bought SOP @ 3.65 in OCt 6 2021, take dividend 4 cents and sell 16 FEB 2022 @ 4.68
bought INNO @1.275 average, collect dividend of 0.06 and sold on 3rd Feb 2022 at 1.39
Last friday SOP: RM 5.71 INN RM 1.84.
And as such, everyone in the industry knows that there is no way for prices to hold at 8k, 9k or even 10k per tonne? Ans: Palm oil not even touch 8K and who in their right mind will suggest palm oil to hold at 8k, 9k or even 10k.
I am suggesting palm oil fair price should be RM 4000/MT which will still enable plantations and small holders to make a decent profit.
The statement "Paying penthouse price for palm oil is foolish when there are multitude of healthier cooking oil alternatives" is quite true. There will be an 'equilibrium' price later on when the 'dust' settles.
Sometimes we need to find out the truth out of curiosity.
I have googled lens two photos by one author title: 'PLANTATIONS INTO SOLAR PANEL FARMS DUE TO ESG CONCERN IS SURE MADNESS' on palm oil plantation vs Solar Farm, the truth are as follows:
Not possible for Cpo to tumble below RM 2000 in the near future with what is going around in the world today. No doubt there is a possibility of China planting Oil Palm planting large scale with plants modified to temperate climate to reduce their import of CPO. However there is a long gestation period before it matures. Strike while iron is hot, will still go to the least popular CPO shares like SHChan and IOI Corp which has not really moved up, but in fact is at a low price level. Sooner or later, these shares will move up.
Thank you investor77. You have added more idea to those that have little knowledge about plantations and write like experts in palm oil and why gloves is incomparable with oil palm. Nevertheless, this c li blog has successfully attracted some crowd since yesterday.
We should not invest in any plantation company base on their latest EPS.
We should check their past EPS record at various CPO prices then, use spreadsheet to predict their EPS if the CPO prices going down to, say 10 years average.
For your information, SWKPLNT should be making EPS 21 sen a year if the CPO going down to the 10 years average, or PE would be only 13 times.
DickyMe miss the plantation rally cause he is trying to time the market. CPO at RM4,000 he did not buy any plantation counter cause he thought CPO near all time high and going to drop to RM1000 soon. When CPO at RM5000 he did not buy any plantation counter he thought CPO at all time high going to drop to RM1000 soon. Right now CPO at RM6000 he dare not even touch plantation counter or FIFO cause in his mind CPO is going to drop to RM1000 very soon.
Plantation stocks are not in my portfolio and I don't like them. This post is to remind fools of the insane vertical rise and unexpected rejection. From the chart, it is evident that those who bought above RM8000 are already bleeding.
U know dickyme... There was this guy keyman188.. He was making fun of me when i said 5k n 6k coming.. It was 4k then.. Now i say 9k n 10k coming.. So lets see who make fun? Lol
The only sector that I would invest heavily in Bursa Malaysia for long term is plantation. And may be a little bit in property (township) developer, as I see inflation and ringgit depreciation. For banks, we should invest in those countries that the currency is stronger, e.g. Singapore.
This is normal reaction by people with interest. When there is something negative about their interest, they deploy their arsenal to counter the situation for their benefit. However, it would not last long.
if i so confident the FCPO will drop til 1000....i will quietly short FCPO or buy any put warrants and earn 99 quietly rather than write something to warn investors outside and curse them if no believe him..
The way I see it, Sslee is a knowledgeable old timer; Johnzhan is knowledgeable and with experience in oil palm plantations. Their opinions are more trustable than those suddenly came from nowhere and simply shout CPO crash.
How can CPO crash ? Unless Soya oil and canola oil crash ! CPO is trading at > USD200 discount to soya oil now . It is the cheapest option for all the developing and underdeveloped countries amid shortage of sunflower oil . The surge of export volume in March resulting 3% drop in end March inventory level is a very positive sign .
Average CPO price for Q1 2022 was about $6,000. CPO spot price yesterday $6,700. End March CPO inventory at 12- month low is merely about 1 month export volume. Ukraine war prolonged disrupting substantial supply of sunflower oil . EU may even increase the usage of biofuels amid Russian oil sanction pressure. Tell us how the price is crashing soon ?
Most mid cap and small cap plantations sell their production on spot month basis and their realized selling price is very close to spot prices ! This can be easily verified from the realized CPO price in the qtrly reporting. What basis you say spot price is irrational benchmark?
The chart tell you almost nothing fundamentally. The chart doesn’t explain to you all the climactic, social and political factors that has great bearing to the short term, mid term and long term prospect of CPO.
If you lack technical expertise, just say so and don't beat around the bush. What basis?? Read my comment again to find the answer. If you lack understanding of English, ask i3lurker or SsLee to coach you.
FCPO now : May $6,495 (+$102) Jun. $6,129 (+$124) Spot month $$6,800 And we are in upswing production month now. What crashing soon? Only Dickhead , the ‘chart expert’ think so.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Sslee
6,830 posts
Posted by Sslee > 2022-04-10 12:06 | Report Abuse
bought SOP @ 3.65 in OCt 6 2021, take dividend 4 cents and sell 16 FEB 2022 @ 4.68
bought INNO @1.275 average, collect dividend of 0.06 and sold on 3rd Feb 2022 at 1.39
Last friday SOP: RM 5.71
INN RM 1.84.
And as such, everyone in the industry knows that there is no way for prices to hold at 8k, 9k or even 10k per tonne?
Ans: Palm oil not even touch 8K and who in their right mind will suggest palm oil to hold at 8k, 9k or even 10k.
I am suggesting palm oil fair price should be RM 4000/MT which will still enable plantations and small holders to make a decent profit.