thank you, NTPM... Waiting for my dividend payment on 23/10/2017.....as long they keep paying me reasonable dividend every years, i shall add some more...NTPM pasti boleh!!!!.......
This family biz will strike better in tissue market. For hygiene, susah sikit. Because too many player. I think this group will focus more on their core biz which is tissue
in this tech world... to find a biz tat withstand with time is difficult... besides food.... toilet paper n tissue paper n diapers r biz tat would be the same in the future... i'll do bet on ntpm.... hopefully mr lee wont let all of us down....
LOL...syndicate try to influence desperados to enter NTPM this morning by conjuring GREEN...the colour of envy...now those who chase from 55.5c to 58c all sangkut already :)
Fair value for NPTM is around P/E 10x. Note that its PATMI growth for the past 10 years is only 0.8% CAGR. Expected forward EPS is around 3.5cents. That translate to a fair value of 0.35. >> STRONG SELL <<.
shpg, it's only historical figure. if you look at ntpm expansion in vietnam, which will be bearing more fruits after mid of this year. strong ringgit benefits them as well. let's see if they can take this advantage. when u shit, u need tissue.. during bad times u cry u also need tissue. good times u happy u also need tissue.
Few good counters that are consider good fundamental and growth/dividend watchlist. Can collect if there is a correction 1. Ecs - dividend yield still stands at 5% at current price. With iot and strenthening of ringgit(to monitor) will benefit them. Recently venture into thunderbolt gaming notebook to capture egames market. Possible 15-20% upside if conservative pe of 10 is captured. 2. Bonia (hot)- consumer stock may make a come back after the abolishment of gst as well as if ringgit were to strengthen or hover around 3.8-4.0. at current price of 40 cents , there are limited downside. Trading at 30% below it's nta as well. 3. Ntpm (hot) - at current price their dividend seats at 3%. What's interesting is the recent increase in their sales to all time high of 181 million per quarter. They are having high margin due to huge capex expansion into vietnam production. the management mentioned in the 2017 annual report that the current utilisation capacity is at 80%. With 80% they manage to hit historical high revenue. Additional two tissue machine paper has been added into production in Vietnam which is expected to commence operation in april 2018. Current ratio of above 1 as well.. no short term debt obligations. Seems positive moving forward. Potential upside of 20/30% of pe 10 is used with margin of 4/5%. Downside risk is increase in pulp price. 4. Yocb (neutral) - safe bet but limited growth. Providing a 4% dividend at current price. Pe of 7 and recent increase in sales due to consignment sales. Net cash company with nta of 1.26. nothing to loss. Safe bet company. 5. Zhulian (neutral) - net cash and safe bet company with dividend of 4.1% at current price. Strongly net cash company with cash of 140 million compare to total debt of 39 million. Net cash per share is 21 cents. No harm keeping one of this in our portfolio to withstand any downturn. With the abolishment of gst, it may benefit this stock as well to increase the consumer demand. Upside possibly less (10%) due to volatile sales and earnings. Strenthening of ringgit may hurt their margin due to 70% of sales from export. What is great about this company is good management. Increasing dividend payout when making money, holding high cash pile, positive operating cash flow despite expansion, good inventory level as well as maintaining above 20% profit margin. 6. Bat (neutral) - still paying 6/7% dividend at current price. Downside risk is more smokers buying illegal cigarate. The management did mention that they are unhappy with what the market is valuing their share price given their past performance. With the abolishment of gst, this may help to boost their sales and margin as well. Can catch it if it drops (19/20). Upside > downside risk. Only buy if upside is greater than downside. Don't buy all time high at current market. 7. Pwf (neutral) - trading way below nta of 1.76. net cash company. With strenthening of ringgit it will benefit them. Recent sales manage to maintain at 91 million per quarter. Scenario analysis performed if myr and USD maintain at 3.8/3.9, price of egg maintain and ra material such as corn, feed and wheat were to maintain, potential upside of 20/30% at current price of 86 cents. Downside is increase in their main raw material price.
There are still quite a number of good fundamental company to monitor when price deep. Go ahead and monitor and take this opportunity. Don't chase high but buy consolidation stock or stock that took a correction that hit historical low. To limit the downside risk.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Vin Chuah
843 posts
Posted by Vin Chuah > 2017-08-10 12:16 | Report Abuse
really damn worst lately