still remember bimb -wa jump up continuos for first 3 days?? i expect warrant will go from 0.4 to 0.5 plus the conversion RM1 adn the price now RM.86, you will have RM2.26 in the pocket,good deal ???
Prolexus’ revenue comes mostly from the export market, with the United States (59%) and Europe (19%) being the biggest revenue contributors in the last financial year ended July 31, 2015.
u think ringgit will weaken or strengthen in next 3 months??
sorry for the noob question, but if we buy the OR from market say at price of RM0.86, then later need to add RM1 to convert to mother, doesn't that make the total buy price at RM1.86?
@crossroad, just called my broker and she said cannot do it via itrade, must subscribe the form and pay by bank draft. Which CIMB branch are you referring to?
Prlexus has been adding capacity in the last few years... But current climate memang not good, so maybe the OR wil see price falling futher? I attended Grandpine, and the sifu there says warrants will usually be priced at about 1/3 to 1/2 of the mother price. I suppose it could range from 30 sen to 50 sen?
sl3ge the prlexus share price now of around RM1.50 already had been adjusted for the rights and bonus. But, nobody knows if the share price will drop after the completion of the rights & bonus. market is volatile and unpredictable so share price is anybody's guess. But, as the company's fundamentals are sound, I will bear with the short term volatility.
1. The OR is the Rights Subscription Forms which entitled u to subscribe for Prlexus ordinary shares at 1:1 ratio, which u must pay rm1.00 for every share u subscribe, and after u subscribed the shares, u will get free warrants at 1:1 ratio.
That means if u own 1,000 Prlexus-OR, u pay rm1,000 to get 1,000 shares + 1,000 warrants...
(2). If u don't have any OR but wish to subscribe, u can buy n sell from market, tomorrow last day of trading. The price u pay does not go into reducing the Subscription price of Rm1.00, it actually incur costs, so assuming if u buy the OR at 85sen, then ur total costs to subscribe = Rm1.85 per share + processing fees + bank draft charges, etc...
Hi guys,i called HLebroking twice aldy, they ask them if the mother price 1.5, after OR all convert to mother share will it adjust the mother share price again? they say yes. but i think it is wrong answer, because since it aldy adjust from 1.8 -> 1.5 anyone can double confirm?
(4). What will be the prices of the shares n the warrants?
The new shares prices will be at par with the current shares, n fluctuate according to market. Expect some dilution effects once the new shares r listed for trading...
As for the warrants pricing, it's more complicated n very subjective... It was estimated to be about 83 seen according to the Company's prospectus dated 20.May, based on the ex-RI price of Rm1.59.
By inputting Strike price at rm1.20, Stock price at rm1.59, Validity 1820 days (5 years), Volatility at 40%, and interest rate at 5%, the answer is 83 sen...
By changing to today's Stock price at rm1.48, other inputs unchanged, the answer is 74 sen...
That means assuming the stock prices won't drop much due to dilution of new shares, which it shouldn't NCOs the ex price have already adjusted for the dilution, the warrants should be around 70~75 sen...
By assuming a low risks, or No Volatility, and a 2% average dividends per year (ie, 1.5sen interim + 1.5sen Final div.), the Minimum value of warrants should be ~40sen. But the stock is quite volatile, so it should be worth more than 40 sen.
If the dividends are not considered (assuming Company give low dividends due to funds utilized for further expansions), then the warrant price at no volatility is 54 sen...
Therefore, if the Prlexus stock prices can hold at rm1.48, and if warrant prices traded at 70 sen (correspond to 35% volatility), then ur total values will be Rm1.48+0.70 = Rm2.18, compared to ur costs of Rm1.85 per share, that means a positive returns on investment of 35 sen per share or about 19% returns...
This is not a Buy or Sell call on Prole us shares, it's more like educational discussion. Hope the above is of help to ur future investment decisions...
Sl3ge, ur broker info is wrong, it's already adjusted down from Rm2.04 before ex to Rm1.57, taken into consideration of dilution by new shares @ rm1.00 + assuming all warrants converted to shares @ rm1.20 = (2.04*2 + 1.00 + 1.20)/4 = Rm1.57...
But as I said above, bcos on the initial days of new shares trading, many holders may sell down their new shares to cash out, so prices may get affected due to higher volume of shares in supply...
Bigbigboss, u r right about (4), (sorry, I should use #3), the warrant's valuation by formulas r simply "Theoretical Price), it's juz for reference, the actual price depends on the Supply-Demand factor of the day, Buyers-Sellers mentalities, Market sentiments, etc. etc...
just curious, why normally people uses bank draft instead of money order? The charges for bank draft is RM5.15(CIMB) while charges for Pos Malaysia money order is RM2.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
rayloo
198 posts
Posted by rayloo > 2016-05-25 10:00 | Report Abuse
My personal view is the warrant will be price about RM0.3 to RM0.35