If I hadn't averaged down @ 60c two yrs ago, I would STILL be in paper losses. Thank goodness I did average down, got a chunk of dividends & took the first opportunity to cash out a week after the price went into the black @ $1.50!🤗 Now waiting for paper gain from a much lower level!
Palm oil export increased after Anwar visited India! FCPO report: Malaysian palm oil futures climbed around 1.5% to above MYR 3,920 per tonne, up for the fourth session to notch an over 3-week peak amid strength in Dalian's palm oil contract. Meanwhile, crude oil prices rose for the third session, on mounting fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East. Bets of robust demand from top buyer India continued to buoy sentiment, as the nation braced for a festive season between Sept. and Nov. In the world's largest exporter Indonesia, President-elect Prabowo Subianto hoped to launch mandatory 50% palm oil-based biodiesel blending next year. Meanwhile, Indonesian officials said they plan to raise the blending to 40% in January 2025, from the current 35%. A test for B50 is being carried out. Capping the upside momentum were lower exports in August, marked by fresh data from cargo surveyors. Shipments of Malaysian palm oil products for Aug. 1-25 fell between 14.05% to 14.9% from the same period in July, Intertek Testing Services and AmSpec Agri said.
The Lowest PE counter in Plantation sector, only 5.79, Cash Rich now, EPS is 19.00, Really Speechless. Inno EPS 13, PE11.27, UMCCA EPS 24.15, PE 21.32, HSPlant EPS19, PE11.15, TSH EPS 6.924, PE 16.6, JPG EPS 7.9, PE 12.16.
The tangible numbers are near impeccable but the trust issues are still not dispelled. Will take time and visible efforts by management to bring back serious investors.
FCPO report-Malaysian palm oil futures surged over 1% to above MYR 3,970 per tonne, increasing for the fifth session, its longest rally in six weeks, amid a weaker ringgit and strength in rival oils on the Dalian and CBoT markets. Prices hit a one-month peak, boosted by top exporter Indonesia's plan to raise its biodiesel blending rates as President-elect Prabowo Subianto hoped to launch a mandatory rate of 50% next year. Meantime, the Southern Peninsular Palm Oil Millers Association said output fell around 0.9% during the first 25 days of August. Separately, concerns about adverse weather grew after Malaysia forecasted thunderstorms from Aug. 26 to Sep. 1 in nine of its 16 states. However, weak exports limited the bullish impulse, as cargo surveyors' data noted shipments of Malaysian palm oil products for August. 1-25 sank between 14.05% to 14.9% from the same period in July. Meanwhile, crude oil prices eased after rising in the prior three sessions, due to worries over shaky demand from China.
Late in reporting Quarter result However usually Q4 results are good. Most Plantation shares results are out and they quote higher CPO price and increased FFB production during Q2 period of the year. Hope they will declare dividends since company is cash rich.
Jaya tiasa debt level is at RM 230m, and cash level is RM 270m. Nett off is net cash position.
It is better for Jaya tiasa to clear all debt instead of keep borrowing at interest expense is -RM 14m while interest income from cash holding only RM 6.7m. These is because interest rate cost from debt is higher than cash interest rate.
Management may think to keep cash for more flexibility if need to acquire new assets, but at least jaya tiasa opt to pay half debt from its cash to save net interest cost.
Jtiasa QR will be good, but it may dragged down a bit by loss in logging business like Taann, expect EPS 5sen, Dividend 3 sen FCPO Report: Malaysian palm oil futures surged over 1% to near MYR 4,000 per tonne, rising for the second day while heading for robust weekly gains amid a weaker ringgit and strength in rival oil prices on the Dalian and the CBoT markets. Meanwhile, concerns about adverse weather and low output mounted after Malaysia forecasted thunderstorms from Aug. 30 to Sep. 5. The contracts are set to end August on a strong note, jumping around 2% after losses in the prior two periods, as top grower Indonesia plans to launch a mandatory 50% palm oil-based biodiesel blending next year following the deforestation rules by the EU. Simultaneously, crude oil prices edged higher due to tight global supply. Capping the bullish notion was caution as key importer India was considering an increase in import tax on vegetable oils, that could reduce demand for palm oil. Meanwhile, China will report official PMI figures for August Saturday, with markets expecting the manufacturing sector to shrink for the fourth month.
The effective tax rate for the Group is higher than the statutory tax rate of 24%. This is mainly due to certain expenses not allowable for tax deduction.
The Group expects the average crude palm oil price to be supported and positively influenced by the stable soybean oil prices and anticipated increase in demand of CPO due to higher biodiesel blending mandate in Indonesia
With CPO stand above RM 4000 and production volume increase more than 30%, next Q result certainly will deliver higher EPS and enjoy dividend yield around 6%
Last year 4Q there is a tax refund make it PBT40331 turn to nett profit of 60161? This year 4Q is a reverse play of last year? More tax deduction make the profit lower from PBT 31065 to nett profit of 15617. Therefore, we should look at PBT to compare?
Look like the cost of sales is high. Most likely they applied more fertilizer during 1st half of the year. 2nd half will be peak FFB production period and if CPO can hold above RM 3,900 if will be another good year for Jayatiasa.
Net cash flows from operating activities RM 360,029,000 And with Capital Commitments The amount of commitments for the purchase of property, plant and equipment not provided for in the quarterly report is as follows: As at As at 30 June 2024 30 June 2023 RM’000 RM’000 Approved and contracted for 8,917 10,925
Can expect more dividend for coming year
12 months ended 12 months ended 30/06/2024 30/06/2023 RM'000 RM'000 Cash Flows from Operating Activities Profit before taxation 206,593 166,797 Adjustments for: Impairment of receivables - 112 Depreciation and amortisation 137,706 134,717 Fair value changes in biological assets 0 27,967 10,443 Gain on early termination of leased assets - (41) Impairment on property, plant and equipment 2,389 2,190 2,389 Interest expenses 17,932 24,503 Interest income (9,035) (4,835) Net loss/(from) on disposal of property, plant and equipment 10,030 (1,352) Net unrealised foreign exchange gain (25) (185) Property, plant and equipment written off 2,556 2,494 Provision for obsolete inventories 864 Operating cash flows before working capital changes 395,914 335,906 Net change in current assets (9,168) 23,479 Net change in current liabilities 5,095 (21,584) Cash flows from operations 391,841 337,801 Interest received 9,035 4,835 Interest paid (17,932) (24,503) Income taxes paid, net of refund (22,915) (20,945) Net cash flows from operating activities 360,029 297,188
The key is strong free cash flow and upcoming big increase in CPO production volume + higher CPO selling price. Dividend is additional bonus for your time to stay invested
If u read closely, paid down debt total 150m+ for FY24, 1 off 50m subsidiary, 40m dividends and taxation of ard 50m extra vs 2023, the FCF for FY24 is almost 300m plus, dividend payout ratio went from 20 to 40%, without all these 1 off expenses, dividends cud easily double, i expect FY25 to be great as management shown to be managing cost well as margins are maintaning
Haha Palm oil trees 20 years age is considered old trees … need Replanting latest by 25 years age .
TSH : average Trees age 13.4 years … Jtiasa : average Trees age 14.0 years …
👉 see Public Invest Research on TSH article:
👉Jtiasa :
All our palm trees have matured. Out of the Group's total planted area of 69,589 hectares, about 3% of the palms are more than 18 years of age. The average age of palms is 14 years, which is within the prime production bracket.
👉TSH :
PublicInvest ceases coverage on TSH Resource due to slow growth, sluggish FFB yield By Faiqah Kamaruddin May 21, 2024 @ 11:02am
KUALA LUMPUR: Public Investment Bank (PublicInvest) is ceasing its coverage of TSH Resources Bhd due to the company's limited growth prospects and sluggish fresh-fruit bunches (FFB) yield. The firm said it is reallocating its internal sources to other sectors.
Investors should no longer depend on any of our financial forecasts for TSH Resources in making investment decisions, nor infer any adverse opinion as a result of our decision to cease research coverage," said PublicInvest.
In a research note today, PublicInvest said FFB production growth is anticipated to be subdued this year due to the sale of plantation assets in Indonesia and Sabah (13,214 hectares) over the past two years.
"Additionally, the average age of the plantations is increasing (currently 13.4 years old), and FFB yield remains low due to insufficient replanting activities in recent years," PublicInvest said.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
dompeilee
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Posted by dompeilee > 2024-08-25 07:59 | Report Abuse
If I hadn't averaged down @ 60c two yrs ago, I would STILL be in paper losses. Thank goodness I did average down, got a chunk of dividends & took the first opportunity to cash out a week after the price went into the black @ $1.50!🤗 Now waiting for paper gain from a much lower level!