Triplc will release its Q1 result end of these month, expect result to be very GOOD as progress billing from construction of new concession will be in more advance stage.
These will augur well for Puncak as acquirer all business triplc
Bear in mind, Puncak is acquirer and end beneficial for all profitable concession business Triplc. So, whatever triplc deliver profit will fully recorded in Puncak once acquisition deal completed.
kahhoeng Your plan to trade Puncak may not bring you much profit unless you have adequate skill and experience in trading and TA. A better choice would probably be holding Puncak until earnings from Triplc trickles in. The concessions from Triplc will definitely makes money. If Puncak cash out on Lands from Triplc, we will see better cash level.
chonghai, I will vote NO to TRIPLC deal for all shares that I am holding on Puncak whether the deal will go through or not. So long that I can generate positive return on my holdings, I will trade accordingly just to that my cost of investment will be recovered. Thereafter, I will never touch any company associated with Rozali.
PNHB announced that the SC had, via its letter dated 12 September 2017, approved the Company’s application for the proposed acquisition by PNHB of the entire issued and paid-up share capital in TRIplc from Pimpinan Ehsan Berhad for a cash consideration of RM210 million (“Proposed Acquisition”) under Section 214(1) of the Capital Markets and Services Act 2007 and under the equity requirements for public listed companies.
[Source: PNHB’s announcement on Bursa Malaysia’s website on 13 September 2017]
MSWG’S COMMENTS:
We are of the views that the shareholders of PNHB would benefit from the Proposed Acquisition in the long run as based on our analysis on the information in relation to the Proposed Acquisition disclosed by PNHB on 16 December 2016, the offer price of RM210 million made by PNHB is at a discount to TRIplc’s indicated realisable net asset value of RM360 million.
Based on Previous Q4 result, triplc deliver EPS 8.94, consist of concession income EPS 2.15sen + construction new campus profit EPS 6.79 sen.
However, as the previous Q4 encompass financial ending May 31, and construction only commence 11 April, therefore, triplc in previous Q4 result only recognized about 1.5 month on its construction new campus profit.
Therefore, in upcoming Q1 result which cover financial ending 31 Aug, Triplc should be able to recognized FULL 3 month construction new campus profit. Assuming, triplc deliver fairly consistent profit, triplc should be able to recognized about 2X construction profit.
Thus, based on previous only 1.5 month period to deliver EPS 6.79sen, upcoming Q1 full quarter 3 month should be able to deliver EPS 13.6sen. On top of steady concession income that deliver 2.15sen every quarter, total upcoming EPS is expect to sum up to total 15.75sen, consist of concession income EPS 2.15sen + construction new campus profit EPS 13.6sen.
Puncak as acquire all triplc business stand to grab all its profit
Based on Previous Q4 result, triplc deliver EPS 8.94, consist of concession income EPS 2.15sen + construction new campus profit EPS 6.79 sen.
However, as the previous Q4 encompass financial ending May 31, and construction only commence 11 April, therefore, triplc in previous Q4 result only recognized about 1.5 month on its construction new campus profit.
Therefore, in upcoming Q1 result which cover financial ending 31 Aug, Triplc should be able to recognized FULL 3 month construction new campus profit. Assuming, triplc deliver fairly consistent profit, triplc should be able to recognized about 2X construction profit.
Thus, based on previous only 1.5 month period to deliver EPS 6.79sen, upcoming Q1 full quarter 3 month should be able to deliver EPS 13.6sen. On top of steady concession income that deliver 2.15sen every quarter, total upcoming EPS is expect to sum up to total 15.75sen, consist of concession income EPS 2.15sen + construction new campus profit EPS 13.6sen.
So, if triplc indeed deliver upcoming Q1 EPS 15.75sen, likely to be announce tomorrow after AGM, annualized, triplc EPS will record at least EPS 60sen, and based on current share price 2.15, valuation only at PE 3.6x !!!
Puncak if successful acquire triplc, all these handsome profit will be recorded in Puncak result, estimate based on acquisition triplc alone, it will contribute to Puncak EPS 9.3sen
In the trIplc AGM, director promise special dividend after disposal triplc to Puncak. Director is also mention that triplc is in the midst to complete a corporate exercise through internal organization in which triplc will become subsidiary of PEB which will resume listing status of triplc, and PEB will then dispose entire triplc to Puncak.
Director mention triplc is now working closely with Puncak to prepare circular and expect notice of EGM and circular detail the disposal including amount special dividend to dispatch to shareholder by end of year and EGM to gain shareholders approval for disposal later in the early next year. Overall, director is expect the entire disposal should be able to complete by first quarter next year.
Result out, triplc deliver EPS 8.98sen, miss expectation. But, triplc deliver much much higher profit margin if compared to previous quarter result.
A shown in result, triplc delivers only about RM 12m revenue in construction, but reap NET construction profit margin 40%. Triplc concession service remain steady reaping net profit margin 14%.
As the entire construction project have GDV RM 600m, to be completed over 3 year, there are much more future revenue to be recognized in next quarter forward.
Portfolio is preparing to hold triplc for longer term, awaiting for circular detailing the actual amount of special dividend to be declare from disposal proceed to Puncak as well as next Q2 result, with target to aim to roll over entire portfolio capital by another increment 20%.
With Q1 result already deliver 8.98sen, but only recognized construction revenue RM 12m vs entire GDV RM 600m. Result miss expectation probably due to long festive season during the quarter.
Next quarter Q2 should record higher construction revenue with site clearance and earthwork already completed, entering into stage for pilling work and concrete work phase.
All in, even take into account just Q1 result 8.98sen, annualized still have at least 36sen compared to current undemanding share price of just 2.16. Moreover, take over offer at RM 3.00 still on track to be completed by early next year.
I decided to sailang all on triplc to hit as high as more than 80% together with all margin line, all in triplc with average cost holding around RM 2.05, because I am very confidence this stock will perform very well once Q result, special dividend and take over confrim.
As year end approaching, and long oversea trip to visit friend and family is also on card now. There will be less trading, less posting afterward till early next year from now.
1. In Puncak Niaga’s second quarter report, the balance sheet is shown to have
Other investments 63,713 Cash & bank balances 280,358 Short-term investments 906,065 Total assets: 1,754,250
The 63.713 million investment is a L3 financial asset purchased during the second quarter that classified it as long-term asset. Had this L3 financial asset considered liquid, the cash & equivalent of Puncak Niaga would have crossed 70% threshold and be classified as PN 16 company ((63,713+280,358+906,065)/1754250)=71.26%. The issue is, what’s this other investments of 63.713 million so crucial to Puncak’s business development? Without doubt, if the significance of this investment can’t be explained, its nothing but an attempt to hide asset to avoid PN 16 classification.
Thus, we urge SC to investigate into this matter and classify Puncak as a PN 16 company regardless how Q3 and future financial reports are presented.
buy when others are fearful ... laugh when others are crying .... be alert when others are sleepy ..... watch the walking dead when others are watching cartoons .... say you are no. 2 when nobody is claiming to be no. 1 ..... drink coffee when others are drinking coca-cola ....
PUNCAK NIAGA HOLDINGS BERHAD ("PNHB" OR THE "COMPANY") PROPOSED ACQUISITION OF LAND FOR A TOTAL CASH CONSIDERATION OF RM40,732,956.00 ("PROPOSED ACQUISITION") <---Kahhoeng, u never stop this? RZL cheated the money out
Kahhoeng: If u listen to me earlier, not to take the dividend, not to bother about the cash in puncak. U may save alot. But u keep averaging down. This is ur big mistake.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
firehawk
4,783 posts
Posted by firehawk > 2017-10-11 23:30 | Report Abuse
if i were the rzl /son ... will be grateful to hear this!