see these two sentence already LDM... so contradict
except C31 1% premium (today), the rest u really lead ppl to holland... hold until so long? time decay till mother also cant recognize
-Fundamentally, there is a 400mil as the foreign exchange gain (and 600mil is unrealized) in the recent quarter earnings, which contribute much to the net profit. if exclude this gain, the EPS is only 15 (appx). If today the EPS is fully from its business, the share price wont be at the previous resistance so less, should have up 20-30% today.
-Technically, stocks price has already show some bear divergence sign, if this resistance breakout but MACD cant do higher high, dont know how many people will die holding the warrants with the stock price consolidation (maybe 3 months consolidation or more?), and with the time decay of the warrant if premium too high
Im not saying that Airasia cant reach your TP, but encouraging people to hold warrant for such a long time is really leading people go to holland, with all the risk and things which possible to happen in such a long period. Many investor will just merely buy n wont cutting loss with the share price dropping. This is such a irresponsible post. Q3 have a high chance where by the revenue wont be so nice, and once funds get stuck, they hardly will cut the losses.
And fyi, your theory on warrant is so nicely calculated. But the real warrant price is control by the issuer, those parameters can be easily changed by them. today's warrant is so nice will turn nightmare anytime.
For all Those of you who want to play airasia call warrants my advice : C31 is the best option with almost no premium C28 is good but very low volume traded so not advisable to trade. C34 n C33 longer expiry date but premium too high for just 3 extra month of time value. For C31 you can always switch over to other options if you want to continue holding beyond the expiry period as you don't need to bear the premium upon expiry. Take your pick your money your choice. Happy trading
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Posted by VenFx > 2016-05-26 21:06 | Report Abuse
Twot , good works.