1. Oh boi ... today the hype, tomorrow the disappointment ...
2. stteck any reason why 7 million should be the figure but not 1.3 million ?
3. Increase in the manufacturing cost and unrealized loss of foreign currency is the one which dragged down the profit after tax ... this is soften by 1.3m revaluation gain (which is not a real gain) ... If we remove the revaluation gain and focus purely on the operational profit, it is down 40.4% YoY basis ...
1.Old properties in Penang still not revalued yet. 2. This year very heavy investment into PPE. Fruits won't bear so fast. 3. The sector is growing. Therefore, the heavy investment into PPE.
They have proven their expertise in getting a good ROE, I believe they have taken cost measures for years ahead to increase their profit margin while increasing their revenues.
In regards to dividend, you can see the they are reinvesting into their development. Therefore, it is not a good time to declare any dividend if the management believes into getting a higher return on their reinvestment.
Year 2015 and 2016 were exceptional years for the P&L of PPHB where MYR depreciated signifcantly to average 3.91 an 4.14 from 3.27 of year 2014. That led to exceptional forex gain to PPHB of 1.3mil and 1.1mil respectively, whereas in a stable currency period (3.1-3.5) PPHB should have a minimal impact (+/- 300-400K) from the forex affect. in year 2017, the net forex effect is -587k and which has returned to the normal impact. So if without the exceptional impact, the PAT for year 2015 and 2016 should be stood around 13mil and 15mil (the PAT in prior was 11.5mil). And that the PAT of 15mil for year 2017 wasn't look so negative inspite of the upheavel of MYR and paper price in the 2nd half, and it seems things are under control by the management.
in reply to dunspace, i have several different view on your statement.
1. Revaluation gain is a paper gain, it's just like " hey, I'm not a millionare, please revalue my house into a value of 2 million so that i can claim myself a millionare" . We the value investor are more concern about real profit, when i say real, i can see the cash flow in. Yes, I'm talking about
2. I'm not quite sure that the increase of cost is due to "heavy investment in PPE" . In the cashflow statement, they just put a "non-cash item adjustment" , but according to the Segment B2, it is due to increase in manufacturing cost. I'll assume it's not due to Heavy Investment in PPE depreciation charge....
Hi CFtrader, after removing all the forex factors, the CAGR (2013-2017) for revenue is 5.2%, opex is 5.0%, EBITDA is 6.3%, PBT is 8.4%, it is below your expectation of 10%-15% every year.
1. As a value investor, I assume that I am buying not just a share of the company but the whole company itself. How can you say that Revaluation Gain is a paper gain? Assuming you buy the company and wanted to sell some of their properties, are you going to sell the properties at PAST COST? Obviously no, property is also a form of assets in the company, do not overlook it. Future cash flow depends on your judgement, do you believe in the management by looking into their past records? it is up to you, i am just stating that a huge chunk of value is still hidden due to the properties not being revalued.
2. I never mention the increased cost is due to the PPE investment, I say that PPE investment won't bear fruits so fast.
I am fully agreed with dunspace for #1, when you sell a property at current value (provided current value > cost of purchase), the profit and cash is actually real. It depends on the company's strategy to hold it or divest it for other purpose, but the purpose of revaluation is very clear that the book/accounts are presented in a true and fair view to investors. Bear in mind, revaluation may not be always gain, it may be loss as well.
Agreed with stteck, bear in mind unless the property was sold at above book value price. This is no a true gain to the Company. It is merely a paper gain
According to the memorandum on sanctions against China signed by Trump in the middle of the night, about $50 billion worth of Chinese imports, which were taxed at 25%, cover everything from shoes, leather, furniture, clothing to electronics. There are about 1300 kinds. At present, the cost of manufacturing in China is no longer competitive compared with Southeast Asia. Once the tariff is increased by 25%, That means they won't be able to find buyers in the United States, and the packaging and printing industries that support them are bound to be affected.
China shortage of paper this sssss 100% muda n orna move ff ffff next will be public ask for a sale by director since last NOV17 l dont tell Sebatian u are right so seat tight
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
moguiyu
155 posts
Posted by moguiyu > 2018-02-27 12:35 | Report Abuse
next limit up shall be PPHB