GUAN CHONG BHD

KLSE (MYR): GCB (5102)

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Last Price

3.03

Today's Change

+0.22 (7.83%)

Day's Change

2.80 - 3.08

Trading Volume

2,816,600


13 people like this.

4,266 comment(s). Last comment by ScotFree 3 weeks ago

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-11-08 09:22 | Report Abuse

@Tangtanggood.
Now waiting for QR
if QR not good, then die lor, stock tumble..
if QR maintain or good, then most probably will hold at current price..
imho..

Brutus

314 posts

Posted by Brutus > 2022-11-08 14:22 | Report Abuse

Was very surprised that the WB conversion took only 3 market days to be credited to my account. On the memo it stated 8-10 market days.

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-11-09 14:15 | Report Abuse

@Brutus
mind sharing the purpose of your warrant conversion?
is it for the purpose of profit taking?

Posted by kingoftradings > 2022-11-09 14:56 | Report Abuse

warant oredi expired.... when qr good, will fly to the moon

Brutus

314 posts

Posted by Brutus > 2022-11-09 17:31 | Report Abuse

@Nepo, the purpose of the warrant conversion is to convert the warrant into mother share @ RM 1.65/share.

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-11-10 11:39 | Report Abuse

die, no more bullets already..
now lying flat & waiting to be slaughtered..

firehawk

4,783 posts

Posted by firehawk > 2022-11-16 15:39 | Report Abuse

Going to announce good Q result?

Brutus

314 posts

Posted by Brutus > 2022-11-16 16:43 | Report Abuse

Most likely as they will benefit from weak RM-USD exchange. Their 6MFY22 already achieved 63% of FY21 profits. Hoping they will declare another dividend in the Q3 QR.

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-11-22 13:29 | Report Abuse

B1. Review of performance
The Group’s revenue of RM1,100.5 million for the current quarter ended 30 September 2022 is higher than the
revenue in the previous corresponding quarter ended 30 September 2021 of RM998.1 million. The increase of
10.3% in turnover is mainly due to improved selling price of cocoa solids and higher sales volume of cocoa butter.
B2. Comment on material change in profit before tax
The Group made a profit before tax for the quarter 30 September 2022 of RM37.5 million as compared with the
profit before tax of RM41.7 million in the preceding year corresponding quarter ended 30 September 2021. This is
mainly due to mark to market currency loss as a result of weakening of MYR against USD and higher finance cost
due to higher interest rate during current quarter ended 30 September 2022. The reduction in profit is also partially
contributed by higher energy cost in Germany.
B3. Commentary of prospects
Energy cost in Q4 2022 is currently on a declining trend in the Western countries, especially in Germany. Besides
that, global freight rates have also lowered down and are close to normalizing. Chocolate consumption still
remains positive despite current high inflationary environment and chocolate demand is expected to maintain
stable growth.
We remain optimistic of our prospect as on top of the above indications, we continued to book in increasing
forward sales of cocoa ingredients for next year. In addition, our Ivory Coast factory has started commissioning
and is expected to run smoothly next year, anticipating additional contribution to our profit in FY2023.
With the higher interest rate, we will carefully look into our financing structure for investment and monitor our
inventory level closely, while working on mitigating the risk of currency exposure. The Group will remain its focus
on the core ingredient processing as well as expansion of the market of better margin industrial chocolate and the
optimization of production according to market conditions

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-11-22 13:30 | Report Abuse

Latest QR result look ok and acceptable

Posted by Tangtanggood > 2022-11-22 13:44 | Report Abuse

yup waiting for Ivory branches next year

Calvin882

1,562 posts

Posted by Calvin882 > 2022-11-22 15:36 | Report Abuse

Forex loss could be more in the current qtr. Increasing USD to MYR badly impacted its finance. Its borrowings may be a burden due to increasing interest rates as well.

Calvin882

1,562 posts

Posted by Calvin882 > 2022-11-22 15:38 | Report Abuse

Management may have no choice but to raise the price of its products to counter these factors.

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-11-24 05:38 | Report Abuse

Guan Chong remains optimistic as it continues to book in increasing forward sales of its cocoa ingredients for the financial year ending December 31, 2023.

This was an indication of the continued resilient demand for cocoa ingredients, supported by recovery in global air travel and tourism, it said.

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-11-26 19:20 | Report Abuse

https://www.enanyang.my/node/513100

No worry, latest Germany GDP still ok

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-11-26 22:56 | Report Abuse

Buy in

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2022-12-16 21:40 | Report Abuse

Top up @ RM 2.45

Posted by Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥ > 2023-01-02 19:51 | Report Abuse

>>>>
Posted by Fabien _the efficient capital allocator > 1 hour ago | Report Abuse

Enjoy the interview
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9PC6oZYRKss&t=629s

>>>>

Thanks for this video.
Guan Chong is not an easy business to run. From the video you can see how the first generations were affected. Today, it has grown big; yet not without its challenges. Look at the amount of debt it has to use to grow this business. The biggest is to hedge the cocoa inventories. Guan Chong has grown its market share as during the 2008 crisis, many European companies in similar business have given or scaled down.

In the video, Brandon Tay mentioned a particular company a few times. I think this company mentioned by Brandon Tay is definitely in a business with very strong economic moat; and probably will turn out to be a better business to invest into for the long term.

A company with poor economics, managed by the best manager, in the end, the company turns out the winner. Also it is better to own a great company at fair price than to own a fair company at great price.

Guan Chong may offer short term trading opportunities at times, but I think I will not be a long term investor in this business (just like many members of his very big family).

Just my opinion.


KEY STOCK DATA
P/E Ratio (TTM)
14.59(12/30/22)
EPS (TTM)
RM0.16
Market Cap
RM2.82 B
Shares Outstanding
1.17 B
Public Float
397.05 M
Yield
2.29%(12/30/22)

Posted by Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥ > 2023-01-02 20:04 | Report Abuse

Historical data 2011

Current Price (7/1/2011): 2.49
2009 Sales 642,649,516
Employees: 180
Market Cap: 597,600,000
Shares Outstanding: 240,000,000
Closely Held Shares: 167,840,000


Market cap of Guan Chong was RM 597,6 million in 2011.
Today its market cap is RM2.82 B.

Average Growth Rates Guan Chong Bhd
Past Five Years
Ending 12/31/2021 (Fiscal Year)
Revenue
+16.53%
Net Income
+14.01%
Earnings Per Share
+9.76%
Capital Spending
+50.60%
Gross Margin
+11.45%
Cash Flow
+22.68%

Posted by Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥ > 2023-01-02 20:06 | Report Abuse

Historical data

23.11.2011

Price RM 2.510
PE 6.47x
DY 3.05%
Market cap 802.6m
ROE 53%

firehawk

4,783 posts

Posted by firehawk > 2023-01-06 16:57 | Report Abuse

From the buying queue, can be seen that, the price is effectively controlled .....

firehawk

4,783 posts

Posted by firehawk > 2023-02-28 21:10 | Report Abuse

B2. Comment on material change in profit before tax
The Group made a profit before tax for the quarter 31 December 2022 of RM30.6 million as compared with the profit before tax of RM70.2 million in the preceding year corresponding quarter ended 31 December 2021. This is mainly due to reduced margin and higher finance cost due to higher interest rate during current quarter ended 31
December 2022.

firehawk

4,783 posts

Posted by firehawk > 2023-02-28 21:19 | Report Abuse

Profit from operation drops to 50.06m from 78,85m.
Financial cost rises to (19.60m) from (8.73m)
Tax expense reduced to (10,30m) from (20,13m)

firehawk

4,783 posts

Posted by firehawk > 2023-02-28 22:00 | Report Abuse

2022;
EPS | P/E |
12.68 Cent | 18.93 |

Posted by investortrader88 > 2023-03-02 09:51 | Report Abuse

Top up done at RM2.19.good luck guys.

goody99

1,814 posts

Posted by goody99 > 2023-03-03 14:04 | Report Abuse

At current price of 2.37, I would rather sell now and buy back later.

Posted by Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥ > 2023-03-30 17:16 | Report Abuse

Security LastPr PE DY% Divcts ROE ttm-marg
GCB (Food) 2.42 19.09 1.7 4 8.43 3.4

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2023-06-05 11:53 | Report Abuse

Ooops, get slaughtered..
Sb pls help, help, help....

hhhiii123

824 posts

Posted by hhhiii123 > 2023-07-01 08:45 | Report Abuse

Cocoa price just break resistant, only sky is the limit!!

jamestecs

192 posts

Posted by jamestecs > 2023-07-11 13:26 | Report Abuse

Good to keep, not good to race.

firehawk

4,783 posts

Posted by firehawk > 2023-07-11 16:16 | Report Abuse

Malaysian cocoa price:
https://www.koko.gov.my/lkm/loader.cfm?page=19

can't remember exactly, like milo is one of the major customers of GCB

hhhiii123

824 posts

Posted by hhhiii123 > 2023-07-11 16:33 | Report Abuse

You can check on global price, it is on bull trend, and gcb in doing monopoly biz, kind of weird the price drop so much, q3 result very bad?

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/cocoa

firehawk

4,783 posts

Posted by firehawk > 2023-07-11 21:06 | Report Abuse

70% of the sale of GCB is in local area (Malaysia, S'porem Indon) while the other 30% is in Germany /others. Local price is much lower (~30%) than the international price.

hhhiii123

824 posts

Posted by hhhiii123 > 2023-07-12 14:12 | Report Abuse

Margin im SG sure more profitable ,giving the strong SGD, I hope so?

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2023-07-24 19:57 | Report Abuse

Topped up some today @2.16

cbkia4896

936 posts

Posted by cbkia4896 > 2023-08-04 11:21 | Report Abuse

Come see who got balls for dip buying. HERE WE GOOOOO

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2023-08-04 15:52 | Report Abuse

so you bought already?
pls tell me you entry price

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2023-08-04 16:04 | Report Abuse

The currency exposure profile of borrowings is as follows:
Group Company
2022
RM
2021
RM
2022
RM
2021
RM
United States Dollar 461,690,105 548,455,935 - -
Ringgit Malaysia 301,370,337 301,781,767 300,000,000 300,000,000
British Pound 227,053,801 350,590,916 - -
Euro 170,640,133 91,460,950 - -
1,160,754,376 1,292,289,568 300,000,000 300,000,000

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2023-08-04 16:05 | Report Abuse

Today lausai most probably because British increase interest rate..

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2023-08-17 21:10 | Report Abuse

FY23 to be a breakout year. The Ivory Coast plant is expected to reach near-full utilisation by end 1Q23, and could potentially generate MYR50- 90m profit pa at an optimal production level, with a 5-year tax free status. Meanwhile, the declining trend of energy costs and higher ASPs are expected to swing Schokinag’s operations back into the black (following a minor loss in FY22). In the UK, an annual capacity of 16k tonnes of industrial chocolate will be commissioned by mid-2023 and start contributing in 2H23.

hhhiii123

824 posts

Posted by hhhiii123 > 2023-08-17 21:22 | Report Abuse

hope the same too, the price movement quite pain to me lol

Posted by Harimaugajah > 2023-08-19 13:48 | Report Abuse

https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/chocolate-makers-prospects-sour-cocoa-prices-spike-2023-08-18/
More pain to come for GCB, price movements trends lower low, no good at all. Will it test the 2020 low?

Nepo

3,432 posts

Nepo

3,432 posts

Posted by Nepo > 2023-09-03 22:02 | Report Abuse

Still optimistic. With 70k metric tonne from the Ivory Coast plant (5-year tax free status) expected in 2H and a full-year contribution in FY24F, we remain optimistic on GUAN’s prospects. The Schokinag operations should continue to show strong performance from lower input costs and higher ASPs. The 16k tonne annual capacity of industrial chocolate plant in United Kingdom is also expected to start production in 2H23 as part of GUAN’s strategy to diversify into the higher-margin industrial chocolate marke

hhhiii123

824 posts

Posted by hhhiii123 > 2023-09-03 22:06 | Report Abuse

already miss dividend twice, hope the price wont go down further lol

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