Thank you for your update and explanation on Xingquan which I sincerely think it is timely to dispel investors' doubts on the company. Dividends is definitely a must as investors invest to make money and if the returns are so miniscule or worst than bank interest then it is best to park your money some where else. The free warrant news is definitely a breather for every Xingquan shareholders if they do approve it.
On simple calculation and if the money that Xingquan is making and conserving, we should buy and buy as the value is far more higher than its current RM1.01.
I can hardly believe the financial results reported by China businessman. It's simply too easy to fabricate the figures in China. Buying high PER stock like Jtiasa is less risky than Xingquan.
For me Chinese listing companies in Malaysia have got a bad reputation and many is still trading below IPO and never ever recover. I bought XingGuan at 1.82 but i sell it for a small losses. Lucky i did as the price plummetted to below 1.00 then after.
If possible, don't ever touch Chinese listed companies......and that my personal opinion.
I am very confident to the bank in Malaysia. We hardly heard of any fake bank confirmation.
It did happen many times in China
ie: Longtop was a $2.4 billion NYSE-listed company, until its auditor resigned following discovery of fraud as a result of comparing company cash balance confirmations obtained from the main headquarters of the bank(s) with the confirmations previously provided by local bank branches. The confirmations provided by the local banks were all phony. According to Deloitte, Longtop’s chairman, Jia Xiao Gong, told a Deloitte partner that there was “fake cash recorded on the books” because there had been “fake revenue in the past.” Just two weeks prior to the resignation of the company’s auditor and the revelation of management fraud, a Morgan Stanley analyst recommended Longtop’s stock.
Lol. Again another childish affirmation. If the company is so good why there is a sudden switch in brands. As previous comment from some member xing quan's products can't be found at all! The dividend payout is just 2%. Since the company are so cash rich why they can't even increase the dividend payout? Since they are so cash rich why their interest receive is ridiculously low? Since it is cash rich why it need to raise capital through issuing TDR previously? The free warrants doesn't bring any benefits to the long term shareholders. They still have to fork out money to convert to common stocks.As i said since they are cash rich why they need to raise money through warrants?
I don't think anyone here is better than John Paulson. Paulson is a legend yet he was trapped by chinese counters. Even warren who is widely regarded as the best investors also admit that he done a lot of mistakes. Follow tycoons blindly won't bring you benefits.
Well , there are plenty of better shares to buy than this .. Buying this share means losing the opportunity cost to buy better shares Don't listen to financial advisors or analyst report They have been paid to write the reports
A company with such huge cash pile need to issue warrant to raise more capital? What are they going to do with the extra capital by not giving much dividend but also not using it for expansion (look at capex and investing in the cash flow)? Interest received is so low, no one is going to believe the cash pile is there, unless of course they stuff it under the mattress with zero interest.....
If I am the owner I will straight away offer to privatize the entire company as the share price is much less than net cash.I am sure the Chinese entrepreneur is much smarter than us. Why bother to continue to list?
Also try to go to a major city (Beijing, Shanghai etc)and TRY to look for one outlet in a mall... see if you can actually find any. the last time I am there I cant find one...
Mr. Koon, I used to look forward to your articles and your views, but recently you are making more and more hard selling which is marring your reputation. I am sorry it has come this way....
The various points pointed out by forum commentators on Chinese-based stocks are valid. I have conducted extensive studies on Xingquan as I have invested quite a fair bit of money in it. In fact, my investment shrunk 55% from my original investment. Likewise, I believe Mr. Koon had lost considerably as well. Xingquan's inability to pay dividends to its shareholder is a red flag and irked all of us. And those excuses given by the Chairman were lame and could not stand scrutiny. The only consolation that I have after conducting my personal extensive investigations on Xingquan is several major shareholders are reputable individual viz:-
a) Mr. Koon Yew Yin, holding 30 million shares which constitute slightly more than 10% of Xingquan's paid-up capital, b) Dato Koh Kin Lip (a major shareholder of Coastal Contracts and a savvy investor) c) Madam Lai Poh Lin (a director in IOI Corp) and d) New York Bank of Mellon (holding 8% of Xingquan)
The various points given by the Chairman to Mr. Koon were like old broken record and to an extent, excuses of not paying dividend. Either they are real or the money just isn't there.
Another point which "cariyoyo" pointed out was that if Xingquan is so good, why its director Ooi Guan Hoe is holding only 30,000 shares???
a) Mr. Koon Yew Yin, holding 30 million shares which constitute slightly more than 10% of Xingquan's paid-up capital, b) Dato Koh Kin Lip (a major shareholder of Coastal Contracts and a savvy investor) c) Madam Lai Poh Lin (a director in IOI Corp) and d) New York Bank of Mellon (holding 8% of Xingquan)
A few points I would like to highlight to Mr Koon:
1) Its interest income does not reconcile with its cash pile, suggesting its cash likely being moved in and out before and after quarterly accounts closing.
2) Call warrants, free or otherwise, would be dilutive to mother shares. Mother share price would move down to the extent of the dilution, resulting in no gain no loss to the shareholders.
3) A company with RM462m cash is not small even in China. There is no excuse to sacrifice dividend. Opening own store is the way forward, yes, as entrance fee in big malls is expensive. But, it makes sense to do it incrementally and conservative to not burn too much cash on start-up costs too fast. Branding is important but if quality of its products is there, it will succeed. The fear of shareholders is they may drain away the cash on expansion capex and marketing expenses, without corresponding profit increase. If the biz is and will be under severe or cut-throat competition, it is better to close the biz and distribute all its assets back to its shareholders now.
4) Much smaller companies in China with good biz model could get bank loans in China. XQ has track record (unless its books are cooked) and big cash pile as security to get any bank loan it wants. They should use not more than half of the cash to get bank loans and the rest put in fixed deposits and give out dividend.
I am merely giving my perspective and I have spent 6 years working in commercial sector in China. I hope it helps.
seems like this ex gamuda boss is desperately selling off xing quan, so many hanky panky articles, at the end just to ask u buy some of his 30 million shares.
but, this company is very fishy.
but again, who knows how the share price will go in the coming days.
the best option is, i stay sideline and invest in other more mature stock.
If you read my article carefully, you will notice that I only made one statement which could mean that I believe the account is not cooked, but the rest of the article is merely the Chairman's explanation for not paying dividend. The only statement I made quote "One of the founders of the auditors S J Grant Thornton is my cousin, who is a chartered accountant and his son is the senior partner".
Like any serious investors, I also must made sure that the auditing company, the underwriter CIMB for the IPO and Mercury Securities Sdn. Bhd. who are recommending buy, are all trust worthy.
Can you believe the Chinese controlling shareholders could cook the books for the IPO and every year since IPO to deceive the auditors and the auditors and the few Malaysian directors could not detect?
AS I said Xinquan is my worst share investment in my life but I still have some hope. Share investment is always risky. Every smart investor has to balance the risk and reward whenever he decides to buy, sell or hold any share. In this case, I decide to hold and take the chance. In fact, I have given a large part of my holdings to my daughter and Grand Children.
Again I am not asking you to buy Xinquan and if you buy I am not responsible for your losses and I also do not want a share of profit.
It's not difficult to fool the underwriter or auditors by incorporating some reasonable creative elements in the system. Everything can be nicely prepared and tally each other. What can an external auditor do if they have obtained relevant evidences from the company and the audit job is done as stated in their SOP? Keep their mouth shut is the only way. In addition, the role of the external auditor is NOT detecting fraud.
You are a super investor because you know the tricks to make money from the stock market. It is similar to a businessmen in China, they know tricks and dare to execute it.
With such a huge amount of cash in bank, how the management can justify the interest received is reasonable.
If you read my article carefully, you will notice that I only made one statement which could mean that I believe the account is not cooked, but the rest of the article is merely the Chairman's explanation for not paying dividend. The only statement I made quote "One of the founders of the auditors S J Grant Thornton is my cousin, who is a chartered accountant and his son is the senior partner".
Like any serious investors, I also must made sure that the auditing company, the underwriter CIMB for the IPO and Mercury Securities Sdn. Bhd. who are recommending buy, are all trust worthy.
Can you believe the Chinese controlling shareholders could cook the books for the IPO and every year since IPO to deceive the auditors and the auditors and the few Malaysian directors could not detect?
I want to said that it can be possible..............look at Megan Media. The company making profits for 5 years above and with low PE making it attractive to investors even myself. But the problem is the $400 mil of Bond that was issued to finance purchase/expansion of plant and machinery that are not even physically existed. Only merely book entries. And the Auditors even not detected this until the share prices collapsed and the frauds uncover.
Therefore, this is a good lesson to learned not to trust companies that reporting profits but no dividends in stored for the shareholders.
Something is not right somewhere.
No amount of reputation of the Auditor's is in question here, no matter how well-known the auditing companies is concerned it all boils down to analysing the report well enough to warrant a investment in the company .
This is my own opinion after investing in a few China owned listed companies like XingGuan and CAP. CAP is still okay because their gives free warrant to mitigated my losses but XingGuan is totally unacceptable.
Seminar at 11am on 16th Feb Sunday at Ipoh St John Ambulance hall. I have rearranged the seating, now I can offer another additional 40 seats, totalling 220 seats. Those who are interested can write to me, especially those whom I have turned down. koonyewyin@gmail.com.
My Dad is a seasonal accouting veteran who have near to 40 years experience. He had told me it is no hard for him to fool the big 4's auditors! They will just send the fresh graduates who do not have much experience for auditing. The worst thing is the staff will change every year! According to him the SOP can't detect any wrong doing at all.
In this case they are so many redflags to show the company are problematic. Like warren said if you found you are digging hole, stop doing it.
I agreed with you Imenwe. Anyone can do some creative accounting treatment in the books without the auditors detected it. They audit on random basis and done by the junior staffs. So how do the top senior Auditor's knows about anything except signing and signified the reports for public disclosure.
So when Konn Yew Yin said that his cousin is in the top 4 Auditing firm and also a senior partner that audited XingGuan accounts and straight acknowledged it books is correct, i feel let down by his comments as a senior person in the corporate world.
I wouldn't invest in this share or any china share listed in bursa if I were u A company which is reluctant to reward its shareholders either it has cashflow issues or maybe they don't have no real profits . Eg their receivables is cooked to make it look good.. Secondly , I know china co are very low in transparency Even for china the growth rate is quite artificial They build roads and ghost cities which ppl don't need , so that their GDP growth looks good When u buy a company , u look at the product itself How many ppl actually buy their shoes ? Vs say Nike , reebork, or Adidas , Then u will know if it's waste of time to buy their shares Again : dont believe in financial advisors or analyst reports Sometimes they were ordered to write something good
You must be kidding for claiming everyone can do a creative without the detection from the auditor. Experience auditors are not easy to fool man. If an auditor has sufficient knowledge or experience in an industry, you can't bluff him easily. They are not so gullible.
Some of the other con co caught other than Megan media includes Transmile, patimas computers , etc Prior to being discovered as fraud they operates regularly and nobody know the hanky panky unless u are inside the company I was once inside patimas and long time ago, I saw what they did to "increase" revenue I know this company is fraudulent I can't state the reason here as its illegal just mentioning what they did u will be shock Today it's pending delisting hahaha
stock without dividen only good when one buy from below and keep moving up .. no dividend no matter how good is stock - people easily get bored and this will leave them without money to buy other stocks to counter many things as not many are lucky to buy low, sell high - 2cent kaki lima thoughts.
All these high profile irregularities are involved by a team of experts from various profession with extensive knowledge and experience in an industry. It's not a normal accountant can do it alone. The team knows where the loophole. How to cover this and that....
Most common tricks used by China-based companies (not just those listed overseas) to trick banks or shareholders:
The major shareholder may set up around 10 companies to buy from the company before selling off to external customers, and another 10 companies to sell to the company after buying from external suppliers. This way, reported sales, selling price, profit, production and purchase cost, cash and banks, accounts receivable and accounts payable of the company can be controlled at ease.
The flight risk is high. Overnight, the controlling shareholder may decamp and disappear into thin air, likely in overseas and no one can track him down, much less from Malaysia. The company may be left in the lurch with just factories, equipment, loads of bank borrowing and a long line of workers waiting for their salaries.
Chinese are too poor for too long. So, they would do almost anything for money. Overtime, their ethics should improve. With religions pretty much banned in China, the process may take longer than other countries. It is important therefore for China-based companies to pay decent, consistent dividend to show they want to be shareholders-oriented. Only then would they be worth considering for equity investment. There is no other way, as I see it.
With the company having 300~400 millions in cash..why the interest the company received in their book records was so small amount ?? Not even 1 million yearly??
The company did not deposits the cash in the financial firms?? They just carry their cash within their office or outlets ??
Logical thinking...pls...
Retail investors pls beware of...especially those china company.
Possible of earning peanut interest: 1. Keeping all cash in the office, outlets or factory. 2. Majority of the Debtors pay before ending of each quarter. It seems not reasonable after comparing with turnover. 3. Transfer cash outside company to do Ah Long business and bring back cash before ending of each quarter . 4. Cash balance is fabricated.
They have must have warehouses full of cash...... and pray that termites dont eat all thier money. hahaha.
Seriously there is like >50 china based companies already found to be fraud and cooking the books in the last 5-8 years. Especially US listed ones where they have activist shareholder looking for fraud.
Why not another one?
Seriously Mr. koon, you should make a trip to china and see if you can locate even 10 of the 100's of stores they claim to have. 30 million is no small change, if I am in your shoes, I will have already engaged a fraud accountant to do background check.
Another china co that looks fraudulent is CSL. Same case : claim to have plenty of cash But share price movement suggest otherwise Plenty of cash doesn't means it will be returned to shareholders While u are buying the shares for ur children , the directors are also there to ensure that their children get that cash Very seldom they will return the cash especially china co Even if they do maybe it's like 1 cents or less Which printing the dividend statement maybe more expensive If someone has 30 mil shares, he shld make more noise And threaten to dispose the share totally if no dividend at all See how the directors may panic if the share limit down
Also a real good company can get their financing for business by borrowing from the banks at low interest rather than ask money from shareholder or keeping the cash It is quite unusual for a cash rich company to be stingy on dividend Take for example a well manage company like Amway They give quarterly dividend as their cashflow is strong and in net cash position They don't go around telling strange tales eg they need the money etc as the company is a cash generating machine by itself Shld slowly cutloss on xingquan before they close down
Apart from asking the half past six mgmt to give warrants perhaps mr koon u can also ask them to do share buy back .. Since if they really have $1.50 per share there shldnt be any excuses Unless they don't think it's worth even $1.00 buck
D answer to d question if d major shareholder is capable of cooking d books wld b....... Has he lived thru d hardship of d old Communist era whr everybody was for himself. Tat kind of condition wld hv really hardened a man, and d worst kind of perpetrator is a victim turned perpetrator. A victim turned perpetrator is capable of anything, n he wld carry out his crime wit a vengeance n without remorse. Think Russian Mafia..... n u get d picture
On d other hand while one is claiming XQ was not big n is in fact empty... but at d same saying its banks hv colluded wit it wld beg d question.... Why did d banks want to confirm d fake cash balances wit them? Wat is in it for d banks???
Tak kira market hot ke market crisis ke, kalau silap pilih saham memang ikan masin betul. Ini contoh saham yang dalam list jangan beli sama sekali. China stocks dah ramai masuk parit.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
dlsh2
35 posts
Posted by dlsh2 > 2014-02-14 11:49 | Report Abuse
Dear Mr. Koon,
Thank you for your update and explanation on Xingquan which I sincerely think it is timely to dispel investors' doubts on the company. Dividends is definitely a must as investors invest to make money and if the returns are so miniscule or worst than bank interest then it is best to park your money some where else. The free warrant news is definitely a breather for every Xingquan shareholders if they do approve it.
On simple calculation and if the money that Xingquan is making and conserving, we should buy and buy as the value is far more higher than its current RM1.01.