Gas Malaysia & Malakoff with recurring stable earnings, market is giving PE 15, with payout ratio of 53% and approximately 3.5% yield
Conservatively assuming the port earnings sustains to provide eps 3 cents every qtr, at PE 15 you will have MMC CORP TP at 1.80, and with payout of 53% you will have dividend yield of 3.5%.
Considering that Port earnings is recurring and that it has annual growth rate of 9% and that as explained by the theEdge weekly last week that it will not be able to list / float its port business, market has all the reasons to treat MMC CORP equivalent to its utility businesses...
as long as the price remains stable at this level is good enough cos we all will be entitled to its dividend...exdate 02Jun...3.5cts. Double happiness...
don't forget to share some love with SURIA 6521 as well, this stock has very similar fundamental as MMC, similar NTA, same port business (same potential business growth and covid resilient), same 5 cent dividend, expecting similar EPS for this quarter as well. Good thing is the price is yet to move and quite far behind as of now. I just bought some at RM1.03 after locking some profit from MMC (which I all in previously waiting for QR that I had too high expectation)
@probability to be honest I am not that deep into understand TEU handling capacity, but looking at it's past years QR records, which are almost double the EPS of MMC at that time, I have reason to believe SURIA has the potential to back to average of recurring 4 EPS per QR. as Sabah's main port business, I believe it will have some share in the current positive growth of port business.
This year SURIA has the worst EPS if compared to previous years, therefore the price is still very low as of now (RM0.825 during the lowest at march 2020 due to covid fear that time that), while at the same time, MMC lowest is RM0.45. Which mean MMC has recovered quite a lot while SURIA is still being low due to the slower EPS recovery
while MMC has 3045m share vs SURIA has 345m share 3045/345 = 8.8x 3% capacity, 26.4%. So this translate into MMC has almost 4x max handling capacity vs SURIA (per share). Please correct me if I am wrong
@Inv3st0r69 I don't think it is retailers' punya problem, operator yg x mahu kasih untung retailers cepat2. investors need to have patience, time and strong holding power kalau mahu untung from this elephant counter
We gathered that while its construction order-book is currently at c.RM4.9b (90% from MRT Line 2, expected to be completed by 2022), management is actively bidding for new projects in order to meet its targeted order-book replenishment of c.RM500m p.a.
@johnzhang I don't think Malaysian market is dead, people are just because extra cautious at this time, it is good enough that the price is moving at correct direction now, need some patience. Result is good but not to the point of limit up (like choobee yesterday). Was expecting such movement today with this 4 EPS result, hopefully I am also correct that the uptrend will stay for slow and steady for longer period of time to reach fair value
Frankly, to me, if you can find a better counter then just switch, this counter is really testing patience...no patience, better leave...everyone knows its fundamental is good but if operator is zzz then it just wont go up much...every counter needs operator to push, if just few people talking here and there, wont help much. no doubt, this counter sure will up to its intrinsic value 1 day but may need another year or years according to current speed. I have been holding it since last year, with RM179 millions of profit, it is superb! but price up to 1.2 sth then dropped to 90 over cents, now with another profit of RM125 millions, it still below RM1.2. Some people said low PE means good for investment but if you look around some fundamental counters in the market, many are just flat even with consistent nice profits. for example, serbadk, hengyuan, MNRB....just my personal view based on the price action of MMC, can be right or wrong as market is always unpredictable. So, before buying this counter, ask yourself whether you are a short or long term players.
MMC ports control essentially the entire Straits of Malacca/Singapore, which is arguably the most important waterway in the world - Asia-Europe. When it IPO's, do you know how much the Chinese will be willing to pay for such a strategic asset, the multiples that they will pay. MMC Deep Value will finally be unlocked in 2021
Actually every counter need patience if you want to earn money, unless u got lucky with timing, just enter and it goes up. imo investors need to be versatile in short / long term investment. Hoping for the most short term profit, but has the ability to hold for long if that is what needed. Most important is just to choose the safest counter, that is the best fundamental, most undervalued, which will have the minimal downside risk
Ya hit 1.14 to 1.17 many times, better wait till it breaks strong resistance or drop to rm1 area again, operator is controlling the price between 1.0 and 1.2...frankly if they managed to earn the gap of 20 cents with huge volume also not bad
@bobochacha if you believe it will hit 1.20 (thinking that it is currently undervalued), why don't enter now? if not (means you have doubt that it is currently undervalued), why chase at higher price when it hits 1.20? I really don't understand TA trader's logic really most of the time.
No matter how operator try to manipulate the price, they are just screwing up with TA traders, they can see you (know where you queue at), but you can't see them. Why don't just invest by trusting that a share will reach it fair value imminently, whether short or long term, rather than playing never ending mind game with the operator
@Superb99 have you ever think that if all of us, the retailers believe with strong faith that the price is currently undervalued and should be valued at least 1.20 above, then no retailers will be selling back to them at lower price below 1.20 when they try to push down the price, then they will not be able to recollect at lower price and lose the game.
but this is only happen in the perfect world, which will never happen in reality because of fear and lack of faith, mostly by TA traders whose decision affected so much by trends, in which they will sell at lower price when the price being pushed down and allow operator to reenter at lower price, and repeat the operation between 1.0 and 1.2, as you suggested
SincereStock, this is just my guess as same thing happened again on both 4/5 and 25/5, highest 1.19 then closed at 1.16...hope this was just a coincidence. Frankly, I left not much so will keep the balance and see how far it can go.
@superb99 what I see similar thing (trend) happening is on 1/3 and 25/5, both the next day of a good result just released (also refer to trend of previous days of both day as a whole, "M" trend then fly), but that is just me being very positive, history may not repeat itself at all, we dont know what operator thinking, and what is their current position. and repeat again what I said before, most important is have strong believe in that the price is still very undervalue at this point
collection mmc use charts goreng short term money,so pro wow.i guarantee u lose % more than win,win also can small small money only.dun known collection mmc,go to another place play charts goreng more nice and win % high la.say so many time also have so many give me reply my same talking de......i always go out talk is hope u can win money,charts is see share play de,not for all share same de....
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
information
322 posts
Posted by information > 2021-05-24 23:21 | Report Abuse
Gas Malaysia & Malakoff with recurring stable earnings, market is giving PE 15, with payout ratio of 53% and approximately 3.5% yield
Conservatively assuming the port earnings sustains to provide eps 3 cents every qtr, at PE 15 you will have MMC CORP TP at 1.80, and with payout of 53% you will have dividend yield of 3.5%.
Considering that Port earnings is recurring and that it has annual growth rate of 9% and that as explained by the theEdge weekly last week that it will not be able to list / float its port business, market has all the reasons to treat MMC CORP equivalent to its utility businesses...
In all consideration TP 1.80 would be valid