We have many Sifus with some attacking the others. Some make U turns within days while there was no change in the economic situation. Just read everything but believe a few and take the rest wirh a pinch of sale. Never fully trust them as most have hidden agendas
Next year if the production increase the price may drop 10% - 20% but don't expect it drop to below RM4,000. During December2019 investment banks said the CPO sure drop back to RM2,000+ by April 2020. During December 2020 investment bank said CPO sure drop to back to RM3,000 by May/June 2021. What is the price of CPO Now ? Investment bank and KYY is just guessing.
Palm oil is the most economical cooking oil in the world, if no substitute cooking oil can be found in the near future then the price will not drop drastically.
1. Indonesia and Malaysia banned further conversion of forest to oil palm cultivation
So no new oil palm but world population is growing by 80 million per year (0nly 1% growth out of 8 billion people on earth. So demand increase but supply no longer increase
He just got the fact wrong why CPO Charge way way above historical price level ! He totally ignorant and simply bluff why CPO crash in 2009 amid Lehman's collapse! What a shame.
Dunno about Uncle Con but have a brother-in-law who owns palm oil land/farm. Price can only go up from now until they can resolve the labor shortage issues. MCO over does not mean there will be many workers ready to go back to work in the industry, you need to be in it to know the real details.
This article too shallow to believe. Looks like a copy and paste from some reading.
The only reason Kyy talk about palm oil because Calvin been writing & promoting palm oil stock for far too long and almost everyday until no one notice kyy steel stock promotion.
I will continue to collect MHC and Cepat. Both are having very good management teams and low debt/equity ratio. Both are small plantation companies that don't have to warry about "cukai makmur".
gladiator The only reason Kyy talk about palm oil because Calvin been writing & promoting palm oil stock for far too long and almost everyday until no one notice kyy steel stock promotion. 01/11/2021 7:22 PM
OOOO!! THEN, CALVIN SHOULD REPLY TO UNCLE WITH NEW ARTICLE 'WILL STEEL PRICE FALL?'
Uncle caution CPO price correction . Is that justified? I would like to share the year's high (H) , low (L) and the simple average (Avg) from year 2008 to 2021as below : 2008. $4179 (H) , $1403 (L) , $2791 (Avg) 2009. 2887,. 1630. 2259 2010. 3782. 2386. 3084 2011. 3930. 2786. 3358 2012. 3567. 2027. 2797 2013. 2635. 2157. 2396 2014. 2917. 1933. 2425 2015. 2360. 1802. 2081
2021's H is 29% higher than the highest H (2008) 2021's H is 66% higher than the avg H 2008-2019 2021's L. Is 147% higher than the lowest L (2008) 2021's L is 72% higher than the avg L 2008-2019 2021's Avg is 68% higher than the Avg 2008-2019.
(Note : in 2008 , Lehman's collapse in Sept caused global panic and hence commodity prices )
Despite the above , all plantantion counters stock prices are 20-50% below the highs achieved in 2008 -2020 period . Mind boggling indeed.
So, why should there be worries if CPO price indeed correct for 10-20% next year ?? 02/11/2021 9:54 AM
Why this iddiot go every way to promote palm oil stocks?
If you so confidence what you bought, why need to go every way non-stop talking unless you start realise not the better choice so need all waterfish members here to support you
I don't why 3iii administer didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid keep on spamming every way
I pegging administer need to take proper action against this spammer
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 1, 2021 4:48 PM | Report Abuse
Further factors are these
1. Indonesia and Malaysia banned further conversion of forest to oil palm cultivation
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 1, 2021 4:49 PM | Report Abuse
Both indonesia and Malaysia are mixing palm oil as B30 biodisel to fuel
So more palm oil goes into power for vehicles less for export
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 1, 2021 4:53 PM | Report Abuse
Canada Rapeseed oil failed badly this past summer
Since Only Northern hemisphere produce most of Rapeseed or canola oil (not Argentina, Brazil or Australia ). There won't be enough canola oil until August 2022 for next Canadian canola harvest
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 1, 2021 4:57 PM | Report Abuse
USA refineries under clean energy mandate to turning from fossil fuel to biodisel fuel on a MASSIVE SCALE
Posted by calvintaneng > Nov 1, 2021 5:02 PM | Report Abuse
The worst is yet to come for currency debasement by Fed relentless money printing
Bro Koon, please dont listen or learn from your half bake, remisier, god, guru, master, gold finger, educator and so on!!! If they are excellent, why they need your tuition fee please? My two cents, indicator about inflation is down, price for commodity should be down. 10% to 20% down for CPO is ok. Main negative news for plantation company is 33% tax after 100 million profit (Budget 2022). All bad news for CPO, any bad drop please!? No, what is it mean please!? Price for commodity is not about supply n demand, everything is about politic! Why Euro want to ban CPO please!? If you think America & China problem can overcome by tomorrow or few months time then you need to sell all stock. Beside that, America debt are so high. The best way to make this debt look small is inflation. On other hand, the best way to create inflation is breakup. What I foresee is "HYPERINFLATION" on the way!!! Last, situation can be change instantly. Investment is about control risk.
When this sifu give advise to sell all plantation stock when CPO too high on 31 Oct 2021, he did not know or rather don't spend time to understand that underlying environment at that time will support CPO price.
Fast forward to today, he is changing his tune to buy plantation stock because CPO price is at elevated 7k. And yet his choice of company is as bad as his skill of prediction, TDM.
Maybe his should change to disciple instead of sifu for him to make money in stock market
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
piranha88
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Posted by piranha88 > 2021-11-01 10:03 | Report Abuse
We have many Sifus with some attacking the others. Some make U turns within days while there was no change in the economic situation. Just read everything but believe a few and take the rest wirh a pinch of sale. Never fully trust them as most have hidden agendas