@ GP01, good points. I think this will be start of good discussion, thanks man
But to clear my doubt, by raising PP of 25mio shares (hope I'm right) @ RM0.50/share, this will only bring them only extra cash for RM12mio. Based on my experience, this is only a small sum, and Bankers are happy to serve them. And also I believe BPuri is having few credit line from Bankers minimum worth More than RM1b on their hands (normally it will be 10times over marketcap)
And without this Additional RM12m coming in, will BPuri suffer financial difficulties?
@ VenFx, sorry to say it, when u said that many sifu in this forum has express how bad is the situation for BPuri, I don't agree with this. From what I saw from all the comments, I don't really see strong points from either side. That's why I'm confuse.
HighRiskInvestor And also a questions to naysayers and Calvin,
I have RM50k free cash flow now, I want to invest in stocks which will bring me high return in 3 years (not for 10%-15% short term gain), why must I "invest in BPuri now" and why must I "not invest in BPuri now".
If I do invest into BPuri now, what will be my return in 3 years (either a positive or negative return)
I guess for most of the viewers, we are expecting this too, if for speculation, BPuri is not a good counter for short term gain.
No one is right or wrong on 3 years investment, please give ur view so that most of us can make our choice.
Highriskinvestor. The questions you are asking really tells me that u are a super newbie. This is unfortunate as your investing style will be very risky as shown from your id.
Chaces are u will lose some money. All of us who invests do lose some money at some point. The trick is to learn n keep on learning from your mistakes. Read books. Dun just follow ppl advicesvlike calvin.
I recommend u study icon8888 n kc chong ways of investings better.
Btw how much u make or lose in 3 years time is a very naive question. This is becoz we just dun know the future.
Furthermore it is so subjective n prone to so many variables.
Risks will always be there. The trick is to buy at a minimal risk then leave it there to just go up. It may go down, but if the company u buy is solid with projects n good cash flow or expanding n plenty assets why worry.
U must study n read. Investing is an art....its not fixed like a maths question. A + b = c....no such thing.
This is my best advice cheers.
Btw do u think bpuri is risky or good? Good u can buy, some others may not buy.risky? Others buy but i wont buy. You see its your choice...but try to make it the correct one. There is no right or wrong
@ GP01, actually I'm not a novice. But was actually looking at this counter since beginning of Jul when they are some corporate movement. To be precise even before Calvin is giving a buying call. My investment style is too look at high return.
Everyone can give their future view, no right or wrong. Just like when u want to invest in property, u are actually looking at future value.
I'm not expecting 100% Forecast Accuracy, but looking at reason why should I invest or not to invest at BPuri now. If I lose on my capital, I won't blame anyone who give the advice.
I'm just expecting more solid or high level advice on my move on BPuri.
Well highrisk, i wouldnt say bpuri will go bankrupt...they do have lots of projects so can roll over their cash flow from projects to keep the ball rolling. But the risk is there.
In general i think ppl can buy bpuri...but at a lower price to minimize your risk of losing. In general i think below 20c can consider. But u must understand u maybe stuck for a year at least to see bpuri recover (depends on management) n share price go up.
I am sure some anaylst will wrtie a report on bpuri soon...so u can check this out too. Cheers
Would like to focus on BPuri now. Was actually looking their corporate movement for few months. Suspecting that surprise will happen in next few months. BPuri is going to have controlling stake in Ideal Height (yes, IH is actually majority own by insider of BPuri), and like what Calvin has mentioned, PP and ESOS, are these insider actually trying to raise holding? Why? I don't think they are in financial trouble, few 10 Mio will not help them.
Still undecided whether to move in or not. I'm not looking at statistic, I'm thinking in commercial point of view.
I have some extra cash flow now, I'm looking beyond 50% return and not interested in property as is not to liquid. My investment style is not on short term. Putting money in bank will dilute my cash.
Before Calvin is shouting here, there were no discussion on BPuri, so I have very limited info hence can't do any decision. Since now many comments here now, I think you guys can share more advice.
investing really subjective topic wan wor...no right or wrong worrr
its really just ur choice if u think can get 50% profit. hard to say wor...
and this is exactly why not all makes money from the stock markets...even calvin chan says 100% but in reality? who knows? will he show u his bursa statements? hahahhaha
U are right, to make investing more fun, constructive view will make it more fun. Forget about that fella, let's focus on will u invest in this counter and why yes or no
@HighRiskInvestor my view is investing is taking care of downside before look for upside potential, but when you taking extra risk, make sure you are rewarded with very high returns for Bpuri, from their historical profit (2006 until now), there are not many quarters that fell into big losses although their profit margin is thinner and thinner, i think due to two reasons: 1) lesser profit attributable to shareholders due to more payout to minority shareholders 2) higher financing cost are these issue addressable? 1) they can up their stake in their holdings companies, like what KESM did 2) reduce their gearing, do PP, listing on Indonesia exchange for their power supply in indonesia, sell land, sell building etc
i will not overly worried about low profit margin by them as i think it is not smart when government is your client, you dont want to earn high profit margin from government, not to mention more under public scrutiny. But why still do business with goverment? you may get concessionaire, land, right to develop things in prime area, business opportutinities etc, but these rewards may not immediate and may only surface after many years.
of course the risk is huge too, high gearing, potential cost overrun. so the return required is very high. so if not for the potential court award of up to RM900+ mil i will wait and see too
just sharing. high return always associated with highest risk especially with government related companies.
@ Calvin, calm down. He is only highlighting possible surprise income when they lost their power plant in Indonesia. No one ignore that BPuri has power plant
U don't agree that share price is determine by perception? U have predicted a bleak future for BPuri, so u believe that current price level is too high.
But some other will see the strong future, so is consider cheap now.
Am I right?
BPuri has been in rock bottom price now even if it has increased since end of Aug. In corporate, most of the insider are cunning, they will hide some information to manage share prices. What I see now is insider want to make gain after few years of accumulating. As I believe there might be further surprise in coming month.
This is only my believe. Is like when MH had double tragedies, I bought in huge amount of MH stocks when stocks prices crashed to new low. It was a gain for me when they announced to take MH private. That for me was a surprise, thought they will continue with the float and restructure it and then share prices will climb over years.
If MH re-list again in market, I believe Khazanah will have huge gain. Every corporate will go thru corporate exercise and restructuring. I see now BPuri might be the one gem for 2017.
What I want to say is try to look into their corporate movement. I might be wrong, but for me BPuri might be a stocks which worth to take. I'm actually seeing the potential of 100% gain by Jun 2017 from the current price.
John Maynard Keynes called it the animal spirits during the Great Depression. And Alan Greenspan called it irrational exuberance.
The greed to chase hot bubble stocks and the fear that led to dumping of Value Stocks like Bpuri shows that people should sell into euphoria and. buy pessimism like now.
Calvin and Johor Buddies are happy to buy Bpuri on weakness today.
We don't time the market.
We just added a little more while price is still cheap.
The time to be cautious is when Bpuri crossed Rm1.00
highrisk, like i said before there is no right or wrong way. u think got chance, then by all means go ahead. no problem
me i am thinking the PE level is too high at 40. this means the market is still valuing bpuri at too high a price. but this is just my opinion.
the market may be right, i maybe wrong. haha who knows?
however no matter how good the future perception(like u say) bpuri is in the future...IT STILL HAS TO GENERATE PROFITS RIGHT?
u can correct me if u think i am wrong.
but i also believe there are many ways that the share price of a company moves. however, a major thing is still positive cashflow n profits. sooner or later it must be like that.
many assets but no +ve cashflow (no profits) how to service debt? ada logic ka?
thats why i am thinking the PE 40 is too high for me...if it drops to 20c cheaper pe then maybe i buy. lol
I have been accumulating since Aug, but it was on small quantities as not much seller available.
Now holding 50lots, but lost momentum as was focusing on FGV last month. Now back to BPuri again as I do believe in construction stocks are all price reasonable now.
As my ID shown, I'm a bit high risk. I can afford the price to drop till RM0.30 before thinking of cutting lost. But looking at the possible risk vs possible gain, I would said BPuri is like holding an ace with unknow card undercover. Might be blackjack or lousy card. But holding an ace is the critical point now.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
HighRiskInvestor
23 posts
Posted by HighRiskInvestor > 2016-10-13 11:25 | Report Abuse
@ GP01, good points. I think this will be start of good discussion, thanks man
But to clear my doubt, by raising PP of 25mio shares (hope I'm right) @ RM0.50/share, this will only bring them only extra cash for RM12mio. Based on my experience, this is only a small sum, and Bankers are happy to serve them. And also I believe BPuri is having few credit line from Bankers minimum worth More than RM1b on their hands (normally it will be 10times over marketcap)
And without this Additional RM12m coming in, will BPuri suffer financial difficulties?