:45

uncensored

Wall Street Week - Full Show 04/22/2022
Bloomberg Markets and Finance
1.23M subscribers

On this edition of Wall Street Week, Rick Rieder, BlackRock CIO of Global Fixed Income & Barbara Ann Bernard, Wincrest Capital Founder, CEO & CIO wrap up a rough week in the markets. Anne Finucane, Bank of America Europe Chairman talks about Russia's impact on the quest for zero emissions. Plus, Steve Rattner, Willett Advisors Chairman and CEO reacts to U.S. Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen's latest remarks on the economy, China and more.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IQ89AxUeOQA

2022-04-24 10:41

DannyArcher

Some say invest in palm oil, a commodities. if fed raise rate, it will crash the commodity market. so, how?

2022-04-24 10:46

stockraider

Raise interest rate people still need to eat mah!

Lu tau boh ?

2022-04-24 10:49

DannyArcher

eat more or eat less?

Lu tau boh ?

2022-04-24 11:27

stockraider

Lu pakai otak loh!

Cpo rm 6000 & cpo Rm 4000 how much xtra cost to your food bill leh ??

Very small fraction only....u use a small % of oil only mah....U eat your food & not drink palmoil for your food mah!

2022-04-24 11:33

sensonic

DID U NOTICE WHENEVER DOW DOWN, OUR MARKET WILL PERFORM. WAITING FOR CRASH IS LIKE WAITING LIGHTING , 1 IN MILLION

2022-04-24 17:51

sensonic

Post removed.Why?

2022-04-24 17:52

bsinvestor

time to all in

2022-04-24 18:31

pang72

Mana ada crash wo!
Market is in super bull mode!

2022-04-24 23:11

Pinky

When market expects a crash, it will not happen

2022-04-25 13:54

supersinginvestor

Lol

2022-04-25 14:14

The_JQuestion

i agree no need to rush btr stay away and have a look look first

2022-04-25 15:39

firehawk

if not the plantation stocks like KLK and IOI ... KLCI would be very ugly today!

UP 234
Down 862

2022-04-25 15:44

firehawk

For those keeping cash, can do bargain hunting :-)

there is no inflation in stocks price, in contrast, cheaper ...

2022-04-27 10:22

Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥

Cash
Bonds
Equity
Crypto
Defensive stocks

Bonds down.
Equity down.
Crypto down.


No where to hide.

Stay in cash.
Stay in defensive stocks.

Do panic.
Do not panic sell.

2022-05-06 16:45

ahbah

How not to panic when the whole world may even face food shortage ?

Even I no got my daily nasi lemak n kopi o !

2022-05-06 18:29

ahbah

Why stay in cash when we got super inflation everywhere ?

The cash is crashing very fast lah during this super inflation !

2022-05-06 18:36

Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥

>>>>>

Why stay in cash when we got super inflation everywhere ?

The cash is crashing very fast lah during this super inflation !

>>>>>>



For the next few months.

2022-05-06 20:12

Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥

Can also deploy now into defensive quality stocks for those with very long term investing time horizon.

2022-05-06 20:14

Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥

Inflation

Supply factors

Covid pandemic
Ukraine war

Demand factors

A lot of free money in household. It will take sometime for them to spend down this amount before economy cools.

US economy is good. 400,000 new jobs created.


How to tame inflation by the Fed?

1. Increasing the interest rate, presently still behind the yield curve.
2. QT quantitative tightening

Challenges

To manouevre a soft landing. Economy growing at a good rate and inflation down to 4%.

Worry about crashing the economy, leading to recession. Low growth and high inflation = stagflation. Stagflation is very bad for properties and equities, which tend to crash.

Inflation is equivalent to a tax on your income. You have less purchasing power to spend.

Recession usually lasts 10 months.


Money in circulation comes from 3 sources
1. Injections by Fed QE quantitative easing
2. Income
3. Credit

2022-05-08 08:38

ahbah

Increasing interest rate will increase the borrowing interest charge n further increase the cost of productions, making the final products more expensive. !

Very few companies are cash rich n most companies got borrowings. As such, in general, increase interest rate also means increase products prices for us all !!!

2022-05-08 16:51

ahbah

QT will make us poorer ! Mani oredi reached out their retirement fund for survival !

2022-05-08 16:57

ahbah

Inflation is caused by printing too much moni with no corresponding increase of goods n services during the last 3 yrs of c 19 stay at home restriction. Therefore, increase interest rate n qt will onli further increase inflation !

2022-05-08 17:13

ahbah

How to tame inflation by the Fed?

1. Stop the increase of supply of moni with no corresponding increase of goods n servives.

2. Moni must be convertible to gold so that moni cannot be simply printed out from thin air.

2022-05-08 17:21

markgold

No government will agree money to convert to gold because drug addict will not stop to drug. This is the most easy way to solve a nation financial problem.

2022-05-08 17:34

ahbah

Ruble now is convertible to gold at the exchange rate of 5000 rubles for 1 gram of gold !

2022-05-08 17:40

markgold

This is a temporary measure to save Ruble. Russian government has changed the plan on April 8, 2022.

2022-05-08 17:54

ahbah

Thanks for your latest info.

2022-05-09 09:25

firehawk

today, no inflation in stock prices again, but cheaper ... including plantation stocks ....

2022-05-09 09:41

nicholas99

yeah.. interest will announce soon. so.. prepare for worse.. nasdaq will crash too.

2022-05-09 11:12

nicholas99

there are more interest rate going to announce in future.. for US..

2022-05-09 11:12

ahbah

Interest rate hikes are mkt killers ?

With so mani interest rate hikes coming, can our mkt go up ?

2022-05-09 11:34

Newbie_123

wait till coming GE ..... when the dominant party wins (as predicted) expect Bursa stocks to fly

2022-05-09 14:12

ahbah

Wait for the crash ?

It looks like the crash is oredi ON NOW ???

Please give me your thought, thanks.

2022-05-09 15:45

momo33

klci already broke ema 200 today , so more downside .

2022-05-09 16:04

ahbah

Thanks for your thought.

2022-05-09 16:09

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