Triplc and worldwide not yet sign SPA which require 10% depsoit, worldwide only paid earnest deposit of 2 %. Refundable if condition precedent not fulfil.
High gearing is due to loan secure to develop MARA college under 24 year concession. Triplc in turn get monthly fees from MARA to repay loan over the entire concession period.
it's quite impossible for the company to turn into losses. recognising the interest on receivables alone would be enough to sustain them. unless they go ahead with the new contract and incur high startup costs while revenue yet to be recognised. corporate governance wise it's as shit as it can be, but biz model wise it's as solid as you can hope for
I think it would be best if Puncak buy the biz and the land together and pay a fair price for it (scenario 2). This way it will realise its deep value asset in a short timeframe
someone ask why I think the biz model is solid. well, they have completed the phase 2 contract so now their main biz is goyang kaki, wait till time come to collect payment from uitm, pay a portion to their bondholder and keep the rest. the risk is uitm aka government default in payment
well if both parties signed a HOA and negotiating is considered speculation, then I don't know what is the Kelantan water concession, figment of imagination built in the sky? is negotiating deals among two companies you own more difficult, or getting umno and pas to officially work together more difficult?
new substantial shareholders after existing shareholders sold to them. selling shareholders are not the major shareholders and are not involved in the operations as well so should be ok
base case I'm assuming Triplc will sell the concession and construction biz to Puncak at around RM145-180m or about RM2.08-2.58 per share. then they might distribute some as special dividend and retain the rest for property development. but these are just my assumptions based on the info available
price has been trading sideways since it steadies after the land disposal was cancelled. breakup or breakdown after this will depends on the outcome of the HOA by 17 Nov
if touch wood, Puncak doesn't acquire the biz, price will fall as short term investors will exit. however long term the company is very solid, recommended for those who are in for long term investment but gestation period could be quite long
puncak buying plantation biz, 60% around RM270m. mostly unplanted land, those planted ones are mostly still immature so the biz is loss-making. earnings contribution will be minimal in near term so Puncak likely still have to look for other biz for income
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
skybird
26 posts
Posted by skybird > 2016-08-22 11:30 | Report Abuse
kena tipu